Tuesday, August11, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Wanchese, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:19AMSunset 8:01PM Tuesday August 11, 2020 9:12 PM EDT (01:12 UTC) Moonrise 11:24PMMoonset 12:36PM Illumination 44% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ231 Croatan And Roanoke Sounds- 652 Pm Edt Tue Aug 11 2020
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms after midnight.
Wed..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the morning.
Wed night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A slight chance of tstms. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight.
Thu..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves light chop, increasing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. A chance of tstms. Showers likely, mainly in the morning.
Thu night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms, mainly in the evening.
Fri..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. Showers likely with a chance of tstms in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight.
Sat..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt. Waves light chop, increasing to a moderate chop. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers.
Sun..E winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Waves choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 318 Pm Edt Tue Aug 11 2020
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. Bermuda high will remain over the western atlantic this week, while a trough of low pressure lingers over the southeast. A weak front may move into the region for the end of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wanchese, NC
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location: 35.75, -75.55     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 112309 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 709 PM EDT Tue Aug 11 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will ridge in from the Atlantic through the rest of the week, while a trough of low pressure remains across the Southeastern U.S. A weak backdoor cold front could move through the area over the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 710 PM Tue . The scattered showers and thunderstorms from this afternoon diminished early this evening. A few lingering showers may move onshore few the next hour or so, but these showers will be light and quick. The sky is becoming mostly clear quickly, so expect mostly clear skies across the inland areas, while the coast may continue to see passing clouds. Also, overnight sct showers could develop offshore and move inland to the coastal areas in the early morning hours, but most places will remain dry. Patchy fog could develop inland again, esp for locations that saw rainfall. Lows will be in the low-70s inland to mid/upr- 70s along the coast.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/. As of 3 PM Tue . With sfc flow backed to the SSE, morning showers along the coast in the AM should develop into some sct thunderstorms in the afternoon once again, as PW's remain quite high and weakness in the mid levels continuing. Covg should remain sct, so will cap pops no higher than the 30-50% range. High temps near climo, generally in the upr 80s.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 240 AM Tuesday . Wet weather along with seasonable temperatures are expected through the long term period, with only minor day to day variability owing to subtle changes in the upper level pattern.

The southeastern US into the southern Mid Atlantic region will remain under a mid level weakness through the period which will become more pronounced over the weekend into early next week as a long wave trough. In the lower levels, continued SW flow on the periphery of the Bermuda high will keep ample low level moisture in place through the period, with dewpoints remaining in the 70s and PW values AOA 2". Through late week, the convective pattern will be mainly diurnally driven with the greatest threat for thunderstorms coming each afternoon along and ahead of the sea breeze. Weak surface troughing gradually strengthens inland through the week allow for greater storm coverage each day, and would be expected to initiate convection earlier in the day with less capping in place and could see convection persist longer into the night over the weekend, especially if a weak cold front moves into the area. While ample moisture and instability will be present, shear will be meager with 0-6 km bulk shear generally around 10 kt or less limiting the severe threat. Still, cannot rule out stronger storms producing isolated wind damage and heavy rainfall producing localized flooding. Temps will generally continue to be near normal, with convection being the primary culprit for deviations from normal.

AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Short Term /through Tue/ . As of 710 PM Tue . High confidence in VFR conditions for the next 6 hours. Another threat for patchy fog and low stratus to develop early Wednesday morning, especially in areas that received rainfall today. Winds will be light to calm overnight. Conditions is expect to return back to VFR by 13/14z tomorrow. Expect another round of showers and thunderstorms to develop in the afternoon with possible sub-VFR due to heavy rainfall.

Long Term /Wednesday night through Sun/ . As of 240 AM Tuesday . Typical summertime pattern through the period with light winds and diurnally enhanced convection each day. Pred VFR conditions expected outside of showers and thunderstorms and patchy early morning fog and/or stratus.

MARINE. Short Term /Through Wed/ . As of 710 PM Tue . S winds continue generally 5-15 kt across the marine domain, and will back slightly to more serly on Wed. Speeds will remain in the 5-15 kt range and seas continue around 1 foot nearshore with 2 ft further offshore. Some 3 ft sets may build over the outer ctrl/srn waters late in the day Wed.

Long Term /Wednesday night through Sun/ . As of 240 AM Tuesday . Good boating conditions continue through most of the long term. Expect S to SW winds 10-15 kt through the period, with occasional gusts to around 20 kt each afternoon/evening as the sea breeze develops and differential heating tightens the gradient a bit locally. Seas will be 2-3 ft through the period.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . TL/BM SHORT TERM . TL LONG TERM . JME AVIATION . JME/TL/BM MARINE . JME/TL/BM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 3 mi55 min S 12 G 15
44095 12 mi47 min 80°F1 ft
44086 19 mi60 min 81°F2 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 32 mi47 min 75°F1 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 32 mi55 min S 8.9 G 11 82°F 1014.6 hPa
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 35 mi47 min 80°F1 ft
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 38 mi55 min SSW 2.9 G 6 80°F 1015.9 hPa

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC14 mi18 minSSW 910.00 miFair82°F73°F77%1015.9 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC20 mi18 minN 010.00 miFair81°F72°F76%1015.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMQI

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW8SW4SW6SW9SW7W6SW4W4W4CalmCalmSW4SE8S5S8SW7S9NW7
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1 day agoSE3CalmSW6W4SW5W4SW5CalmW3W3CalmW3CalmW3CalmSW7SW8SW9SW9S5S5SW11SW9SW10
2 days agoSE7SE5SE5SE4CalmCalmCalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmNE5N4NE8E8NE7NE7E5E6E9E5SE3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Davis Slough, North Carolina
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Davis Slough
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:47 AM EDT     0.79 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:14 AM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:47 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Tue -- 01:35 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 02:21 PM EDT     0.90 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:55 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:15 PM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.80.80.70.60.50.40.20.20.20.30.50.70.80.90.90.80.70.50.40.30.30.30.4

Tide / Current Tables for Rodanthe, Pamlico Sound, North Carolina
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Rodanthe
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:33 AM EDT     0.54 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:19 AM EDT     0.57 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:47 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Tue -- 01:35 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:07 PM EDT     0.62 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:55 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.