Rutherford College, NC Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Rutherford College, NC

April 15, 2024 9:23 PM EDT (01:23 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:51 AM   Sunset 8:01 PM
Moonrise 11:17 AM   Moonset 1:46 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Rutherford College, NC
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Area Discussion for - Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
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FXUS62 KGSP 152125 AFDGSP

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 525 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

SYNOPSIS
Dry high pressure will linger to our south through the first half of the week giving our region above normal temperatures and more humidity than we've felt lately. Small chances of showers and storms do return to some areas of the mountains in the middle of the week.
A front will approach our area from the west through the middle of the week, and could bring more showers and thunderstorms by Friday and into the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
515 PM Update...Fairly deep showers and a few thunderstorms are developing across the NC mtns as higher than predicted sfc temps are allowing for strong updrafts. There may be the need for a couple svr warnings as cores are reaching arnd 25 Kft within a dCAPE environ of 1200 J/kg.

In the very near term, we will continue to monitor a weak backdoor cold front drifting southward over the Mid-Atlantic region that will be responsible for focusing strong to severe storms thru this evening. The overall thoughts haven't changed much, in that the front should have a difficult time pushing up against the slowly building ridge over the Southeast/Carolinas, thus the guidance still fails to bring any storms far enough S to affect our region. That means another night mostly dominated by the sfc high pressure ridge to our S and offshore, which will continue to bring more low level moisture into our region. Low temps overnight will be another 3-5 degrees warmer than last night. A slight chance of showers will be kept near the TN border in the event that a few dying showers make a run at us from the NW.

Otherwise, on Tuesday the axis of the mid/upper ridge moves in from the west and sharpens a bit, while a weak superimposed shortwave moves past to our north during the day. The old frontal boundary is expected to be draped along/near the VA line to start the day, possibly sagging as far south as the NW Piedmont. The forcing will not be as great, but there could be enough low level focus for new convection in the afternoon near the boundary, so we shall continue to carry a slight chance across the nrn tier of zones. Better chances for deep convection will be across north central NC, where there could be an outside chance of isolated severe storms. High temps might be a degree or two cooler, hardly noticeable, because of some increased afternoon cloud cover.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 2:20 PM EDT Monday: The short-term fcst picks up at 00z on Wednesday with upper ridging lingering over the Southeast and upper trofing moving off the New England Coast. At the same time, a closed upper low will be lifting NE towards the Great Lakes. Over the next couple of days, the upper low will move over the Great Lakes and eventually get absorbed by another broad upper trof amplifying over far southern Canada. This will flatten the ridge over our area as the period wears on. At the sfc, a robust low pressure system will lift out of the Great Plains and move a cold front to our doorstep by late Wednesday. The bulk of the current model guidance continues to trend drier with this fropa. It still looking like the boundary will move thru our area early Thursday and should be moving off the coast by Thurs aftn/evening. As such, I trimmed back precip chances with slight to solid chance PoPs relegated to roughly the NW half of our CWA for late Wed into early Thurs. Otherwise, we can expect warm, predominately SWLY low-level flow across our area thru most of the period with high temperatures in the mid to upper 80s outside the mtns on Thurs.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 2:05 PM EDT Monday: The extended forecast picks up at 00z on Friday with very broad upper trofing morphing into a large, closed low over far south central Canada. Over the next couple of days, this system will steadily translate eastward and over the northern Great Lakes and open back up to the northern stream in the process. By the latter half of the weekend, the upper low/trof will move over New England and act to suppress the upper ridge over the Southeast.
At the sfc, our area is expected to be under a broad deformation zone in the wake of a relatively dry fropa from the previous day.
Over the next few days, the sfc pattern will remain progressive, with a fair amount of ambiguity amongst the operational models.
Another weak low is expected to develop Fri into Sat somewhere over the Southeast, yet it remains unclear exactly where and how long it will linger over the region. In addition, most of the long- range model guidance tries to spin up another sfc low on Sunday over the Southeast Coast. Regardless, there is decent agreement that by the end of the period early next week, broad Canadian high pressure will begin to spread over our area from the NW and bring dry wx to the region.

AVIATION /22Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
At KCLT and elsewhere: VFR at all terminals through the period. Wind should be S to SW through late today, possibly with some gusts east of the mtns as we mix deeply. Cannot rule out an isolated shower over the higher terrain, but not worth including at KAVL. Most of any low clouds will dissipate with loss of daytime heating. Expect wind to go light/variable at sunset
On Tuesday
continued fair, with wind returning light S to SW from mid-morning onward. We should have better low moisture, so some high-based stratocu can be expected in the afternoon.

Outlook: Isolated SHRA/TSRA are not out of the question Tue and Wed afternoons near the NC sites. Otherwise VFR generally will persist through midweek. An unsettled pattern with precip chances and periodic restrictions may develop Thu-Fri but confidence remains low.

CLIMATE
RECORDS FOR 04-15

MAX TEMPERATURE MIN TEMPERATURE STATION HIGH LOW HIGH LOW ------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- KAVL 89 1972 42 1943 64 1887 23 1907 KCLT 89 1936 46 1889 66 2006 28 1907 KGSP 91 2006 45 1913 69 1922 22 1907

RECORDS FOR 04-16

MAX TEMPERATURE MIN TEMPERATURE STATION HIGH LOW HIGH LOW ------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- KAVL 87 2006 42 1905 62 1945 26 1943 KCLT 89 2006 49 1890 64 1998 29 2008 1896 1991 1962 1945 KGSP 88 1888 54 1903 64 1945 24 1907

GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KMRN FOOTHILLS REGIONAL,NC 6 sm43 mincalm10 smClear77°F55°F47%29.99
KHKY HICKORY RGNL,NC 8 sm30 mincalm10 smClear75°F54°F47%29.98
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Wind History from MRN
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