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AMZ136 Pamlico And Pungo Rivers- 1015 Pm Est Wed Nov 29 2023
Overnight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Thu..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves light chop, diminishing to flat in the afternoon.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Waves light chop, diminishing to flat after midnight.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves light chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. Showers likely.
Sun..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers.
Mon..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A chance of showers.

AMZ100 1015 Pm Est Wed Nov 29 2023
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters.. Strong high pressure will build in from the south and west through Thursday. A series of storm systems will then impact the area Friday into early next week.

FXUS62 KMHX 300650 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 150 AM EST Thu Nov 30 2023

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will remain centered over the Carolinas today, gradually sliding off the coast tonight. A series of low pressure systems will impact the area Friday into early next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
As of 150 AM Thu...Latest analysis shows 1024mb high pressure centered over the Carolinas this morning. Some areas along the coast have already seen lows this morning. HSE fell to 30 deg last evening and has now warmed up in the low 40s with light westerly flow. Today begins the grad warming trend as flow becomes more southerly and heights build. After a cool start this morning, highs will climb into the mid to upper 50s. Sct mid and high clouds through the day.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/
As of 150 AM Thu...High pressure will continue to slide off the coast overnight as low pressure system moves into the Mid-West and weak coastal trough develops along the NC coast. It should be a much milder night with increasing clouds. Lows in the mid/upper 30s inland and 40s for the beaches. Coastal trough may bring some light showers to the Outer Banks after midnight.
Increased pops slightly from previous forecast.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 330 AM Wednesday...High pressure slides offshore late in the week with a more active pattern expected to develop through the weekend.

A southern stream jet becomes dominant across the southern CONUS and a series of systems lifts across the area Friday through early next week. Guidance still not in the best agreement with timing, strength and available moisture with these systems so continue to limit PoPs to chance given the differences. Temps are expected to be above normal through Monday. A northern stream shortwave digs across the Mid West and across the mid-Atlantic early next week pushing deeper moisture offshore with cool high pressure building in from the west into mid week.

AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
SHORT TERM /through tonight/...
As of 150 AM Thu...Pred VFR conditions expected through the period with sct mid and high clouds and light winds. Ceilings begin to lower late tonight, especially along the coast as weak coastal trough develops.

LONG TERM /Friday through Monday/...
As of 330 PM Wednesday...An active pattern develops across the area Friday through the weekend with periods of showers bringing occasional sub-VFR conditions.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /through tonight/...
As of 150 AM Thu...Latest obs show W/WNW winds 5-15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt and seas 2-3 ft. High pressure will remain centered over the waters today, gradually sliding offshore tonight as low pressure approaches from the west and coastal trough develops along the NC coast. Brief W/NW winds surge 10-20 kt early this morning will diminish by mid morning with winds becoming more variable 10 kt or less. Winds overnight remain a bit challenging and heavily dependent on where trough sets up, likely varying from NE-SW 5-15 kt. Seas 1-3 ft through the period.

LONG TERM /Friday through Monday/...
As of 330 PM Wednesday...A series of low pressure systems will impact the area late in the week and this weekend.

A strong low pressure system will lift into the Ohio River Valley Friday and Friday night which will serve to tighten pressure gradients across the region and will see Sly winds increase to 15-20+ kt with seas building to 3-6 ft. SCA conditions are most probable across the coastal waters south of Oregon Inlet. An active pattern continues through the weekend with another low pressure area moving across the region late Saturday into Sunday but at this time guidance is keeping conditions below SCA criteria.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...None.

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Core Creek Bridge
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Thu -- 04:23 AM EST     0.01 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:54 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:11 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 10:37 AM EST     2.37 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:55 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 05:24 PM EST     0.12 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:46 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:57 PM EST     1.80 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina, Tide feet

Ocracoke
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Thu -- 02:55 AM EST     0.08 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:52 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:26 AM EST     1.17 feet High Tide
Thu -- 10:09 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 04:43 PM EST     0.11 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:52 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:42 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 09:40 PM EST     0.77 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Ocracoke, Ocracoke Island, North Carolina, Tide feet

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Morehead City, NC,