Farragut, TN Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Farragut, TN

April 17, 2024 5:36 PM EDT (21:36 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:58 AM   Sunset 8:13 PM
Moonrise 1:31 PM   Moonset 3:12 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Farragut, TN
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Area Discussion for - Morristown, TN
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FXUS64 KMRX 171919 AFDMRX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Morristown TN 319 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM

SHORT TERM
(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 300 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

Key Messages:

1. Rain to come to an end late this afternoon into early evening.

2. Dry and warm daytime Thursday.

Discussion:

The band of rain showers that has primarily afflicted those south of Knoxville will continue to thin out as it progresses eastward for the remainder of the day. Only a few rumbles of thunder occurred in the southern valley today, and outside of a rare rumble of thunder, nothing much is expected for the remainder of the day outside of the rain. A medium amount of clearing will occur overnight, with patchy fog and low clouds possible in the morning. The upper trough over the Midwest will move off to southern Canada, and the jet stream helping power today's rain will move south of us tonight. The movement of these features allows for a mid level ridge to build in over us for Thursday.
Clearing skies and building heights will allow for temperatures to rebound tomorrow, with valley temperatures in the low 80s for most of the region.

Records for April 18th: CHA 90/2002 TYS 90/1896 TRI 87/2002

Compared with the records for the day guidance has persisted in remaining a few degrees below the daily records. The SREF & NBM probabilities indicate some low thick clouds in the morning hours, but those are expected to mix out and clear heading into peak heating. Otherwise relative humidities will drop below 40% in northern Tennessee into southwest Virginia tomorrow afternoon.

LONG TERM
(Thursday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 300 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

Key Messages:

1. Showers and thunderstorms return for Thursday night and Friday.
There is a low chance of strong to severe storms with gusty winds and hail.

2. Turning much cooler this weekend, with some showers around especially Sunday.

3. Mostly dry with a warming trend Monday through Wednesday.

Discussion:

We start the period with a low pressure system moving out of the Mississippi Valley and tracking northeast into the Great Lakes region. This system will drag a cold front through our area Friday. We will see showers and thunderstorms moving in Thursday night out ahead of the front and continuing Friday as the front moves through. Models generally indicate there will be modest instability, perhaps as high as 500-1000 J/kg in the south early Thursday night, and there is some shear although effective shear looks quite low to start and then is forecast to increase to around 30+ knots later in the night although after the period with better convective energy. Right now the strong to severe threat still looks limited, but a few storms with strong gusty winds and hail are possible especially Thursday night with the highest threat across our southern areas and along/near the Plateau.

There is significant model disagreement for Saturday, with the NAM bringing additional showers to the area as the colder air pushes in behind the front, but much of the other model data does not support this idea so will go with the NBM solution and just carry slight chance PoPs for the eastern mountains and far south Saturday closer to the boundary. It will be cooler with high temperatures expected to be near or a bit below seasonal normals. A weak system to our south may brush the area with additional showers Sunday especially across the south and east, and it will be quite cool with high temperatures expected to be well below seasonal normals.

Monday through Wednesday look mostly dry with a gradual warming trend, although a weak frontal boundary may drift into the area by Wednesday with a few showers and/or thunderstorms.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 141 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

Band of rain showers will move across East Tennessee over the next 4 hours. Best chances of a brief flash of lightning are confined south of KTYS where heavier convection is. Accompanying the rain showers are periodic VIS restrictions. After rain moves out, conditions area wide will calm, with a low level inversion setting up overnight over the valley. Unknown if CHA will experience it to the same degree, but better chances for MVFR CIGs at TYS and TRI from 12z through the end of the TAF.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Chattanooga Airport, TN 62 86 64 80 / 10 10 60 60 Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 61 84 62 76 / 0 0 60 80 Oak Ridge, TN 61 84 61 77 / 0 0 60 80 Tri Cities Airport, TN 58 80 57 75 / 0 0 30 80

MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KTYS MC GHEE TYSON,TN 9 sm43 minW 0710 smOvercast63°F54°F72%30.04
KDKX KNOXVILLE DOWNTOWN ISLAND,TN 16 sm21 minW 0910 smMostly Cloudy64°F52°F64%30.04
Link to 5 minute data for KTYS


Wind History from TYS
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Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN,



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