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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Manns Harbor, NC

June 24, 2024 5:04 PM EDT (21:04 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:47 AM   Sunset 8:27 PM
Moonrise 10:04 PM   Moonset 7:13 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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AMZ131 Alligator River- 321 Pm Edt Mon Jun 24 2024

.severe Thunderstorm watch 451 in effect until 8 pm edt this evening - .

Tonight - W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne around 10 kt after midnight. Waves light chop. Showers and tstms likely early this evening, then a slight chance of showers and tstms late this evening.

Tue - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.

Tue night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.

Wed - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves light chop, increasing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.

Wed night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the evening, then a chance of showers and tstms after midnight.

Thu - W winds around 10 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms in the morning, then showers and tstms likely in the afternoon.

Thu night - E winds around 5 kt. Waves flat. Showers and tstms likely, mainly in the evening.

Fri - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.

Fri night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.

Sat - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.

Sat night - S winds around 10 kt. Waves light chop.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

AMZ100 321 Pm Edt Mon Jun 24 2024

Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - A weak cold front will move through the waters this evening, with drier high pressure briefly building in behind it for Tuesday. High pressure then restrengthens offshore Wednesday, with another cold front crossing into the region Thursday. High pressure then builds in behind this feature from the north late week and into the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manns Harbor, NC
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Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 241847 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 247 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

SYNOPSIS
A weak cold front will move through the area this evening, with drier high pressure briefly building in behind it for Tuesday.
High pressure then restrengthens offshore Wednesday, with another cold front crossing into the region Thursday. High pressure then builds in behind this feature from the north late week and into the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 245 PM Mon...Severe Thunderstorm Watch continues for eastern NC through 8 PM this evening. Latest analysis shows cold front approaching the coastal plain this afternoon while the mid level trough moves through NC. Convection continues to blossom with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, and expect coverage to continue to increasing and pushing eastward over the next few hours. There is potential for damaging wind gusts, large hail, frequent lightning and minor flooding. Mesoanalysis shows ML CAPE values 2-2500 J/k and 20-30 kt of shear. PW values are forecast to exceed 2" as low level lapse rates steepen with heating. This will favor multi- cell cluster development with damaging wind gusts and hail around 1" possible. A supercell or two could develop with the potential for a very strong wind gust and hail to 1.5". The area most favorable for this would be north of Highway 70 in the region of strongest shear. In addition to the severe threat, the potential for locally heavy rains will exist as PW values exceed 2" favoring torrential downpours. Some minor poor drainage flooding will be possible as the CAM's indicate the potential for local rainfall of 2-3" in regions that receive frequent downpours. Showers and thunderstorms will likely be widespread east of Highway 17 early in the evening and should be mostly offshore by 4Z as a weak cold front crosses the area this evening. Severe threat should wind down around 00Z as loss of heating occurs. Some brief relief from the heat is expected as lows inland cool into the upper 60s.

Heat will also be a concern the next few hours with highs in the mid 90s inland combined with dewpoints in the 70s and closer to 80 along the coast. Expect Heat Index values 100-105 degrees for the next few hours outside of convection.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY/
As of 245 PM Mon...High pressure will build in Tue, providing a slightly cooler and drier airmass with low level easterly flow.
Veering onshore flow will keep the coast in the mid to upper 80s for highs, and upper 80s to low 90s inland under mostly sunny skies. Still looks mostly dry, but can't rule out an isolated shower across the southern area during peak heating closer to the weak boundary.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 330 AM Mon...Heat and humidity continue this week with high pressure ridging into the area. Near normal precip chances (scattered afternoon thunderstorms) are expected with rain likely Thursday as a cold front moves into the area.

Wednesday through Friday...Local area of high pressure will become absorbed into the massive western Atlantic ridge on Wednesday with warm moist southerly flow returning to the Carolinas. Thicknesses build rather quickly Wednesday, which will allow for temperatures to soar into the mid to upper 90s inland, and low 90s along the coast. Though it will be humid, some mixing of drier air above the surface during the afternoon will keep heat indices from becoming extreme, but still expect values to range from 100 to 105 degrees.

Another cold front will move into the region on Thursday, and with good model consensus, confidence is increasing that we will see good coverage of rain and thunderstorms (50-60% chance)
throughout the day. Precip chances will continue Thursday night as the front crosses the area and moves offshore Friday morning.
Behind this front a marginally cooler airmass will build in with high pressure to the north.

Temperatures will be hot and humid again Thursday ahead of the front, but developing convection should limit highs to only the upper 80s to low 90s. Even still heat indices will again top 100 degrees as dewpoints remain very high through the day. Slightly cooler conditions expected Friday with onshore flow, and we will see highs in the mid to upper 80s along the coast and low 90s inland.

Saturday and Sunday...Heat and humidity look to build again this weekend with offshore ridging restrengthening. We'll have highs reaching the mid 90s inland, and the upper 80s to low 90s along the coast. Dewpoints in the 70s both days will lead to heat indices reaching at least 100 to 105. In this moist and unstable airmass at least scattered chances for thunderstorms will be possible, but greater chances may arrive late Sunday as yet another front moves into the region.

AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
SHORT TERM /through Tuesday/...
As of 245 PM Mon...VFR conditions currently across the sites with thunderstorms quickly developing across the coastal plain.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will have the potential to produce occasional sub VFR conditions with strong wind gusts 40+ kt and hail through early this evening. Drier air is forecast to move into eastern NC following the passage of a weak cold front this evening. This could be patches of shallow fog to develop late as winds diminish and skies clear.

LONG TERM /Tuesday through Friday/...
As of 330 AM Mon...Mostly VFR conditions are expected this week with high pressure ridging in over the area. However, a cold front will bring scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms to the airspace Thursday and Thursday night, which could lead to some periods of sub-VFR conditions.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /through Tuesday/...
As of 245 PM Mon...Latest obs show WSW-SW winds 10-20 kt, strongest south of Hatteras with seas 2-4 ft north of Oregon Inlet and 4-7 ft south. SCAs continue for the waters south of Oregon Inlet and the Pamlico Sound with gusty winds and elevated seas. Severe Thunderstorm Watch continues for the rivers, sounds and coastal waters through this evening. Strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging winds, large hail and frequent lightning will be possible for the next few hours. A cold front will move through the waters this evening, pushing offshore tonight. As the front crosses the area this evening, there will be the potential for a brief period of northerly winds 15-20 kt with gusts to 25 kt immediately behind the front, then winds will diminish to NE 10-15 kt late with seas diminishing to 2-5 ft. High pressure builds in for Tue with easterly winds 10-20 kt and seas 2-4 ft.

LONG TERM /Tuesday night through Saturday/...
As of 330 AM Mon...Decent boating conditions expected this week with high pressure over the area aside from Thursday when a cold front moves through.

Winds then veer to the south Wednesday at 5-15 kts, and then increase to SSW 10-20 kts Wednesday night ahead of a cold front.
The front will cross the waters during the day Thursday from north to south with winds becoming NE at 5-15 kts behind it and remaining SW 5-15 kts to its south. Veering NE to E flow is then expected Friday at 5-15 kts. Seas will be mostly 2-4 ft this week.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ195- 196-199-204-205.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for AMZ135.
Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for AMZ152- 154.
Small Craft Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for AMZ156-158.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 19 mi46 minSSE 12G13 71°F 29.80
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 21 mi38 min 67°F2 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 26 mi46 minNNE 7G9.9 73°F 85°F29.83
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 28 mi64 min 75°F2 ft
44086 30 mi38 min 76°F4 ft
44095 38 mi38 min 80°F4 ft
41082 45 mi124 minW 19 75°F 29.78


Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KMQI DARE COUNTY RGNL,NC 15 sm39 minNNE 087 smOvercast Lt Rain 73°F72°F94%29.80
KFFA FIRST FLIGHT,NC 17 sm34 minNNE 047 smOvercast72°F72°F100%29.80
KECG ELIZABETH CITY CG AIR STATION/RGNL,NC 22 sm70 minSE 0410 smOvercast79°F72°F79%29.78
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Wind History graph: MQI
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Tide / Current for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
   
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
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Mon -- 03:57 AM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:11 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 09:52 AM EDT     3.21 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:51 PM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:10 PM EDT     3.91 feet High Tide
Mon -- 11:03 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
2.6
1
am
1.7
2
am
0.8
3
am
0.2
4
am
-0
5
am
0.2
6
am
0.8
7
am
1.7
8
am
2.5
9
am
3
10
am
3.2
11
am
2.9
12
pm
2.3
1
pm
1.5
2
pm
0.7
3
pm
0.2
4
pm
0
5
pm
0.3
6
pm
1
7
pm
1.9
8
pm
2.9
9
pm
3.6
10
pm
3.9
11
pm
3.8


Tide / Current for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
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Mon -- 04:00 AM EDT     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:11 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 09:57 AM EDT     3.02 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:49 PM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:16 PM EDT     4.12 feet High Tide
Mon -- 11:04 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
2.8
1
am
1.8
2
am
0.8
3
am
0.1
4
am
-0.2
5
am
0
6
am
0.6
7
am
1.3
8
am
2.2
9
am
2.8
10
am
3
11
am
2.8
12
pm
2.3
1
pm
1.5
2
pm
0.8
3
pm
0.2
4
pm
0
5
pm
0.3
6
pm
1
7
pm
1.8
8
pm
2.8
9
pm
3.7
10
pm
4.1
11
pm
4


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of east us   
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Wakefield, VA,




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