Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Avenal, CA

KEY MESSAGES
1. Valley fog persisting until Saturday alongside a general warming trend.

2. Dense fog will also continue in the Tehachapi Mountains this weekend.

3. A low pressure system brings chances of precipitation over the Sierra Nevada on Sunday and Monday with snow levels at 7,000 to 8,000 feet.

DISCUSSION
Dense fog has developed near Tehachapi this evening, and a Dense Fog Advisory has been issued for that area until Saturday morning. Low clouds have also been forming in the Sierra to the Kern County mountains for the past couple of nights, along with patchy dense fog. Fog develops in the Central Valley later tonight, although visibility is largely 8 miles or better at the time of this writing. Latest high resolution guidance suggests fog and low clouds have a moderate probability to redevelop in the San Joaquin Valley tomorrow night into Sunday morning, or at a 30-40 percent chance of visibility at one quarter mile or less. As for the mountain areas, confidence is markedly lower, or at a 20 percent probability or lower. Above average temperatures will last until Sunday, with the warmest locations topping 80 degrees across the region, but confined generally to Kern County by Sunday.

Precipitation chances begin in the Sierra Nevada and adjacent foothills Sunday evening and last until Monday. Snow levels remain at 7,000 to 8,000 feet during this period, with the higher levels towards Sunday night into Monday morning before lowering by the afternoon. Precipitation amounts remain at 0.10 to 0.25 inch for areas from Yosemite to Fresno County and less than 0.10 inch to the south. There is a slight chance for light snow over the Sierra, mainly towards Yosemite, during Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Otherwise, expect little or no precipitation beyond early next week along with seasonably cool temperatures.

Latest CPC outlooks continue to show the odds tilted towards above average temperatures and below average precipitation for both the 6-10 and 8-14 day periods.


AVIATION
Mostly VFR to MVFR conditions with areas of IFR to LIFR popping up around 12Z through 18Z. There is a 30-40% chance for valley VLIFR conditions down to 1/4 mile visibility in fog from 12Z-18Z with ceilings down to 600 feet. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail across the Central California interior for the next 24 hours.

AIR QUALITY ISSUES
On Saturday February 28, 2026, Fireplace/Wood Stove Burning Status is: No Burning Unless Registered in Fresno and Kern Counties. Burning Discouraged in Kings, Madera, Merced, and Tulare Counties, and Kern (Greater Frazier Park Area) and Sequoia National Park and Forest.

CERTAINTY

The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.

Certainty levels include low
medium
and high. Please visit www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information and/or to provide feedback.

HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM PST this morning for CAZ305>307- 309>312-315-334.