Sunday, August9, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Southern Shores, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:17AMSunset 8:03PM Sunday August 9, 2020 4:24 AM EDT (08:24 UTC) Moonrise 10:26PMMoonset 10:44AM Illumination 72% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ231 Croatan And Roanoke Sounds- 344 Am Edt Sun Aug 9 2020
Today..W winds around 5 kt, becoming se late. Waves flat, increasing to light chop this afternoon. A slight chance of showers and tstms late this morning. A chance of showers and tstms this afternoon.
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Mon..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves flat, increasing to light chop in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Tue..S winds around 5 kt, increasing to around 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves flat, increasing to light chop in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Tue night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Wed..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 307 Am Edt Sun Aug 9 2020
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. High pressure offshore and a piedmont trough inland will produce light winds much of this week. Scattered Thunderstorms will remain the main marine weather hazard through the period.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Southern Shores, NC
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location: 36.1, -75.71     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 090638 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 238 AM EDT Sun Aug 9 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak surface boundary will remain across southeast Virginia and northeast North Carolina through today, before dissipating on Monday. High pressure settles over the area early this week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 230 AM EDT Sunday .

Latest analysis shows a stalled frontal boundary right along the VA/NC line early this morning, with surface high pressure to our west. Last evenings heavy rain over the southern half of the area combined with calm winds will result in areas of fog early this morning. Issued an SPS from Richmond south to start, and will monitor the trends over the coming hours to see if a dense fog advisory is needed. Any fog that develops should dissipate by around 13Z this morning. The frontal boundary will remain in the vicinity of the area today, although should continue to weaken as the upper level trough pulls further away to the east. Coverage of afternoon/early evening convection should be less than Saturday, with the highest chances again focused over the southern half of the area. The steering flow will remain light, so isolated flooding will continue to be a concern especially in urban and poor drainage areas. High temps in the upper 80s to around 90, and low temps Sunday night in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. As of 230 AM EDT Sunday .

Surface high pressure settles over the TN valley on Monday and Tuesday, with a surface trough over the local area both days. Most of the area will be dry on Monday with just widely scattered afternoon/early evening storms over inland portions of the area. Storm chances increase on Tuesday as a weak wave aloft moves across the area. High end chance pops focused over inland portions during the afternoon and early evening tapering off to slight chance near the coast.

High temps Monday will be in the lower 90s, and right around 90 for Tuesday. Low temps Monday and Tuesday night will be in the upper 60s NW to lower 70s SE.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 315 PM EDT Saturday .

A fairly typical summertime pattern looks to prevail for the medium range period Tue night through Sat, though chances for rain will tend to be a bit higher than the typical climatology as high pressure moves offshore and a series of weak troughs aloft periodically pass through the region. While the bulk of the convection will be diurnally driven (mainly aftn- evening), at least a low chance will persist overnight, especially Fri-Sat as a frontal boundary is progged to stall in the vicinity of the mid-Atlantic. Will cap PoPs at 50% in the grids for now, while noting that the blends have likely PoPs for much of the forecast area during the aftn- evening Thu-Sat. Wed will be the hottest day with highs mainly 90-95F, whiles highs drop back to the upper 80s/around 90F Thu-Sat (there is some potential that Sat could end up cooler over the N depending on where the frontal stalls). Lows mainly between 70-75F with some upper 60s possible in the Piedmont through the period.

AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 115 AM EDT Sunday .

Areas of fog and low stratus are expected this morning. Expect MVFR/IFR conditions at all terminals after 06Z until around 13Z when ceilings and visbys improve to VFR. Conditions should remain VFR through the rest of Sunday with just a slight chance of showers/storms in the afternoon and early evening primarily over the SE portions of the area. Winds will be light and variable through the period.

Outlook . Mostly VFR conditions expected into early next week outside of isolated afternoon/evening storms which could result in brief flight restrictions.

MARINE. As of 230 AM EDT Sunday .

A stalled frontal boundary across the waters today will slowly dissipate by Mon. High pressure returns through Thurs.

Outside of isolated thunderstorms, S-SE winds aob 10 kts expected through the period, although some southerly channeling is possible in the Ches bay late Tue. Waves 1-2 ft. Seas around 2 ft.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . CMF/JDM NEAR TERM . CMF SHORT TERM . CMF LONG TERM . LKB AVIATION . CMF MARINE . MPR


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 6 mi55 min ENE 1.9 G 1.9 75°F 1019.3 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 7 mi59 min 76°F2 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 13 mi59 min 74°F2 ft
44086 17 mi42 min 73°F2 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 23 mi55 min SW 7 G 8.9 80°F 83°F1019.4 hPa
44095 31 mi59 min 76°F2 ft

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC6 mi30 minN 07.00 miFair74°F74°F100%1019.3 hPa
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC12 mi30 minN 010.00 miFair74°F72°F96%1019.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFFA

Wind History from FFA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE4E4CalmSE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmW3CalmW5W4CalmE4E3SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW4SW4CalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE5E7SE7SE6SE6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:45 AM EDT     0.53 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:44 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 12:01 PM EDT     3.41 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:22 PM EDT     0.83 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:25 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.22.92.31.710.60.50.81.42.12.73.23.43.32.82.21.61.10.90.91.21.82.42.8

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina (2)
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:45 AM EDT     0.50 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:44 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 12:05 PM EDT     3.43 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:22 PM EDT     0.78 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:25 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.22.92.31.710.60.50.81.322.73.23.43.32.92.31.61.10.80.81.21.72.32.8

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.