Thursday, March4, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Southern Shores, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:29AMSunset 6:03PM Thursday March 4, 2021 4:40 PM EST (21:40 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 9:53AM Illumination 64% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ231 Croatan And Roanoke Sounds- 341 Pm Est Thu Mar 4 2021
.small craft advisory in effect from 2 am est Friday through Friday morning...
Tonight..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N 15 to 25 kt after midnight. Waves light chop, increasing to choppy after midnight.
Fri..NW winds 15 to 25 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
Fri night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves light chop, increasing to a moderate chop after midnight.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop in the afternoon.
Sat night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves light chop, increasing to a moderate chop after midnight.
Sun..N winds around 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.
Sun night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.
Mon..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 5 to 10 kt. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
AMZ200 313 Pm Est Thu Mar 4 2021
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. High pressure building across the great lakes will push a dry cold front through the carolinas tonight. The high will then build overhead through Monday, sliding offshore into mid week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Southern Shores, NC
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location: 36.1, -75.71     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 042038 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 338 PM EST Thu Mar 4 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure slowly builds into the area through this weekend with dry weather continuing into next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/. As of 335 PM EST Thursday .

Surface analysis shows high pressure centered near the Hudson Bay, ridging S/SSE into the MS River Valley. Temperatures as of 2:50 PM ranged from the upper 50s NE to the lower 60s SW and the lower 50s over the Eastern Shore. Cumulus are mainly confined to the eastern half of the FA and will increase in coverage across the SE later this afternoon into the evening before dissipating tonight. Skies will clear from NW to SE through the evening.

A secondary CAA surge pushes south this evening and lasts through tonight. Any remaining cloud cover will clear from NNW-SSE by late this evening. This will allow a second round of gusty winds tonight along the coast and over the Eastern Shore (15-20 mph gusts) and then across the FA Friday afternoon (15-20 mph gusts inland and 20- 30 mph gusts along the coast and over the Eastern Shore). Lows tonight will fall into the mid 20s N, upper 20s central, and low 30s in SE VA/NE NC.

SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 335 PM EST Thursday .

Mostly sunny, cooler, and dry Friday with highs in low 40s over the Eastern Shore, mid to upper 40s along the coast in eastern Va, and upper 40s to around 50F for the rest of the FA. Dewpoints will drop into the single digits in the afternoon with minimum RH values in the low to mid 20s over the Eastern Shore and along the coast and in the teens inland. Gusty NW winds in the afternoon with sustained winds 10 to 15 mph and gusts to 15-20 mph inland and 20-30 mph gusts along the coast and over the Eastern Shore. Fortunately, the ground and fire fuels remain moist, otherwise, this would be an increased fire danger day. Winds subside Fri night as high pressure continues to build to the west. Lows Fri night in the mid 20s N and upper 20s to around 30F S.

Dry weather will continue Sat and Sun with highs ranging from the low 50s SW to upper 40s NE (low to mid 40s over the Eastern Shore) Sat and from the upper 40s to around 50F SW to the low to mid 40s NE Sun. Lows Sat night in the mid to upper 20s. Gusty WNW winds 15-20 mph inland and along the coast and 20-25 mph over the Eastern Shore will once again return Sat afternoon.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 330 PM EST Thursday .

Mainly dry weather will continue from Saturday night through Wednesday night. The surface high continues to build toward the area before becoming centered just to our west Monday AM. Lows Sat/Sun nights will be in the mid/upper 20s in most areas, with highs Monday in the upper 40s to mid 50F.

A warming trend begins early next week as ridging aloft builds over the ern CONUS and the surface high becomes centered off the Carolina coast. This will result in SSW-SW low level flow across the FA. High temperatures will warm each day from the 50s on Monday to near 70 by Thursday. Low temperatures will warm each morning from the low 30s Tuesday morning to low 50s by Thursday morning. A cold front may try and approach the area from the north by Thursday. Although, almost all guidance keeps the rain showers and front to our north.

AVIATION /21Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 1240 PM EST Thursday .

VFR conditions will prevail through the 18z TAF period. Winds are generally NW 10-15 kt with gusts to 20 kt (gusts to 25 kt at SBY) behind a dry cold front which moved through this morning. ORF is the outlier with NNE winds due to the coastal influence. FEW to SCT CU around 5000-6000 ft AGL have begun to appear and will continue to increase in coverage before dissipating after sunset. Winds subside this evening to around 7-10 kt before a second surge of wind moves through tonight which will shift winds to NNW around 10 kt with some gusts to 15-20 kt near the coast and over the Eastern Shore. Winds will again become NW Friday with gusts to 15-20 kt inland and to 25 kt at SBY possible by late morning and early afternoon.

OUTLOOK . A prolonged period of generally benign weather is expected to continue into early next week as high pressure builds back over the area.

MARINE. As of 330 PM EST Thursday .

WNW winds 10-15 kt north and light onshore for central/southern waters will continue into the evening behind a cold front that has moved well south of the local area. A stronger period of CAA is expected this by this evening through Fri morning with NNW winds increasing to 15-25 kt with gusts of up to 30 kt. Waves heights reach 4-5 ft with 3-4 ft waves in the Bay. Winds/waves/seas diminish/subside Friday afternoon. SCAs will remain in place for the rivers until 10 am, most of the Bay and Currituck Sound until 1 pm and on the coastal waters until 4 pm.

Generally benign marine conditions then favored later Fri and over the upcoming weekend. Sfc high pressure rebuilds over the mid- Atlantic region . eventually pushing offshore late in the weekend into early next week while another weak area of sfc low pressure moves E-NE across the Gulf coast to the southeast coast. Looking to remain sub-SCA through this time frame . w/ with winds out of the N- NW Sun-Mon.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Friday for ANZ635>638. Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Friday for ANZ631>634. Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Friday for ANZ630-650-652- 654-656-658.

SYNOPSIS . ERI/RMM NEAR TERM . RMM SHORT TERM . RMM LONG TERM . CP/ERI AVIATION . RMM MARINE . JDM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 6 mi52 min NNE 9.9 G 12 47°F 1010.9 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 7 mi44 min 47°F2 ft
44086 17 mi57 min 48°F2 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 23 mi58 min NNE 12 G 16 50°F 51°F1011.2 hPa
44095 31 mi44 min 55°F3 ft

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC6 mi25 minNNE 810.00 miFair50°F36°F58%1010.8 hPa
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC12 mi45 minENE 1210.00 miFair51°F33°F49%1011.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFFA

Wind History from FFA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmSW4W3W4W4W5CalmN6N7
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1 day agoNE4E4E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE4CalmE4NE4E4NE3CalmNE3NE3N3NE5CalmCalm
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N5CalmNE3CalmCalmCalmN7N6N6N4N3N5
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Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:16 AM EST     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:28 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:52 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 11:11 AM EST     3.07 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:20 PM EST     -0.28 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:00 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 11:46 PM EST     3.56 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.42.71.80.90.2-0.2-00.51.32.12.83.12.92.41.60.80.1-0.3-0.20.31.12.12.93.4

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina (2)
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:16 AM EST     -0.16 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:28 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:52 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 11:15 AM EST     3.09 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:20 PM EST     -0.26 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:00 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 11:50 PM EST     3.58 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.42.71.80.90.2-0.1-00.51.22.12.83.132.51.70.80.1-0.2-0.20.31.12.12.93.4

Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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