Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Nashville-Davidson, TN

SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 817 PM CDT Sun May 11 2025

A surface and upper low are circulating over Louisiana this evening, and the southerly flow coming out of the gulf is pushing abundant moisture into Middle Tennessee, which is one reason why we've experienced an increase in convective activity late this afternoon and evening. During the next 48 hrs., this system will track across or very close to the mid state, and this will help maintain medium to high PoPs over the area through Tuesday.
Fortunately, the risk of severe storms remains very low during this period. The active weather pattern will settle down somewhat by Tuesday evening, but the reprieve will be only temporary.

LONG TERM
(Wednesday through next Monday)
Issued at 817 PM CDT Sun May 11 2025

Temperatures are going to warm considerably Wednesday and Thursday while our rain chances remain low. Thursday's high temperatures will approach 90 degrees across a large portion of Middle Tennessee, and the mid to upper 80s on Friday. Rain and storm chances will resume by Friday, and an early look at forecast soundings suggests that considerable instability will develop in this warm and relatively moist environment. An upper trough looks to come through the mid state late Friday or Friday evening, so we will be paying close attention to our severe storm potential during this time frame. Low to medium rain chances will persist through the weekend with continued warm temperatures. The 6-10 day outlook suggests no cessation in this pattern, although the 8-14 day outlook hints at cooler temperatures.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 627 PM CDT Sun May 11 2025

Chances for the taf sites to be impacted by showers and storms will continue through the overnight hours. Exact timing is not known so prevailing -shra groups were used during the windows of highest probabilities. There will be breaks especially during the late morning and early afternoon before more scattered showers and storms develop during the mid to late afternoon. In addition to the rain, MVFR cigs are expected to develop after midnight and linger through Monday morning. Winds will slowly turn from the ESE to the SE and remain 5-10 kts.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Nashville 64 79 61 78 / 80 60 40 90 Clarksville 64 77 59 77 / 80 70 30 70 Crossville 60 73 58 71 / 70 70 40 100 Columbia 63 78 59 76 / 80 60 30 80 Cookeville 62 76 59 72 / 60 70 40 100 Jamestown 60 75 58 72 / 50 70 40 100 Lawrenceburg 63 77 59 75 / 80 60 40 80 Murfreesboro 63 79 59 76 / 70 60 40 90 Waverly 63 76 59 75 / 70 60 30 70

OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.