Sunrise 5:59 AM   Sunset 7:30 PM Moonrise 8:31 PM   Moonset 6:11 AM

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FXUS64 KOHX 240648 AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 148 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM

SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 129 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Light rain this morning is currently moving through northern zones due to a Midwest trough and weak cold front to our north. Besides the wind shift today to the northwest, temps will still be on the rise, with upper ridging working its way eastward from the Plains.
Temps today should get into the mid 70s for most of the mid state and around 70 on the Plateau. With ridging moving further east Thursday, the upward temp trend will continue with highs in the mid 70s yet again. But some weak shortwave activity will bring light rain chances Thursday evening into the overnight hours, and carry into the day Friday.

LONG TERM
(Thursday Night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 129 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Not much rain expected with the weak shortwave for Thursday night into Friday, with the main effects being the warm front and increase in surface wind speeds, as well as warmer temps. Highs Friday through the weekend will be in the 80s, with strong southerly winds around 10 to 20 mph and gusts to around 25 mph during the day. Ensembles are unsure of precip chances during the weekend, but are more confident on rain chances next Monday and Tuesday with a strong Plains trough moving eastward. Right now higher rainfall chances expected to our northwest, but a lot can change in the movement and location of the trough before next week. Surface winds should calm down a bit Monday and Tuesday with the trough moving over the area, and models are not showing much in the way of strong to severe storm chances with this trough either. Current model runs show a pretty quiet remainder of April severe wise, and hopefully that trend continues.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1226 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Light rain is working its way through the region, but conditions should remain VFR overnight. KSRB/KCSV look to see MVFR cigs by around 12Z and last through the late morning. Otherwise expecting VFR cigs to continue. Southwest winds around 5 to 10 knots overnight will become northwest around 10 knots through the day.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Nashville 75 46 76 57 / 0 0 10 30 Clarksville 73 44 72 55 / 0 0 20 40 Crossville 69 42 72 52 / 20 0 10 20 Columbia 76 46 76 57 / 0 0 20 30 Cookeville 70 44 72 55 / 10 0 10 20 Jamestown 70 41 72 50 / 20 0 10 20 Lawrenceburg 75 48 74 57 / 0 0 20 30 Murfreesboro 75 45 77 56 / 10 0 10 30 Waverly 76 49 74 57 / 0 0 20 30

OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.

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