Thursday, April15, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Furnace Creek, CA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:09AMSunset 7:18PM Wednesday April 14, 2021 10:33 PM PDT (05:33 UTC) Moonrise 7:46AMMoonset 10:00PM Illumination 11% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Furnace Creek, CA
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location: 36.41, -116.88     debug


Area Discussion for - Las Vegas, NV
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FXUS65 KVEF 150240 AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Las Vegas NV 745 PM PDT Wed Apr 14 2021

SYNOPSIS. Seasonable temperatures and general breeziness will continue through the weekend.

UPDATE. A veil of cirrus draped across the region lead to a colorful sunset this evening with otherwise quiet conditions. Gusty winds have begun to ease and humidity continues to rise this evening, so will let the Red Flag warning expire at the top of the hour. Otherwise the forecast is in good shape with no updates needed.

-Outler-

SHORT TERM. Today through Friday.

A sfc low will continue to push off to the east today leaving the main weather driver as an upper level closed low which will continue to spin over northern Nevada through tonight before shifting eastward over the Rockies on Thursday. Local impacts from this set up will be in the form of breezy southwest winds with gusts reaching 30-40 mph across San Bernardino, Mohave, and southern Clark counties today. These winds combined with dry conditions will create elevated fire danger in Mohave County, in particular, where a Red Flag Warning will be in effect through this evening. Areas to the north of a weak frontal boundary draped across the area including the southern Great Basin and Inyo County will see lower winds out of the west northwest gusting 20-30 mph. A few showers and even isolated storms will continue to pop this afternoon across northern Lincoln County as well as Esmeralda and northern Inyo counties provided the development of some meager instability this afternoon.

As mentioned above, the upper level low will shift to the east on Thursday, dragging the weak frontal boundary out of the area and shifting the prevailing winds to north to northwest. Speeds look to be lighter between 10-15 mph with gusts around 20 mph on Thursday afternoon. This will continue on Friday as general troughing remains over the region and a shortwave transitions across the Great Basin which will also help keep our temperatures near seasonal normals.

LONG TERM. Saturday through Tuesday.

Over the weekend, a weak shortwave will shift over the local area with little in the way of impacts. Most of the precip will remain confined to areas to the east over central Arizona and Utah but it will reinforce northerly breezes and seasonal temperatures. The Colorado River Valley will see slightly stronger northerly winds which could create some elevated waves on area lakes but the current forecast is borderline for a Lake Wind Advisory with winds 20-25 mph gusting around 30 mph. Quiet weather continues into early next week as the shortwave exits to the southeast Sunday night into Monday allowing ridging to build in from the west and in turn temperatures to warm quickly Monday and Tuesday. Some variance shown in the deterministic and latest ensemble runs as well as within the cluster analysis is in the Tuesday/Wednesday time frame where solutions vary between continued ridging, a weak passing shortwave, or nearly zonal flow. All-in-all any scenario looks unimpactful right now. It just might affect some of the finer details in wind and temps early/mid next week.

FIRE WEATHER. Elevated fire weather conditions continue today as the weather remains dry and breezy. The most concerning area is Mohave County where winds will still be pushing gusts of around 40 mph with very dry conditions. The western Mojave Desert is another area of concern with gusts of similar magnitude but should see some some improvement in terms of RH values mid to late this afternoon. Elsewhere, southwest winds gusting 20 to 30 mph are expected through this evening except across the southern Great Basin and Inyo County where winds have shifted to the west to northwest on the backside of a stationary frontal boundary. On Thursday, winds will shift to the north to northwest area wide gusting 20-25 mph with critical afternoon RH values between 5-20 percent.

AVIATION. For McCarran . Gusty southwest winds will continue through this evening, with gusts to around 25KT likely. The previously mentioned north to northwest push looks like it should hold off until Thursday morning, with continue southwest to west winds overnight. Gusts should drop off after sunset but continued elevated speeds over 10KT are likely through early Thursday. A brief period of light winds is possible before north winds arrive for Thursday afternoon. Moderate confidence that speeds will be 10KT or more, with gusts up to 20KT possible Thursday afternoon. Some mid to high clouds are expected at times through about midnight before skies clear out Thursday morning. Afternoon scattered cumulus are possible Thursday afternoon, with CIGs around 12kft-15kft.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast California . Isolate showers are possible near BIH this afternoon and evening, however confidence is too low that showers will make it to near the terminal. Slightly higher confidence that CIGs to around 5000ft will pass through at times, mainly through 06Z tonight. Otherwise, gusty winds will continue through early tonight, with the strongest winds through DAG into southern NV and western Arizona. Winds should diminish overnight, with gusts ending area wide be early Thursday morning. Northerly winds are likely for much of the area for Thursday, with gusts to around 20KT possible through southern Nevada and western Arizona, as well as down the Colorado River Valley. northwest-north wind at times will prevail down the Owens Valley.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT. Spotters are encouraged to report any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating procedures.

DISCUSSION . Guillet AVIATION . Nickerson

For more forecast information . see us on our webpage: https://weather.gov/lasvegas or follow us on Facebook and Twitter


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Mercury, Desert Rock Airport, NV48 mi40 minNNE 18 G 3110.00 miFair and Breezy58°F21°F24%1006.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDRA

Wind History from DRA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW12
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W14SW9SW13
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W4W5W6--SW10SW8SW9
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1 day agoE4CalmNE5NE4E3NE3Calm33CalmNW5SW6SW9
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2 days ago----------------------NE15N9N8W6--S9
G19
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SW14
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SW11
G21
W7N7E4E5

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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