Wednesday, September23, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Lead Hill, AR

Version 3.4
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8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:00AMSunset 7:09PM Wednesday September 23, 2020 2:35 PM CDT (19:35 UTC) Moonrise 1:06PMMoonset 10:54PM Illumination 40% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lead Hill, AR
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location: 36.41, -93     debug


Area Discussion for - Little Rock, AR
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FXUS64 KLZK 231913 AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 213 PM CDT Wed Sep 23 2020

SHORT TERM. Tonight Through Friday

Rain continues to fall across much of the SE half of the state as the remnants of Beta, which is located across western LA, continues to push northeast. Will continue to see rainfall come to an end from west to east across the state during the overnight hours, with rain lingering in only extreme eastern portions of the CWA by daybreak. Additional rainfall totals this evening and overnight will be a half of an inch or less. Tonight, do expect some patchy fog to be develop mainly across portions of northern and western Arkansas. Elsewhere, do expect winds to remain strong enough to discourage any fog development.

In the coming days dry weather will return as an upper level ridge builds in over the area. As a result, temperatures will continue to warm each day through the end of the short term with afternoon high temperatures returning to the lower 80s.

LONG TERM. Friday Night Through Wednesday Night

Long range guidance continues to depict an evolving upper air pattern conducive for a Canadian airmass intrusion into the S/Ern US by the middle of next week . To begin the long term, a quasi-zonal segment of the polar jet will begin to sag further Swrd into the Nrn US out of Canada, with the Ern periphery of an Ern Pac upper high beginning to edge into Baja California and the S/Wrn US. More locally, the Natural State will remain in a lull in between progressive upper level features through most of Sat.

Sat night/Sun morning, both GFS and ECMWF depict an upper lvl perturbation/vorticity max over the Nrn Rockies/Canada border region quickly deepening into a progressive shortwave trough which will pivot over the Upper Great Lakes through the remainder of the weekend. As the aforementioned upper high builds over the Wrn US w/in the same timeframe, a persistent ridging/troughing upper flow pattern will develop over the CONUS, w/ GEFS/ECP ensemble guidance depicting anomalously low H500 height fields and cold H850 temperatures over the Ern & Cntrl US by the middle of next week.

As the first Upper Great Lakes shortwave pivots through the mean flow on Sun, the associated sfc mass response will yield a broad area of anticyclonic flow over the Cntrl Plains under forcing for descent in the wake of the shortwave. At the leading edge of the sfc high, a cold front will enter from the N/W sometime Sun bringing the first shot of drier air into the fcst area overnight into Mon morning.

Through Mon and into Tues, H500 guidance depicts another robust vorticity max/jet streak pivoting through the mean flow, yielding another high amplitude shortwave. This will position strong upper N/Wrly flow of 40-50 kts over AR, and the resulting sfc low from strong divergence aloft will position a tailing cold front over much of the OH river valley, with a much stronger sfc anticyclone descending S/wrd out of the Nrn Great Plains. The resulting sfc pres grad will drive strong N/Wrly winds behind the front, w/ a time of arrival into the state most likely early Tues morning, and quickly pushing towards the S/E through the day. Some isolated PoPs may accompany the FROPA, but given the antecedent airmass from the first front, have omitted any Chc PoPs for now. Following the FROPA, most Arkansans will get their first real taste of fall w/ significantly cooler lows on Tues and Wed night, and pleasant afternoon highs w/ much drier air in place.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Batesville AR 55 71 56 80 / 60 50 10 0 Camden AR 59 75 60 82 / 30 10 0 0 Harrison AR 52 73 55 80 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 58 76 59 80 / 20 10 0 0 Little Rock AR 58 74 59 80 / 60 30 10 0 Monticello AR 60 73 61 80 / 60 50 0 0 Mount Ida AR 55 77 57 82 / 20 20 0 0 Mountain Home AR 53 74 54 80 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 56 71 56 79 / 80 70 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 59 73 60 80 / 60 40 0 0 Russellville AR 59 76 58 82 / 10 10 10 0 Searcy AR 57 70 56 79 / 70 50 0 0 Stuttgart AR 57 71 59 80 / 70 40 0 0

LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories. NONE.

Short Term . 65 / Long Term . GREEN


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Harrison, Boone County Airport, AR12 mi43 minE 610.00 miOvercast66°F55°F70%1017.1 hPa
Branson, MO14 mi51 minSSE 1010.00 miMostly Cloudy70°F57°F64%1018.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHRO

Wind History from HRO (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr6SE7SE8SE7SE7SE9SE8SE8SE6SE5E5E5SE6E4SE7E5E3E6E6E6E8E8SE10E6
1 day agoS9SE11E8SE6E6SE5SE6SE5SE5E3E4SE6CalmCalmE3SE4E3SE4E3SE4SE3SE5SE5SE7
2 days agoSE66SE11E3E4E3E4SE4SE4SE5SE3CalmN3CalmCalmSE3CalmCalmSE4SE5SE6E7SE7SE7

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Springfield, MO
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