Sunrise 6:30 AM   Sunset 7:52 PM Moonrise 3:04 PM   Moonset 3:42 AM

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FXUS64 KLZK 191124 AAA AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Little Rock AR 624 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Today through Saturday Night)
Issued at 244 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

A cold front will continue to push through the state to begin the period bringing the chance for showers and thunderstorms through the early morning hours Friday. The front is expected to stall just to the south of the CWA keeping an unsettled weather pattern in place through the weekend. An upper level trough will dive down from the Central Plains Saturday bringing an additional round of widespread rain to the state...highest QPF amounts are expected to be across southern AR. The chance for severe weather on Saturday is low at this time.

By late Sunday...the trough will continue to slide east as high pressure slides back over the area. This will promote calm and dry conditions into early next week.

Temperatures are expected to be warmest Friday with highs in the mid to upper 60s and overnight lows in the mid 40s to mid 50s. With the chance for increased cloud cover and rain showers, temperatures will be cooler Saturday with highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s and overnight lows in the 40s.

LONG TERM
(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 244 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

To begin the period, rain and storms will be located across southeastern Arkansas as the unsettled weather in the short term finally comes to an end across the state Sunday night. By Monday
high pressure begins to move back into the state
bringing back those calm and dry conditions. An additional round of unsettled weather will return to the state by the middle of next week.

Temperatures are expected to be coolest to begin the period before warming early next week. High temperatures Sunday are expected to be in the upper 50s to mid 60s with overnight lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s. By early next week, highs will begin to warm into the lower 70s to lower 80s with overnight lows in the lower 50s to lower 60s.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 619 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

Cold front has cleared all but southern parts of the state this morning with only a few scattered showers remaining in its wake.
MVFR and lower cigs will persist through at least the morning hours with the southern half of the state potentially seeing a longer period with low clouds. Some improvement is likely from this afternoon into the overnight before precip moves in from SW to NE near the end of the period. Winds behind the front are out of the north, becoming more Erly later today. Highest speeds, including gusts to 20 kts are likely through the morning hours before relaxing later in the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 69 49 62 46 / 10 20 30 20 Camden AR 67 52 58 47 / 20 50 80 80 Harrison AR 67 46 60 42 / 10 20 20 20 Hot Springs AR 67 50 56 46 / 10 50 70 60 Little Rock AR 68 53 60 49 / 10 30 50 40 Monticello AR 68 55 60 50 / 20 40 70 80 Mount Ida AR 67 50 56 46 / 10 50 80 60 Mountain Home AR 69 48 63 44 / 10 20 20 20 Newport AR 68 51 61 48 / 10 20 30 30 Pine Bluff AR 67 53 57 49 / 20 50 60 60 Russellville AR 69 50 60 47 / 10 30 50 20 Searcy AR 68 49 60 46 / 10 20 40 30 Stuttgart AR 66 53 58 49 / 10 20 50 50

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.

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