Monday, June21, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Sunbury, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 5:46AMSunset 8:30PM Monday June 21, 2021 3:26 AM EDT (07:26 UTC) Moonrise 4:08PMMoonset 2:07AM Illumination 86% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ638 James River From James River Bridge To Hampton Roads Bridge- Tunnel- 259 Am Edt Mon Jun 21 2021
Through 7 am..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms late.
Today..S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming se late in the morning, then becoming sw in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tue..W winds 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Tue night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers and tstms in the evening.
Wed..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Thu..NE winds 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Thu night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Fri night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 259 Am Edt Mon Jun 21 2021
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. Tropical depression claudette will strengthen as it exits off the north carolina coast today. A cold front crosses the waters on Tuesday. High pressure builds in from the north Wednesday and Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sunbury, NC
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location: 36.54, -76.5     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 210703 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 303 AM EDT Mon Jun 21 2021

SYNOPSIS. Tropical Cyclone Claudette is forecast to continue to move east-northeast this morning, tracking just to the south of the area before moving offshore by the afternoon. A fairly strong early summer cold front crosses the area from Tuesday to Tuesday evening.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 155 AM EDT Monday .

The latest GOES IR/WV satellite channels (and the latest NHC intermediate advisory) show that TC Claudette has now moved to a position nearly 100 miles SSW of Raleigh, NC. Meanwhile, a ~996 mb sfc low is over the Great Lakes, with a fairly strong early summer cold front extending SW into the srn Plains. It is still dry (but very muggy) across the local area with temperatures and dew points in the low to mid 70s. The deepest convection is along/just off the coast of SE NC, which is well to the southeast of the center of the storm. However, there are some showers (with embedded thunder) that are east of the center and moving N toward NE NC. This next round of showers and occasional storms is expected to increase a bit in coverage as it moves into NE NC and SE VA by 3-6 AM this morning as the center of Claudette approaches the Albemarle Sound from the WSW. These showers (and isolated storms) will move NE by mid to late morning, possibly impacting the VA Eastern Shore. A brief tornado or two will be possible during the 3-8 AM timeframe with any convection NE of the low as a south-southwesterly 925 mb jet increases in advance of Claudette and surface winds back from the SSW to SSE. The greatest chc of seeing a tornado is in NE NC, but a brief tornado cannot be completely ruled out in far SE VA. Showers/storms will pull offshore by late morning as Claudette moves NE off the NC coast and out to sea.

Skies clear out behind Claudette from W to E late this morning into the afternoon. This will allow temps to soar into the low to mid 90s (hottest temperatures are expected across wrn portions of the FA). With afternoon dew points dropping into the upper 60s-70F central/west and low 70s near the coast, expect heat indices to top out in the upper 90s to low 100s. There is a slight chance of an isolated shower/tstm in areas (roughly) along and west of I-95 in addition to the Lower MD Ern Shore from very late this aftn through much of the evening. Cannot rule out localized damaging wind gusts with any tstm that does form late this aftn/this evening given the strong surface heating and drying mid levels (SPC has a Marginal Risk for roughly the NW half of the area). However, widespread severe wx is not expected late this aftn/this evening. Any lingering convection wanes overnight and the aforementioned (relatively strong) cold front is progged to move to a position just NW of the FA by late tonight. Lows tonight in the low 70s NW to the mid 70s SE.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. As of 300 AM EDT Monday .

On Tuesday, a strong summer cold front is still progged to slowly cross the area during the day. Aloft, a large northern stream trough extending from Ontario to the Ohio Valley will quickly track eastward toward Quebec/the ern CONUS. Meanwhile, a southern stream shortwave initially near the Gulf coast approaches from the SW and phases as it gets picked up by that larger trough over our area during the day on Tuesday. This will allow a line of showers/tstms to develop along the front by late morning/midday before slowly moving SE during the latter half of the day as the aforementioned cold front crosses the area. There will likely be a decent amount of post-frontal rain in most locations before pcpn chances end from NW-SE from the late afternoon through Tuesday night as high pressure slowly builds toward the area.

PoPs quickly ramp up to 70-90% across central/NW zones by midday before increasing across SE VA/NE NC by late afternoon. Although the front is progged to move through the area relatively quickly (considering that it is almost July), there is the potential for training showers/storms through the day across central and SE VA. With PWATs increasing to 2.0-2.2" across central and SE portions of the FA, cannot rule out isolated instances of flash flooding (especially in urban areas). The latest 00z/21 HREF shows at least 10% probabilities for 3" of rain in 3 hours across much of central and SE VA from roughly 15-21z Tuesday. WPC has maintained a Marginal Risk for excessive rainfall across the entire area from 12z Tue-12z Wed. The severe threat will be limited by the nearly saturated atmospheric profile in addition to poor (5-5.5 C/km) mid-level lapse rates. However, localized damaging wind gusts cannot be completely ruled out. Highs Tues will range from the mid 70s NW to the mid- upper 80s SE. However, temperatures will quickly drop into the upper 60s to around 70F following the FROPA. The latest 00z/19 suite of models are now in better agreement regarding a quicker FROPA (clearing the area by Tue evening), so dropped off PoPs a bit quicker Tue night. Lows Tues night in the mid 50s NW and mid 60s SE.

Mostly sunny with partly cloudy skies SE Wed and drier. Highs will also be cooler on Wed in the mid to upper 70s. Lows Wed night in the low to mid 50s for most and upper 50s to around 60 SE.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 300 AM EDT Monday .

Continued mainly dry for Thu as high pressure settles off the east coast from southern New England to the northern mid-Atlantic. Farther south off the southern mid-Atlantic and Carolina coast, the models maintain that the front stalls and retrogrades back to the NW later thu into Fri. The 00z/21 models are in slightly better agreement at bringing moisture back into the local area. The blends suggest keeping PoPs closer to 20% across NE NC Thu aftn and along the coast through Fri 18Z, then will have the chance for some diurnal PoPs of 15-30% Fri aftn. Highs Thu are forecast to be in the upper 70s/around 80F at the coast and into the lower 80s inland with partly sunny skies in the SE and mostly sunny conditions elsewhere. Lows Thu night in the upper 50s well inland and lower-mid 60s near the coast. Highs Fri into the lower-mid 80s.

The high gradually becomes centered well offshore into the weekend as an upper trough is slow to approach from the west. Chances for diurnal convection get higher Sat and especially Sunday as a cold front begins to get closer to the local area. Highs Sat-Sun will mainly be in the mid to upper 80s with lows mainly in the 60s.

AVIATION /07Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 155 AM EDT Monday .

TD Claudette is centered just north of the NC/SC border early this morning. Showers/tstms associated with the system are still over SE NC (and near the SC coast) as of 0545z. VFR conditions still prevail at PHF/SBY, but have started to see MVFR CIGs at RIC/ORF/ECG. Clouds will continue to thicken and lower this morning as Claudette tracks ENE toward the NC Outer Banks. Prevailing MVFR CIGs are expected at all terminals except SBY by 08-09z, with IFR possible this morning at ECG and RIC. Moderate to occasionally heavy showers (with embedded tstms) will likely move into ECG by around 09z (with light-moderate showers at ORF/PHF by 10-12z). The probability of showers is only 20% at RIC and SBY. Pcpn should end by 15z. Any showers and embedded tstms have the potential to produce IFR/LIFR VSBY in heavy rain. The wind is expected to shift to the SSE-SE as Claudette approaches and then switch to the W (briefly NNW at ECG), then SW by this afternoon. Conditions are expected to quickly improve this afternoon as Claudette tracks offshore. There is a low (~15%) chc of tstms at RIC/SBY from 21-03z this evening.

VFR/mainly dry for most of tonight. Widespread showers/tstms (and flight restrictions) are expected Tuesday with a strong cold front. Dry conditions are expected by midweek as high pressure builds into the region. A slight chc of mainly afternoon/evening showers/tstms returns later in the week.

MARINE. As of 300 AM EDT Monday .

SCA's remain in place for the VA/NC coastal waters south of Cape Charles and Currituck Sound as TD Claudette tracks across the nrn Outer Banks this morning before deepening and accelerating across the Va Capes this aftrn and tonite. Minimal SCA conditions expected today as the strongest winds are progged with the convection south and east of the center.

Attention then turns to a rather strong cold frontal passage (for early summer) that is progged across the waters late Tue. There will likely be a period with higher winds as the wind directions shift to the NW later Tue, with the models now showing a secondary CAA surge Wed morning from the north. SCA headlines will likely be needed for a svrl hour period arnd 12Z Wed. Then generally sub-SCA conditions are expected Wed night through Fri (although seas remain elevated off the NC coast).

Despite a tropical systm exiting off the Mid Atlntc coast, kept a moderate risk for rip currents today as the swell periods are progged to remain btwn 6-8 seconds.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for ANZ656- 658. Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ633.

SYNOPSIS . ERI/RMM NEAR TERM . ERI SHORT TERM . ERI/RMM LONG TERM . ERI/LKB AVIATION . AJZ/ERI MARINE . MPR


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 20 mi56 min SSW 5.1 G 7 76°F 78°F1008.8 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 26 mi56 min SSW 9.9 G 15 76°F 1009 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 29 mi56 min SSW 6 G 8 75°F 1009 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 29 mi56 min 77°F1009 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 32 mi56 min 76°F 1008.9 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 37 mi56 min S 8.9 G 13 75°F 1009.4 hPa
44087 38 mi60 min 76°F1 ft
CHBV2 41 mi56 min SSW 11 G 14 76°F 1008.2 hPa
44072 47 mi50 min SSW 14 G 16 74°F 76°F2 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 47 mi56 min S 13 G 16 77°F 1009.6 hPa
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 47 mi56 min SSW 8 G 11 76°F 76°F1008.2 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 48 mi60 min 68°F2 ft
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 49 mi60 min 74°F3 ft

Wind History for Money Point, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Suffolk, Suffolk Municipal Airport, VA11 mi31 minN 07.00 miFair74°F73°F96%1009.1 hPa
Chesapeake, Chesapeake Municipal Airport, VA13 mi31 minSE 45.00 miFog/Mist73°F71°F95%1009.1 hPa
Franklin / J B Rose, VA24 mi31 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy72°F72°F98%1008.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSFQ

Wind History from SFQ (wind in knots)
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmS3S6S6S7S10S8SW6W9SW6SW9S7S6S4S5S7S7S3S5SW8SW7

Tide / Current Tables for Suffolk, Virginia
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Suffolk
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:10 AM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:07 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:10 AM EDT     3.65 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:06 PM EDT     -0.16 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:08 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:42 PM EDT     4.77 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.20.40.10.20.81.72.63.33.63.52.81.90.90.2-0.20.10.81.8344.64.74.33.4

Tide / Current Tables for Hollidays Point (bridge), Virginia
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Hollidays Point (bridge)
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:38 AM EDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:06 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:24 AM EDT     2.91 feet High Tide
Mon -- 01:34 PM EDT     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:09 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:56 PM EDT     3.81 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.10.10.41.11.92.52.92.82.41.810.3-0.1-0.10.31.12.133.63.83.632.1

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