Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Monterey, CA

SHORT TERM
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 115 PM PDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Quiet conditions persist as a trough pattern set up off the West Coast provides a deep onshore flow regime. This will keep temps around seasonal normals - slightly below normal along the coast.
Otherwise, dry conditions continue at higher elevations (generally above about 2,000 feet) where humidity recovery is poor and grasses are very dry.

LONG TERM
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 115 PM PDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Out persistent trough pattern eventually gets kicked out by a progressive shortwave trough moving into the West Coast. Not much worth noting regarding our weather in this case besides the potential for some drizzle along coastal areas early next week.
Behind the shortwave, we do see a subtle warm up on tap through Wednesday, but again nothing worth getting bent out of shape for.
We'll basically see high temps around normal or a few degrees above. The main hazard over the next week will be dry conditions inland leading to elevated grass fire danger, especially above 2,000 feet where humidity recovery is poor.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 431 PM PDT Sat Jun 14 2025

VFR conditions with moderate onshore winds will continue for the majority of terminals through the evening. Early Sunday morning, there is a decent chance that IFR/MVFR stratus will return. Since the skies are mostly clear from the coast to well offshore, the confidence that stratus will redevelop and impact the more vulnerable terminals is only moderate. Where it does form, the duration should be limited to around 6 hours or so before confidently clearing later Sunday morning.

Vicinity of SFO...Moderate onshore winds will continue through the early evening before easing overnight. Model guidance is indicating the chance of MVFR ceilings early Sunday morning is similar to a coin-flip at SFO. While GFSLAMP and HRRR are both indicating around a 50-55% for MVFR ceilings at SFO, HRRR shows closer to 75% at OAK, hence the SCT015 at SFO and BKN015 at OAK in the 00Z TAFs. If ceilings do develop, there's high confidence that VFR conditions will return later Sunday morning while moderate onshore winds return.

SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.

Monterey Bay Terminals...VFR through the afternoon. MRY and SNS have a good chance for IFR ceilings to develop in the early morning. Since the marine layer is more compressed at the southern terminals, there is a small chance for visibility impacts as well, particularly at MRY. Ceilings will start to clear late morning with high confidence in VFR conditions returning by midday.

MARINE
(Tonight through next Thursday)
Issued at 431 PM PDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Fresh to strong northwesterly breezes, near gale force gusts, and moderate to rough seas will prevail through at least Wednesday.
Localized gale force gusts are likely near the coastal jet regions of Point Reyes and Point Sur during the afternoon and evening hours.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 556 PM PDT Sat Jun 14 2025

No real notable changes to the ongoing forecast fire weather wise.
Still highlighting elevated fire weather conditions across the interior Central Coast. While not in our forecast area, a decent veg fire developed and spread quickly to over 1k acres in SLO.
This could have easily happened in San Benito or Monterey counties.

Observations over the last 24 hour and predicted weather continue to show marine layer influence keeping fire weather conditions in check for lower elevations and coastal areas. However, about roughly 2k feet and farther inland conditions remain mild and dry both day and night. On top of that is onshore flow leading to breezy conditions each afternoon. Some of the winds are being enhanced by topography leading to gustier flow in the valleys, gaps, passes with 20-35 mph gusts.

Simply put, if you're recreating outdoors, be one less spark in these elevated fire weather conditions.

MM

MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM PDT this evening for Mry Bay- Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm.

Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Monday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM-Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.

Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Sunday for Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm.

Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM Sunday to 3 AM PDT Monday for Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm.

Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM to 9 PM PDT Sunday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm.