Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Emporia, VA
October 3, 2023 3:57 PM EDT (19:57 UTC)
Sunrise 7:06AM Sunset 6:53PM Moonrise 8:32PM Moonset 10:55AM
ANZ637 James River From Jamestown To The James River Bridge- 307 Pm Edt Tue Oct 3 2023
Through 7 pm..E winds 5 kt. Waves flat.
Tonight..E winds 5 kt. Waves flat.
Wed..NE winds 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves flat, increasing to less than 1 foot and light chop in the afternoon.
Wed night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop.
Thu..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop.
Thu night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop, diminishing to flat.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop, increasing to 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers through the night.
Through 7 pm..E winds 5 kt. Waves flat.
Tonight..E winds 5 kt. Waves flat.
Wed..NE winds 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves flat, increasing to less than 1 foot and light chop in the afternoon.
Wed night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop.
Thu..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop.
Thu night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop, diminishing to flat.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop, increasing to 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers through the night.
ANZ600 307 Pm Edt Tue Oct 3 2023
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers..
quiet marine conditions continue through late week with high pressure in control. A seasonally strong cold front moves through the area Friday night into Saturday with elevated winds, waves, and seas expected from Saturday afternoon through Sunday night.
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers..
quiet marine conditions continue through late week with high pressure in control. A seasonally strong cold front moves through the area Friday night into Saturday with elevated winds, waves, and seas expected from Saturday afternoon through Sunday night.
Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 031907 AFDAKQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 307 PM EDT Tue Oct 3 2023
SYNOPSIS
High pressure slowly builds south across the from the eastern Great Lakes through tonight, and remains near the region through Thursday bringing dry and warm conditions. A strong cold front will approach from the west late Thursday and Friday, crossing the area Friday night into early this weekend, bringing cooler and more autumn-like conditions For Saturday night through much of next week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/
As of 300 PM EDT Tuesday...
Latest weather analysis reveals 1022+mb sfc high pressure centered over the interior northeast this afternoon, with the sfc ridge extending S across the lower mid-Atlantic region into the western Carolinas. Aloft, a broad ridge of high pressure is noted over the eastern CONUS with a deep upper trough lifting across the intermountain west toward the central and southern high plains.
19z Obs showing temperatures largely into the upper 70s and low 80s across most of the local area with cooler mid to upper 70s along the coast. An increasingly marine-influenced airmass is infiltrating inland beneath the subsidence inversion aloft, and is allowing for partly cloudy conditions away from the immediate coast. Meanwhile, a mostly sunny sky continues offshore and just inland.
Sky clears out quickly after sunset this evening. That clear sky and light winds likely combine to yield some patchy fog late tonight into early Wednesday. Ground fog/mist will mainly remain along the coast, but is also expected to eventually develop across the piedmont well inland. Early morning low temps in the low-mid 50s inland and closer to 60 degrees along the coast.
SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
As of 300 PM EDT Tuesday...
Upper pattern becomes a bit more blocky for the midweek period, with a piece of the upper ridge breaking off and slipping offshore of the northeast coast, with the upper trough lingering across the northern Plains into the upper midwest. Meanwhile, the surface high pressure slides offshore of the northeast coast Wed aftn/evening. This will provide a bit more of a marine layer influence in the lower levels, with some additional clouds developing across the area Wed aftn and evening into Thu.
Otherwise, continued dry and comfortable again Wednesday afternoon with high temps around 80 degrees and pleasant humidity levels. Overnight low temps Wed night/Thu morning generally in the mid 50s inland to the low/mid 60s near the coast under an increasingly cloudy sky.
Clouds linger through much of Thursday, with high temps in the mid to upper 70s to around 80 degrees. Partly to mostly cloudy Thursday night but remaining dry. Low temps fall to around 60 degrees inland with low to mid 60s closer to the water.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 300 PM EDT Tuesday...
Rex block pattern finally starts to break down Thu night and Fri, which allows the upper trough to the northwest and its attendant strong sfc cold front to swing east Fri into the weekend. Surface high pressure moves well offshore ahead of the approaching upper trough/front Friday. This will allow for one more mild day Friday with high temps in the mid to upper 70s. A weak coastal trough off the SC/GA coast will spread moisture NNW across the Carolina coastal plain and the Hampton Roads area.
Generally slight chance PoPs across the region (mainly) from midday Friday into Friday evening ahead of the approaching cold front. 12z guidance is trending into better agreement but temporal differences remain with respect to the timing of the frontal passage across the area. The GFS remains the fastest of the bunch with the front moving through late Friday into early Saturday. The ECMWF and to a lesser extent the GEM (per their respective biases) are each a bit slower and wetter, with a slower progression (keeping showers around into Saturday afternoon).
Either way, given the dry antecedent airmass and with forcing for ascent maximized north of our region, this system is unlikely to bring much precip, to the region before moving offshore with PoPs generally 20-30% for isolated to widely scattered showers.
Anomalously strong upper trough swings east across the northeast CONUS late Friday night into Saturday morning.
After a mild start to Saturday, markedly cooler and drier air spills across the area on increasingly gusty NNW winds Sat afternoon and evening. Max temps Saturday will be highly dependent on the frontal timing (A faster frontal passage will bring cooler temperatures, a slower fropa would portend a warmer day). At this time, have nudged highs down a degree or two toward the low temperatures Friday night/Sat morning, with highs Sat only in the mid to upper 60s inland, low 70s along the coast.
Much cooler for the remainder of the extended forecast period with lows Saturday night falling into 40s inland with low 50s near the coast. Cool and breezy on Sunday and Monday, with highs only topping out in the low to mid 60s despite considerable sunshine. Sunday night looks to be the coolest we've seen in quite some time with lows in the low 40s for the Piedmont, mid 40s for the I-95 corridor and upper 40s to low 50s at the coast.
Thicknesses (and NBM 5th and 10th percentile values) do argue that a few of the typically colder, more rural spots along the US-15 corridor NW of Richmond could dip into the upper 30s.
Dry conditions then persist for much of the first half of next week, with high temps Tuesday in the 60s with early morning lows Tue and Wed mornings falling back into the 40s .
AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 1055 AM EDT Tuesday...
Surface high pressure remains centered to the north of the local area. Fog has eroded largely as expected across terminals.
Forecast soundings continue to show some moisture at the top of the mixed layer this afternoon, resulting in SCT CU around 5kft this afternoon (especially RIC/PHF/ORF). Light and variable winds this morning will continue this afternoon away from the coast. Closer to the water, NE winds generally 5-10 kt through the afternoon.
Outlook: VFR conditions continue through Thu outside of any patchy ground fog that may develop prior to sunrise. High pressure over the region today shifts off the nrn Mid Atlc coast by mid week. A cold front approaches from the W Fri into Sat bringing a minimal chance of rain showers.
MARINE
As of 300 PM EDT Tuesday...
High pressure remains overhead through late week, gradually moving NE through the week. High pressure moves off of New England Thurs into Fri ahead of the next weather system. This will result in a prolonged period of light winds over the waters with winds generally out of the NE at 5-10 kt this afternoon through Fri. Winds do become E briefly tonight before turning back to NE. A strong shortwave deepens Fri into Sat as it dives SE into the Great Lakes, eventually lingering over interior New England Sat night into early next week as a cutoff low. At the surface, a low occludes over SE Canada into the Great Lakes Fri into early next week, pushing a seasonally strong cold front through the area Fri night into Sat. Behind the cold front, CAA will ramp up with winds becoming NW 15-25 kt with gusts 25-30 kt. Winds may reach SCA level by early Sat afternoon if the GFS/Canadian are correct with the EURO a slow outlier (late Sat afternoon). Winds are expected to remain elevated into Sun before becoming W ~15 kt Sun afternoon through Mon. SCAs will be needed for this surge. A few showers will also be possible with the front.
Waves and seas were 1-2 ft (2-3 ft at the mouth of the bay) and 4-6 ft (4 ft N and 4-6 ft S) this afternoon. Seas are expected to subside to 3-4 ft except 4-5 ft across the S coastal waters tonight.
Expect seas across the NC coastal waters to subside below 5 ft Wed morning. As such, SCAs remain in effect until 10 PM for the VA coastal waters from Cape Charles Light to the VA/NC border and 10 AM Wed for the NC coastal waters. Seas are expected to build to 5-7 ft Sat through Sun night behind the cold front.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for ANZ656.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ658.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 307 PM EDT Tue Oct 3 2023
SYNOPSIS
High pressure slowly builds south across the from the eastern Great Lakes through tonight, and remains near the region through Thursday bringing dry and warm conditions. A strong cold front will approach from the west late Thursday and Friday, crossing the area Friday night into early this weekend, bringing cooler and more autumn-like conditions For Saturday night through much of next week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/
As of 300 PM EDT Tuesday...
Latest weather analysis reveals 1022+mb sfc high pressure centered over the interior northeast this afternoon, with the sfc ridge extending S across the lower mid-Atlantic region into the western Carolinas. Aloft, a broad ridge of high pressure is noted over the eastern CONUS with a deep upper trough lifting across the intermountain west toward the central and southern high plains.
19z Obs showing temperatures largely into the upper 70s and low 80s across most of the local area with cooler mid to upper 70s along the coast. An increasingly marine-influenced airmass is infiltrating inland beneath the subsidence inversion aloft, and is allowing for partly cloudy conditions away from the immediate coast. Meanwhile, a mostly sunny sky continues offshore and just inland.
Sky clears out quickly after sunset this evening. That clear sky and light winds likely combine to yield some patchy fog late tonight into early Wednesday. Ground fog/mist will mainly remain along the coast, but is also expected to eventually develop across the piedmont well inland. Early morning low temps in the low-mid 50s inland and closer to 60 degrees along the coast.
SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
As of 300 PM EDT Tuesday...
Upper pattern becomes a bit more blocky for the midweek period, with a piece of the upper ridge breaking off and slipping offshore of the northeast coast, with the upper trough lingering across the northern Plains into the upper midwest. Meanwhile, the surface high pressure slides offshore of the northeast coast Wed aftn/evening. This will provide a bit more of a marine layer influence in the lower levels, with some additional clouds developing across the area Wed aftn and evening into Thu.
Otherwise, continued dry and comfortable again Wednesday afternoon with high temps around 80 degrees and pleasant humidity levels. Overnight low temps Wed night/Thu morning generally in the mid 50s inland to the low/mid 60s near the coast under an increasingly cloudy sky.
Clouds linger through much of Thursday, with high temps in the mid to upper 70s to around 80 degrees. Partly to mostly cloudy Thursday night but remaining dry. Low temps fall to around 60 degrees inland with low to mid 60s closer to the water.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 300 PM EDT Tuesday...
Rex block pattern finally starts to break down Thu night and Fri, which allows the upper trough to the northwest and its attendant strong sfc cold front to swing east Fri into the weekend. Surface high pressure moves well offshore ahead of the approaching upper trough/front Friday. This will allow for one more mild day Friday with high temps in the mid to upper 70s. A weak coastal trough off the SC/GA coast will spread moisture NNW across the Carolina coastal plain and the Hampton Roads area.
Generally slight chance PoPs across the region (mainly) from midday Friday into Friday evening ahead of the approaching cold front. 12z guidance is trending into better agreement but temporal differences remain with respect to the timing of the frontal passage across the area. The GFS remains the fastest of the bunch with the front moving through late Friday into early Saturday. The ECMWF and to a lesser extent the GEM (per their respective biases) are each a bit slower and wetter, with a slower progression (keeping showers around into Saturday afternoon).
Either way, given the dry antecedent airmass and with forcing for ascent maximized north of our region, this system is unlikely to bring much precip, to the region before moving offshore with PoPs generally 20-30% for isolated to widely scattered showers.
Anomalously strong upper trough swings east across the northeast CONUS late Friday night into Saturday morning.
After a mild start to Saturday, markedly cooler and drier air spills across the area on increasingly gusty NNW winds Sat afternoon and evening. Max temps Saturday will be highly dependent on the frontal timing (A faster frontal passage will bring cooler temperatures, a slower fropa would portend a warmer day). At this time, have nudged highs down a degree or two toward the low temperatures Friday night/Sat morning, with highs Sat only in the mid to upper 60s inland, low 70s along the coast.
Much cooler for the remainder of the extended forecast period with lows Saturday night falling into 40s inland with low 50s near the coast. Cool and breezy on Sunday and Monday, with highs only topping out in the low to mid 60s despite considerable sunshine. Sunday night looks to be the coolest we've seen in quite some time with lows in the low 40s for the Piedmont, mid 40s for the I-95 corridor and upper 40s to low 50s at the coast.
Thicknesses (and NBM 5th and 10th percentile values) do argue that a few of the typically colder, more rural spots along the US-15 corridor NW of Richmond could dip into the upper 30s.
Dry conditions then persist for much of the first half of next week, with high temps Tuesday in the 60s with early morning lows Tue and Wed mornings falling back into the 40s .
AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 1055 AM EDT Tuesday...
Surface high pressure remains centered to the north of the local area. Fog has eroded largely as expected across terminals.
Forecast soundings continue to show some moisture at the top of the mixed layer this afternoon, resulting in SCT CU around 5kft this afternoon (especially RIC/PHF/ORF). Light and variable winds this morning will continue this afternoon away from the coast. Closer to the water, NE winds generally 5-10 kt through the afternoon.
Outlook: VFR conditions continue through Thu outside of any patchy ground fog that may develop prior to sunrise. High pressure over the region today shifts off the nrn Mid Atlc coast by mid week. A cold front approaches from the W Fri into Sat bringing a minimal chance of rain showers.
MARINE
As of 300 PM EDT Tuesday...
High pressure remains overhead through late week, gradually moving NE through the week. High pressure moves off of New England Thurs into Fri ahead of the next weather system. This will result in a prolonged period of light winds over the waters with winds generally out of the NE at 5-10 kt this afternoon through Fri. Winds do become E briefly tonight before turning back to NE. A strong shortwave deepens Fri into Sat as it dives SE into the Great Lakes, eventually lingering over interior New England Sat night into early next week as a cutoff low. At the surface, a low occludes over SE Canada into the Great Lakes Fri into early next week, pushing a seasonally strong cold front through the area Fri night into Sat. Behind the cold front, CAA will ramp up with winds becoming NW 15-25 kt with gusts 25-30 kt. Winds may reach SCA level by early Sat afternoon if the GFS/Canadian are correct with the EURO a slow outlier (late Sat afternoon). Winds are expected to remain elevated into Sun before becoming W ~15 kt Sun afternoon through Mon. SCAs will be needed for this surge. A few showers will also be possible with the front.
Waves and seas were 1-2 ft (2-3 ft at the mouth of the bay) and 4-6 ft (4 ft N and 4-6 ft S) this afternoon. Seas are expected to subside to 3-4 ft except 4-5 ft across the S coastal waters tonight.
Expect seas across the NC coastal waters to subside below 5 ft Wed morning. As such, SCAs remain in effect until 10 PM for the VA coastal waters from Cape Charles Light to the VA/NC border and 10 AM Wed for the NC coastal waters. Seas are expected to build to 5-7 ft Sat through Sun night behind the cold front.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for ANZ656.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ658.
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KEMV EMPORIAGREENSVILLE RGNL,VA | 2 sm | 22 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 81°F | 61°F | 51% | 30.17 | |
| KIXA HALIFAXNORTHAMPTON RGNL,NC | 24 sm | 27 min | NE 04 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 77°F | 66°F | 69% | 30.16 |
Wind History from EMV
(wind in knots)Tide / Current for Petersburg, Appomattox River, James River, Virginia
EDIT Weekend mode (on/off) (on/off) Help
Petersburg
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:39 AM EDT 0.12 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:06 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:32 AM EDT 3.24 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:56 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 02:30 PM EDT 0.20 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:50 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 07:47 PM EDT 3.70 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:30 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:39 AM EDT 0.12 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:06 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:32 AM EDT 3.24 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:56 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 02:30 PM EDT 0.20 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:50 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 07:47 PM EDT 3.70 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:30 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Petersburg, Appomattox River, James River, Virginia, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.1 |
| 1 am |
| 0.6 |
| 2 am |
| 0.2 |
| 3 am |
| 0.2 |
| 4 am |
| 0.7 |
| 5 am |
| 1.8 |
| 6 am |
| 2.7 |
| 7 am |
| 3.2 |
| 8 am |
| 3.2 |
| 9 am |
| 2.8 |
| 10 am |
| 2.2 |
| 11 am |
| 1.5 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 7 pm |
| 3.5 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.4 |
| 10 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.2 |
City Point (Hopewell)
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:27 AM EDT 0.11 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:02 AM EDT 2.93 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:06 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 11:56 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 01:18 PM EDT 0.18 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:49 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 07:17 PM EDT 3.35 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:29 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:27 AM EDT 0.11 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:02 AM EDT 2.93 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:06 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 11:56 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 01:18 PM EDT 0.18 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:49 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 07:17 PM EDT 3.35 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:29 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
City Point (Hopewell), James River, Virginia, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.5 |
| 1 am |
| 0.2 |
| 2 am |
| 0.2 |
| 3 am |
| 0.7 |
| 4 am |
| 1.5 |
| 5 am |
| 2.2 |
| 6 am |
| 2.7 |
| 7 am |
| 2.9 |
| 8 am |
| 2.7 |
| 9 am |
| 2.2 |
| 10 am |
| 1.5 |
| 11 am |
| 0.9 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 2.5 |
| 6 pm |
| 3.1 |
| 7 pm |
| 3.3 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.2 |
| 9 pm |
| 2.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.5 |
Wakefield, VA,
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