Thursday, July16, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Hampton, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:57AMSunset 8:25PM Thursday July 16, 2020 1:28 PM EDT (17:28 UTC) Moonrise 1:28AMMoonset 3:53PM Illumination 14% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ638 James River From James River Bridge To Hampton Roads Bridge- Tunnel- 1253 Pm Edt Thu Jul 16 2020
This afternoon..E winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming se. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tonight..S winds 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Mon night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 1253 Pm Edt Thu Jul 16 2020
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure will slide off the new england coast this morning. A weak cold front approaches late Friday and will dissipate over the area this weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hampton, VA
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location: 37.01, -76.34     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 161710 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 110 PM EDT Thu Jul 16 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure centered off the New England coast will continue to prevail today, before sliding off the coast tonight into Friday. A trough of low pressure will slide across the area later Friday into Saturday. High pressure off the Southeast coast will bring increasingly hot conditions to the region Sunday into early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 1000 AM EDT Thursday .

Fairly quiet mid July day across the region with surface high pressure off eastern Canada and upper level ridging over the northeast. Low chance pops out west today (10-20%) for some widely scattered showers that may try to sneak into the Piedmont. Otherwise, partly cloudy (partly to mostly cloudy along the eastern shore) with high temps this afternoon ranging from the mid 80s along the coast to lower 90s inland.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 355 AM EDT Thursday .

16/00z numerical guidance is quicker with breaking the ridge down an allowing shortwave energy and a surface trough to track across the region Friday aftn/evening. Forecast PoPs range from 30-50% from the Piedmont to the Ern Shore, with 20-30% for SE VA/NE NC. Much of the local area has received 25-50% of normal rainfall the past 2 weeks (even less in some areas of central VA), so any rain from showers/tstms should be welcome. The only exception in the MD Ern Shore from SBY to WAL to OXB. Given strong surface heating some locally strong wind gusts are possible in any tstms. Hotter and more humid Friday with highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s, and max heat indices in the mid 90s to around 100F. Lows will mainly range from the upper 60s to mid 70s Friday morning.

Similar conditions are expected Saturday with the boundary remaining in the region and some weakness in the ridging aloft over the Mid Atlantic. The potential for showers and tstms increases into the aftn with strong surface heating. Some degree of uncertainty on where the boundary will stall, so will PoPs remain in the chc range (30-50%). More clouds around on Saturday will keep high temperatures in the upper 80s and low 90s (possibly mid 90s for central VA), however, dewpoints in the low to mid 70s will result in afternoon heat indices in the upper 90s and low 100s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 355 AM EDT Thursday .

Latest model guidance for the long range continues to imply hot/humid summer conditions with chance for showers/storms each day. Although certainly not unprecedented, temps are expected to be above normal and the hottest so far this summer, with the broad upper ridge extending from the Rockies through the middle Atlantic states. This will allow 850mb temps of 20-22C to move across the region from the west per the GFS and ECMWF. This would suggest temps in the mid- upper 90s each day with perhaps the warmest day being Monday. In fact, the NBM mean for Monday suggests some 100F high temperatures near and just north of RIC. However, have kept in the upper 90s as any shower/storm activity would keep temps slightly below 100. Regardless of the exact temperature, expect heat index values to approach 105 each day. Speaking of storms, will keep chance PoPs each afternoon/evening in the extended as the area will be on the southern edge of the westerlies which combined with the expected lee trough will allow for late aftn/evening storms to develop across the Piedmont/I-95 corridor and move east before dissipating.

AVIATION /17Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 100 PM EDT Thursday .

Locations have returned to VFR early this afternoon after scattered MVFR ceilings impacted terminals this morning due to a moist easterly flow. Terminals should remain mostly VFR through the period, however guidance does hint at scattered MVFR ceilings hanging around the coast today and tonight. Most likely location impacted overnight would be SBY. Trended lower with ceilings but did not drop them to MVFR with this issuance. Slight chance of an afternoon shower west of the terminals mainly over the VA Piedmont. E/SE winds today will become S/SW on Friday, generally 5-10 kts through the period.

Outlook . Chances for afternoon/evening showers and storms increase for Friday through the weekend, which may result in brief flight restrictions. VFR conditions expected outside of showers/storms.

MARINE. As of 325 AM EDT Thursday .

No headlines in the short term through Saturday. Early this morning, sfc high pressure was pushing off the New England coast. Winds were E 5-10 kt, while waves/seas were 1-2 ft. Expect winds to become SE 10-15 kt this aftn, then SSE 10-15 kt Fri aftn. SSW winds around 10 kt or less expected Sat and Sun, as a weakening frontal boundary washes out over the region. Waves on the Ches Bay will remain 1-2 ft through the period, with seas 2-3 ft.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . AJZ NEAR TERM . CMF SHORT TERM . AJZ/RHR LONG TERM . AJZ/MRD AVIATION . CMF MARINE . JDM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 5 mi58 min 81°F
44087 10 mi62 min 83°F2 ft
44072 14 mi38 min S 12 G 14 79°F
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 16 mi58 min 83°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 17 mi58 min 83°F
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 22 mi58 min 82°F
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 34 mi182 min 80°F3 ft
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 34 mi58 min ESE 1.9 87°F 1025 hPa69°F
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 39 mi34 min ESE 12 G 14 84°F1027.2 hPa

Wind History for Willoughby Degaussing Station, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Norfolk, Naval Air Station, VA6 mi29 minENE 1210.00 miMostly Cloudy87°F70°F57%1024.3 hPa
Langley Air Force Base, VA6 mi32 minE 129.00 miPartly Cloudy83°F73°F74%1025 hPa
Norfolk, Norfolk International Airport, VA11 mi37 minENE 810.00 miPartly Cloudy87°F69°F55%1024 hPa
Newport News, Newport News / Williamsburg International Airport, VA12 mi34 minE 11 G 1710.00 miFair86°F69°F57%1024.1 hPa
Fort Eustis / Felker, VA17 mi32 minESE 710.00 miMostly Cloudy86°F70°F59%1023.7 hPa
Virginia Beach, Oceana, Naval Air Station, VA21 mi32 minE 810.00 miPartly Cloudy84°F70°F63%1024.2 hPa
Chesapeake, Chesapeake Municipal Airport, VA24 mi33 minE 610.00 miLight Rain83°F66°F58%1024 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLFI

Wind History from LFI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE9E10E9E11E10E10E13SE9E8SE9SE6SE4CalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmE6E9E12E11E13E12
1 day ago--NE11NE12NE11E9E8E9E8E4SE5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmNE4NE7E5NE9NE6
2 days agoNE7NE8NE9NE9E7E7SE5SE6S5S5S5CalmCalmCalmS5SW4W3S4SW3--N4NE8NE8SE13
G19

Tide / Current Tables for Old Point Comfort, Hampton Roads, Virginia
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Old Point Comfort
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:20 AM EDT     0.53 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:27 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:15 AM EDT     2.11 feet High Tide
Thu -- 12:04 PM EDT     0.41 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:53 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:45 PM EDT     2.69 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.60.81.21.61.92.121.81.40.90.60.40.50.81.31.92.32.62.72.52.11.61

Tide / Current Tables for Chesapeake Bay Entrance, Virginia Current
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Chesapeake Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:18 AM EDT     -0.77 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 02:26 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:38 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:40 AM EDT     0.37 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:46 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:41 AM EDT     -1.11 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 03:15 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 04:52 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:08 PM EDT     0.78 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:43 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.8-0.7-0.5-0.20.10.30.40.2-0.1-0.4-0.8-1.1-1.1-0.9-0.6-0.10.30.60.80.70.50.3-0.1-0.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.