Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Shaver Lake, CA
December 1, 2023 8:09 AM PST (16:09 UTC)
Sunrise 6:51AM Sunset 4:43PM Moonrise 9:39PM Moonset 11:57AM
Area Discussion for - San Joaquin Valley/Hanford, CA
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FXUS66 KHNX 010832 AFDHNX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hanford CA 1232 AM PST Fri Dec 1 2023
SYNOPSIS
An atmospheric disturbance will be responsible for a slight chance of rain in the San Joaquin Valley and a chance of snow in the Sierra Nevada through later this morning. Strong, gusty winds are expected in the Mojave Desert Slopes until late this morning.
Storms will remain north of Central California this weekend into the middle of next week.
DISCUSSION
Light showers continue to move southward over the Sierra Nevada, adjacent foothills, and the east side of the SJ Valley, per latest radar data. So far tonight, precipitation amounts have generally been light across the region, and we anticipate little change for the remainder of this morning. Light snow will accumulate at elevations mainly above 4,500 feet for the remainder of tonight and the daylight hours this morning. Gusty winds will also persist for the remainder of tonight into the morning hours along the Mojave Desert slopes in eastern Kern County. So far, gusts in these areas have reached around 45 to 50 mph, such as at Mojave and just to the west. Seasonably cool temperatures with chilly nights continue today and through the weekend. In the meantime, some upslope low clouds will provide the potential for patchy dense fog in the mountain areas of Kern County as we progress through the morning hours. By early Saturday morning, the potential for fog shifts to parts of the San Joaquin Valley.
Latest ensemble HRRR (HRRR) data suggests around a 30 to 40 percent chance of dense fog (visibility of 0.25 mile or less)
in portions of the San Joaquin Valley, mainly in the typical prone areas such as Merced, as well as Sanger, Reedley, Selma, Hanford, Lemoore, areas just west of Visalia, Corcoran, and the Tulare Lake bed (including along Highways 41, 43, and 198). Overall, this is not a high confidence forecast with regard to fog at this time, but perhaps medium at best. We see potential for at least one more episode of Tule fog development on Saturday night into Sunday as the upper-level ridge of high pressure continues to build over the Golden State (tis the season).
A warming trend commences early next week, and afternoon highs warm to about 10 degrees above seasonal averages. High temperatures are projected to peak during the middle of next week.
Probabilities for high temperatures at least 70 degrees on Wednesday in the San Joaquin Valley reach as high as 70 percent towards Bakersfield and 50 percent for Fresno, Visalia, and Hanford. Lower probabilities prevail north of Fresno, although similar percentages are for temperatures at least 67 degrees for locations such as Madera and Merced. Overnight lows will remain chilly, although the likelihood of Tule fog in the Central Valley will increase, especially as we finish the first week of December. The next opportunity for precipitation is by Thursday of next week, albeit a slight chance, including locations mainly north of Kern County.
AVIATION
MVFR or lower conditions are likely in and near any precipitation across the Sierra Nevada, adjacent foothills, and Kern County mountains through 18Z Friday. Strong west to northwest winds on the lee side of the Tehachapi Mountains may increase turbulence until 18Z Friday. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail across the Central California interior for the next 24 hours.
AIR QUALITY ISSUES
On Friday December 1 2023, Fireplace/Wood Stove Burning Status is: No Burning Unless Registered in Fresno, Kern, Kings, Madera, Merced, and Tulare Counties. Burning Discouraged in Kern (Greater Frazier Park Area) and Sequoia National Park and Forest.
CERTAINTY
The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.
Certainty levels include low
medium
and high. Please visit www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information and/or to provide feedback.
HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Wind Advisory until 10 AM PST Friday for CAZ338.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hanford CA 1232 AM PST Fri Dec 1 2023
SYNOPSIS
An atmospheric disturbance will be responsible for a slight chance of rain in the San Joaquin Valley and a chance of snow in the Sierra Nevada through later this morning. Strong, gusty winds are expected in the Mojave Desert Slopes until late this morning.
Storms will remain north of Central California this weekend into the middle of next week.
DISCUSSION
Light showers continue to move southward over the Sierra Nevada, adjacent foothills, and the east side of the SJ Valley, per latest radar data. So far tonight, precipitation amounts have generally been light across the region, and we anticipate little change for the remainder of this morning. Light snow will accumulate at elevations mainly above 4,500 feet for the remainder of tonight and the daylight hours this morning. Gusty winds will also persist for the remainder of tonight into the morning hours along the Mojave Desert slopes in eastern Kern County. So far, gusts in these areas have reached around 45 to 50 mph, such as at Mojave and just to the west. Seasonably cool temperatures with chilly nights continue today and through the weekend. In the meantime, some upslope low clouds will provide the potential for patchy dense fog in the mountain areas of Kern County as we progress through the morning hours. By early Saturday morning, the potential for fog shifts to parts of the San Joaquin Valley.
Latest ensemble HRRR (HRRR) data suggests around a 30 to 40 percent chance of dense fog (visibility of 0.25 mile or less)
in portions of the San Joaquin Valley, mainly in the typical prone areas such as Merced, as well as Sanger, Reedley, Selma, Hanford, Lemoore, areas just west of Visalia, Corcoran, and the Tulare Lake bed (including along Highways 41, 43, and 198). Overall, this is not a high confidence forecast with regard to fog at this time, but perhaps medium at best. We see potential for at least one more episode of Tule fog development on Saturday night into Sunday as the upper-level ridge of high pressure continues to build over the Golden State (tis the season).
A warming trend commences early next week, and afternoon highs warm to about 10 degrees above seasonal averages. High temperatures are projected to peak during the middle of next week.
Probabilities for high temperatures at least 70 degrees on Wednesday in the San Joaquin Valley reach as high as 70 percent towards Bakersfield and 50 percent for Fresno, Visalia, and Hanford. Lower probabilities prevail north of Fresno, although similar percentages are for temperatures at least 67 degrees for locations such as Madera and Merced. Overnight lows will remain chilly, although the likelihood of Tule fog in the Central Valley will increase, especially as we finish the first week of December. The next opportunity for precipitation is by Thursday of next week, albeit a slight chance, including locations mainly north of Kern County.
AVIATION
MVFR or lower conditions are likely in and near any precipitation across the Sierra Nevada, adjacent foothills, and Kern County mountains through 18Z Friday. Strong west to northwest winds on the lee side of the Tehachapi Mountains may increase turbulence until 18Z Friday. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail across the Central California interior for the next 24 hours.
AIR QUALITY ISSUES
On Friday December 1 2023, Fireplace/Wood Stove Burning Status is: No Burning Unless Registered in Fresno, Kern, Kings, Madera, Merced, and Tulare Counties. Burning Discouraged in Kern (Greater Frazier Park Area) and Sequoia National Park and Forest.
CERTAINTY
The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.
Certainty levels include low
medium
and high. Please visit www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information and/or to provide feedback.
HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Wind Advisory until 10 AM PST Friday for CAZ338.
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San Joaquin Valley, CA,
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