Sunday, September19, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Bethel Manor, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:49AMSunset 7:08PM Sunday September 19, 2021 10:17 AM EDT (14:17 UTC) Moonrise 5:54PMMoonset 4:12AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ636 York River- 955 Am Edt Sun Sep 19 2021
Rest of today..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot and light chop.
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop.
Mon..E winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt late. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop, increasing to 1 to 2 ft late.
Mon night..E winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the late evening and overnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft, diminishing to less than 1 foot and light chop in the late evening and overnight.
Tue..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop.
Tue night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop.
Wed..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop, increasing to 1 to 2 ft in the afternoon. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Wed night..S winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft, diminishing to less than 1 foot and light chop after midnight. A chance of showers.
Thu..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop. A chance of showers.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop, diminishing to flat after midnight. A chance of showers in the evening.
ANZ600 955 Am Edt Sun Sep 19 2021
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure centered to the north remains place through early this week before sliding offshore ahead of a strong cold front. That front approaches the area late Wednesday, before crossing the waters Thursday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bethel Manor, VA
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location: 37.17, -76.4     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 191342 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 942 AM EDT Sun Sep 19 2021

SYNOPSIS. A weak cold front drops across the region later today. High pressure builds across the area today and tonight, before sliding offshore Monday through midweek. A strong cold front crosses the area Thursday into Thursday night, bringing markedly cooler and drier air to the region for late this week into next weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 935 AM EDT Sunday .

Another warm late summer day ahead. Mostly sunny with a NNE wind aob 10 kts. Can't rule out a stray shwr across the s-sw after 18Z. Highs in the 80s, coolest along the coast.

PVS DSCN: Any lingering showers push SSW into north central/central NC this evening, with a gradually clearing sky expected. Could see a recurrence of late night stratus/fog late tonight, mainly in our SW piedmont into NE NC. Otherwise, mild with lows again in the mid 60s to the lower 70s.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. As of 350 AM EDT Sunday .

High pressure slides offshore of the northeast/northern Mid- Atlantic coast late Monday into Tuesday, signaling another modest warmup Mon/Tue. Models show a slow increase in moisture Tue aftn as the flow becomes onshore. Minimal instability through the period, as mid/upper ridging lifts over the eastern seaboard, so will not carry any thunder wording. However, did carry low chc PoPs for scattered afternoon and evening showers mainly along/west of I-95 corridor. Lows in the 60s. Highs Mon 80-85. Highs Tue upr 70s-lwr 80s.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 350 AM EDT Sunday .

Aforementioned upper ridge pushes offshore Tuesday night, out ahead of a potent upper trough dropping out of the northern plains toward the upper midwest on Wednesday. As we've noted over the past couple of days, GFS remains on the fast side of guidance, with the CMC/ECMWF on the slower side, with the 00z/UKMet about middle of the road. The latter blend closes off the trough into an upper low across the Ohio Valley on Thursday. As you'd imagine with a dynamic, deep closing off to our NW, 00z model timing of the frontal passage has slowed a bit. Frontal passage now modeled to be after 00z/Thu on into the day on Thursday.

As far as sensible weather goes, expect some overrunning showers will be possible late Tue night and Wednesday as the warm front lifts north across the area. The front then slowly crosses the area Thursday into Thursday night. Still some uncertainty to wade through as we get closer. Again, GFS timing would clear out Thu a bit faster than the remaining guidance. Still hedged toward WPC frontal timing, Which is heavily ECMWF/CMC/UKMet weighted.

Cool canadian high pressure then builds into the area late in the day Thu into Thu night, with clearing from SW to NE Thu night into Friday Dry, much cooler. and dare we say Fall- like . for Fri/Sat. Highs Fri/Sat in the 70s, lows in the 50s to near 60 se. Typically cooler spots could easily see the upper 40s Fri and Sat nights.

AVIATION /14Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 710 AM EDT Sunday .

Sub-VFR (MVFR to IFR, LCL LIFR) conditions over the VA piedmont into south central VA at sunrise this morning. A cold front near the Mason-Dixon line will slowly sink south toward the area this morning, and wl drop through the region later today. CIGs/VSBY will recover to VFR all sites through 12-14z. Some showers are possible over Hampton Roads area (mainly W-SW of KPHF/KORF) after 18z, coincident with frontal passage. However, with little moisture not anticipating much more than some passing clouds (4-6 KFT AGL) and some isolated shower activity. Areal coverage of any showers looks to be far too low to warrant mention in TAF at this point. The biggest change will be a switch in wind direction to the north this aftn.

Outlook: Some additional late night fog/low stratus Sunday night, with another quick return to VFR Monday morning. VFR conditions then persist Mon thru Tue night, as high pres dominates. Moisture slowly increases by mid week ahead of a strong cold front, which crosses the area early on Thursday.

MARINE. As of 400 AM EDT Sunday .

A high threat of rip currents is expected today for the southern beaches (VA Beach/Currituck). A moderate risk is likely for the northern beaches with waves around 3 ft with winds becoming NE this afternoon.

Weak high pressure was centered over the area and into NC this morning, while stronger high pressure was centered over the northern Great Lakes, pushing south and east. Winds were generally SW to NW around 10 kt or less over the waters, with waves on the the Bay generally around 1-2 ft and ocean seas 3 to 4 ft.

High pressure pushing down from the north later today will result in a more northerly and northeasterly flow later this morning and through the afternoon. Winds will become NE everywhere by this afternoon and remain NE tonight and Monday as high pressure remains in place just to our north. Winds increase to 10 to 15 kt by this afternoon especially from Cape Charles north. Winds gradually become E 10-15 kt Mon night, then SE Tue night through Wed. Winds speeds remain around 10 to 15 kt with seas 2-4 ft Sun through Wed, waves on the Bay 1-2 ft. Conditions will remain sub SCA through Tuesday.

A strong cold front approaches the waters from the W-NW late Wednesday into Wednesday night, before crossing the area by late Thu. Models disagree some with the exact timing of the front, however, the pressure gradient looks to really tighten ahead of the front late Wednesday afternoon and especially Wednesday night resulting in a strong southerly flow which could result in SCA conditions Wednesday afternoon. SCA conditions will likely persist Thursday into early Friday as the front pushes through and winds become northwest behind the front. Winds should start to decrease Friday night.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MAM NEAR TERM . MPR SHORT TERM . MPR/MAM LONG TERM . MPR/MAM AVIATION . MAM MARINE . AJB/JAO


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 6 mi48 min NNE 4.1 G 5.1 77°F 79°F1020 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 6 mi48 min N 7 G 7 76°F
44072 7 mi24 min N 7.8 G 12 78°F 79°F1 ft
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 14 mi48 min NW 6 G 8 77°F 1020.4 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 14 mi48 min NNW 5.1 G 7 78°F 1020.5 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 16 mi48 min 78°F1020.3 hPa
44087 17 mi22 min 79°F1 ft
CHBV2 19 mi48 min N 8.9 G 9.9 77°F 1019.1 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 20 mi48 min WNW 1.9 G 4.1 78°F 1020.1 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 22 mi48 min N 6 G 7 78°F
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 24 mi48 min NNE 1 76°F 1021 hPa72°F
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 27 mi48 min NW 7 G 8 77°F 1020.4 hPa
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 28 mi48 min NW 2.9 G 4.1 78°F 79°F1019.9 hPa
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 28 mi24 min NNE 12 G 18 75°F 79°F1021.8 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 33 mi48 min NNE 14 G 17 1021 hPa
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 40 mi22 min 77°F3 ft
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 48 mi48 min NE 7 G 8.9 77°F 78°F1020.4 hPa

Wind History for Yorktown USCG Training Center, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newport News, Newport News / Williamsburg International Airport, VA6 mi24 minNNE 710.00 miFair79°F73°F82%1020.5 hPa
Langley Air Force Base, VA6 mi22 minNE 710.00 miA Few Clouds79°F78°F97%1021.3 hPa
Fort Eustis / Felker, VA12 mi22 minENE 410.00 miFair81°F67°F63%1020.3 hPa
Norfolk, Naval Air Station, VA17 mi19 minN 88.00 miPartly Cloudy82°F71°F69%1020.8 hPa
Williamsburg-Jamestown Airport, VA17 mi23 minN 010.00 miFair79°F73°F84%1021 hPa
Norfolk, Norfolk International Airport, VA21 mi27 minN 710.00 miFair78°F72°F82%1020.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLFI

Wind History from LFI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN6NE7NE7NE5E7E7E7E4CalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmW3W3W3W4W3CalmNW4N6NE7
1 day agoNE11NE12NE10NE14NE11
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E15NE5NE3E5NE3E6NE5NE6NE7NE5NW3N3N5NW6W5NW7N7NE4
2 days agoSE4SE6SE8SE9SE10E9E11E11E9E9--E8NE10NE7NE8NE10NE9NE10NE11NE10NE10NE9NE11NE14

Tide / Current Tables for York Point, Poquoson River, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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York Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:43 AM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:11 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:51 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:40 AM EDT     2.78 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:54 PM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:53 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:02 PM EDT     2.97 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.30.70.30.20.511.72.32.72.82.521.40.80.30.20.40.91.62.32.832.82.4

Tide / Current Tables for Quarter Point, York River, Virginia
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Quarter Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:48 AM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:11 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:51 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:55 AM EDT     2.70 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:59 PM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:54 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:17 PM EDT     2.88 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.30.70.30.20.40.91.52.12.62.72.521.40.80.30.20.30.81.52.12.62.92.82.4

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