Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Vansant, VA

KEY MESSAGES
1) Pleasant days and chilly nights are expected through early next week, with frost/freeze conditions possible most mornings.

2) Next precipitation chances arrive with a system late next week.

DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...

At least partly cloudy skies will persist as an upper trough pivots over the area today. While the bulk of the area should remain dry, some drizzle could materialize over the northeast mountains this morning. Skies will gradually clear as the trough departs to the northeast and high pressure builds in from the southwest later today and tonight.

Northeast flow will keep temperatures cooler than normal today, with highs expected to stay in the 50s in the lowlands and mid 30s to upper 40s in the mountains. Lows will then descend into the 20s to 30s overnight; therefore, a Freeze Warning has been issued for all counties where the growing season has yet to end (roughly along and south of the I-64 corridor) from midnight tonight through 10 AM Sunday morning.

Dry conditions are generally expected to prevail through the middle of next week, while temperatures moderate toward normal. Nights will remain chilly, facilitating additional opportunities for early morning frost.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

Precipitation chances return to the area by Thursday and linger through the end of the week as an upper-level trough and low migrate east across the forecast area.

This system is projected to bring much colder air down into the Middle Ohio Valley, which could allow rain to transition to snow along the mountains.

AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
While some patches of fog are not entirely out of the question early this morning, light winds and cloud cover should hinder development at most terminals. Restrictions may periodically occur, particularly along the mountains, with clouds bringing a mix of low-end VFR to MVFR ceilings across the area today.

West to northwest winds remain light this morning, then gusts of 15 to 25 kts are possible through the afternoon. After 00Z, winds become calm to light beneath gradually clearing skies.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing and extent of MVFR may vary from the TAFs. Fog may be more extensive if winds calm and skies clear.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE SAT 11/07/26 UTC 1HRLY 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 EST 1HRLY 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H M H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY L M M H H H M H M H H H EKN CONSISTENCY M H H H H H H H H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H L H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H

AFTER 06Z SUNDAY...
IFR conditions possible in river valley fog each night.

RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...Frost Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for WVZ005-006- 013>015-026-027.
Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 10 AM EST Sunday for WVZ005-006-013>015-024>027-033-034.
OH...Frost Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for OHZ087.
Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 10 AM EST Sunday for OHZ087.
KY...Frost Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for KYZ101>103-105.
Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 10 AM EST Sunday for KYZ101>103-105.
VA...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 10 AM EST Sunday for VAZ003-004.