Friday, December6, 2019
Privacy Policy
L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Olmsted, IL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:56AMSunset 4:41PM Friday December 6, 2019 7:50 PM CST (01:50 UTC) Moonrise 2:48PMMoonset 2:18AM Illumination 76% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Olmsted, IL
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 37.18, -89.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Paducah, KY
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS63 KPAH 062343 AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 543 PM CST Fri Dec 6 2019

UPDATE. Issued at 542 PM CST Fri Dec 6 2019

Updated Aviation Discussion for 00z TAFs.

SHORT TERM. (Tonight through Sunday night) Issued at 251 PM CST Fri Dec 6 2019

Surface high pressure is surging southward through the area behind this morning's disturbance. North winds have picked up and become gusty and low clouds are developing and advection southward across the area. The main issue for tonight and Saturday, is the how long the low clouds will linger over the area. The consensus of guidance holds the low clouds over at least west Kentucky and far southeast Missouri through the night and possibly well into Saturday. For now will hold onto the clouds through the night over west Kentucky and eventually scatter them out for the afternoon hours.

The gusty winds will subside through the evening, but we should keep enough wind to prevent fog formation in areas that clear out tonight. Tried to go with the lower end of guidance for lows tonight in the northwest, but where the clouds linger the forecast will probably not be warm enough. Highs Saturday are on the low side of guidance, and may not be low enough if/where the low clouds do not scatter.

South winds will develop Saturday night, and a long period of low-level warm, moist advection will commence. This should result in low clouds developing throughout the area by daybreak Sunday and continuing through 12Z Monday. Saturation should not be deep enough to support any drizzle or light rain early Sunday, but by Sunday afternoon a few areas of light rain or drizzle will be possible.

As an upper-level storm system approaches Sunday night, the moist boundary layer will deepen substantially, making light rain a decent bet in most locations with the best chances in the east and northeast. The 12Z GFS has more forcing and saturates the entire troposphere, so more substantial rains would be possible in that scenario. For now will stick with the lighter consensus QPF with generally less than a tenth of an inch overnight Sunday night.

LONG TERM. (Monday through Friday) Issued at 251 PM CST Fri Dec 6 2019

Main system in the long term period will be early in the week. Models indicate that this will be a relatively quick hitting system that will only impact the area Monday into Monday night. A large scale upper trough will be moving through the western CONUS Sunday night and continue moving through the central part of the country on Monday through Tuesday. As this occurs, a cold front will sweep across the area from west to east Monday into Monday night. Rain will be ongoing at the start of the period and the highest coverage of showers should be east of the Mississippi River, so therefore we will continue to indicate our highest PoPs in these areas. By Monday afternoon, as the front continues to press eastward, the coverage and chances of precipitation for southeast Missouri will significantly dwindle with chances continuing across most of the area. Some instability parameters indicate that there could be a few claps of thunder from time to time on Monday as well.

The bigger concern right now is Monday night. Models continue to differ on how much precipitation will be lingering on Monday evening and into the overnight hours. Much colder air will be filtering in behind the front as strong cold air advection takes place, which could mean a changeover to snow or a rain/snow mixture could be probable. The latest GFS indicates that not much precipitation will be left as we head into the evening hours, but it is an outlier compared to the GFS ensemble mean, Canadian and ECWMF, which do hang onto the precipitation at least into the evening hours with even some post frontal redevelopment noted. Think the operational GFS may be too quick to exit the precipitation as many of the GFS ensemble members do indicate at some lingering QPF during Monday evening.

However, looking at critical thickness levels between 00Z-06Z Tuesday, the cold air is only making it into parts of southern Illinois and southeast MO and probably closer to 06Z. This means any changeover or mix should occur after midnight when most of the precipitation will generally be east of the area. The ECMWF and several of the GFS ensemble members are slower and indicate the best chances for any wintry precipitation, although light, could occur in parts of southeast Indiana and western KY after midnight Monday night possibly extending into early Tuesday morning. Right now though, it is not looking like any substantial accumulations should occur.

After this early week system, there will be a lull in any significant weather systems heading our way although what we will notice is a huge drop in temperatures. After highs in the upper 50s to near 60 degrees on Monday, highs will only be in the 30s on Tuesday with even colder readings likely on Wednesday. Some areas in our far northern counties along and north of I-64 will only reach the upper 20s for highs on Wednesday after Tuesday night lows in the teens in many places. Only slightly warmer weather is expected as we head into Thursday but we should reach the lower 40s by Friday as we obtain some southerly flow.

AVIATION. Issued at 542 PM CST Fri Dec 6 2019

Low confidence forecast regarding how long MVFR ceilings will hang around. Leaning pessimistic over much of western Kentucky due to weak steering flow developing overnight into tomorrow. Even in some areas that clear out this evening, MVFR cigs may try to move back in late tonight into tomorrow morning. This isn't expected over northern terminals (KMVN/KEVV), but may be the case at KCGI/KPAH. Otherwise, gusty northerly winds early this evening will decrease overnight and veer to light east/southeasterly tomorrow.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. IL . None. MO . None. IN . None. KY . None.

UPDATE . SP SHORT TERM . DRS LONG TERM . DRS AVIATION . SP


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cairo Regional Airport, IL11 mi75 minN 12 G 1510.00 miOvercast42°F36°F81%1026.1 hPa
Metropolis Municipal Airport, IL17 mi55 minN 810.00 miOvercast44°F36°F75%1026.4 hPa
Paducah, Barkley Regional Airport, KY18 mi57 minNNE 128.00 miOvercast45°F36°F71%1025.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCIR

Wind History from CIR (wind in knots)
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
Last 24hrSE10S5S8CalmS5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN7N11
G14
N12N16
G21
NW19N14
G21
N10
G18
N10
G15
N12
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE6SE7S6S5CalmCalmCalmCalmS7
2 days agoSW4CalmSW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW6W5W11W8W3W7CalmSW6CalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help Weather Map
wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Paducah, KY (20,4,5,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Paducah, KY
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Cookie Policy:
This webiste uses cookies to save your settings. No personal information is saved. You can disable cookies in your browser if you like but it is not recommended for this site. I do not sell cookies. Go to a bakery for that. In fact I do not sell anything. To disable cookies from L-36.com, please refer to the Help button in your browser.
Privacy Policy:
I do not sell or share any user data or anything else for that matter. I do not keep site logs longer than I need to to keep bad actors off the site. Basically, I delete them after looking at them. If you are subject to CCPA, Google ads on this site will not be based on your past behavior so you will likely not see an ad for a lawn mower just because you looked for one at a big box website. I do not believe this site is subject to CCPA but I am doing what I can to follow the guidelines anyway.
Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.