Wednesday, April21, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Cheriton, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:19AMSunset 7:45PM Wednesday April 21, 2021 12:45 AM EDT (04:45 UTC) Moonrise 12:33PMMoonset 2:22AM Illumination 68% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ654 Coastal Waters From Parramore Island To Cape Charles Light Va Out 20 Nm- 955 Pm Edt Tue Apr 20 2021
.small craft advisory in effect from Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning...
Overnight..S winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Wed..S winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt early in the afternoon, then becoming W late. Seas around 3 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Showers likely with a chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Wed night..NW winds 25 to 30 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt late. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Showers likely with a chance of tstms in the evening.
Thu..W winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Thu night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, subsiding to 2 ft late. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Fri night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sat night..S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Showers likely.
Sun..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Showers likely, mainly in the morning.
Sun night..NW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
ANZ600 955 Pm Edt Tue Apr 20 2021
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure slides farther offshore tonight. A cold front crosses the region Wednesday bringing another chance for showers and Thunderstorms. Cool high pressure builds across the region Wednesday night through Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cheriton, VA
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location: 37.22, -75.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 210118 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 918 PM EDT Tue Apr 20 2021

SYNOPSIS. A strong cold front crosses the region Wednesday. High pressure builds across the area Wednesday night through Friday. Low pressure crosses the region over the weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/. As of 915 PM EDT Tuesday .

Latest analysis shows high pressure off the Mid Atlantic coast with a fast moving cold front approaching from the west. SSW flow ahead of the front overnight results in milder conditions compared to Tuesday morning. Mainly clear to partly cloudy with lows 50-55.

SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 915 PM EDT Tuesday .

Low pressure will track north of the area Thurs. The trailing cold front will cross the local area during the midday/early aftn then push off the coast by late afternoon. Models show a narrow line of showers & isold convection developing along this boundary as it pushes east. The best dynamics are progged arnd the main low which tracks north of the local area. SPC conts to highlight the areas along/east of I95 in a MRGNL svr risk with gusty winds/hail being the main threat along the cold front. Any storms that develop will be quick movers with a timing btwn 15Z- 18Z across the Piedmont, 19Z-23Z along the coast. Given the quick movers, QFP will be aob 1/4 inch. SW winds become gusty at 25-30 mph. Highs upr 60s eastern shore and VA Piedmont to mid 70s across the SE.

High pressure builds in behind the cold front Wed night and Thurs then slowly shifts east Thurs night/Fri. Dry and chilly thru this period. Ptntl freeze across the Piedmont Wed night (west of I95) with lows arnd 32. Elsewhere, dew points may be to low along with some ongoing mixing for much if any frost to form. Lows 35-40. Highs Thurs mid 50s-lwr 60s. Another frost/freeze potential Thurs night dew points a tad higher and lighter winds) with lows in the low-mid 30s west, upr 30s-lwr 40s east. Highs Fri in the 60s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 250 PM EDT Tuesday .

Dry Fri night with increasing cldns. Lows in the 40s. Low pressure approaches from the sw Sat, tracks ne across the region Sat night then deepens as it lifts ne and away from the area Sun. Models differ wrt both the amt of moisture and track of the low, so will keep PoPs limited to chc/likely at this time for Sat aftn and night. Pcpn quickly ends sw-ne Sun morning with decreasing cldns in the aftn. Thunder may eventually be needed across the se if the GFS is right. Highs Sat/Sun 65-70. Lows Sat night upr 40s-mid 50s.

High pressure builds in for the early part of next week. Highs Mon mid 60s-lwr 70s. Lows Mon night in the 40s. Highs Tue in the 70s.

AVIATION /01Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 800 PM EDT Tuesday .

Clouds ahead of an approaching cold front overspread the area late tonight and Wed. Any pcpn with this front holds off until around or after 15Z Wed and is over (moving offshore) before 00z Thu. Highest PoPs will be at KSBY. Expect SCT-BKN CU/AC on Wed with SSW winds becoming gusty at times between 20-25 kts by late morning. Winds then switch to W and NW Wed afternoon behind the front while remaining gusty.

OUTLOOK . VFR conditions expected Wed night thru Fri night as high pressure builds back into the area. Coastal TAF sites will likely see gusty NW winds Thurs. Showers possible again this weekend as low pressure tracks across the area.

MARINE. As of 250 PM EDT Tuesday .

High pressure is off the coast this afternoon, and a frontal boundary is west of the Appalachians. Winds are S/SW 10-15 kts over the local waters. SW flow will increase a bit late this afternoon into this evening to 15-20 kts with gusts around 25 kts. Issued a short fused SCA for the bay that runs from 20Z this afternoon until 05Z tonight. Waves in the bay will increase to 2-3 ft and seas increase to 2-3 ft for the middle and southern coastal waters and 2- 4 ft for the northern coastal waters.

Cold front approaches from the west on Wednesday. S/SW flow ahead of the front increases to 15-20 kts late morning into the early afternoon and then the front will cross the area during the afternoon into the evening. Winds behind the front will become NW 20- 30 kts, with gusts around 35 kts. Wind probs at Tangier Island and buoy 44009 show the best chances for a period of Gale gusts tomorrow evening. After consulting with neighboring offices, elected to go with a Gale Warning for the northern bay and northern most coastal zone (ANZ650) from 20Z Wednesday until 08Z Thursday. SCA was issued for the rest of the coastal waters and Currituck sound also starting at 20Z Wednesday. SCA's for the rest of the bay and the rivers will be issued overnight once the current SCA in the bay expires or is cancelled. Waves in the bay Wednesday night into early Thursday will be 3-5 ft, and seas will build to 5-6 ft.

High pressure builds in from the west for Thursday, but with the continued CAA, SCA conditions are likely to continue through the entire day. Sub-SCA conditions expected Friday as the high moves over the area.

FIRE WEATHER. Gusty winds are expected late Wednesday morning into the afternoon as a cold front crosses the area. Most model guidance keeps the frontal passage dry for areas west of I-95, with only widely scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms for far eastern VA, lower MD and NE NC. Gusts of 25-30 mph can be expected on Wednesday with RH values lowering to around 30 percent across the Piedmont in the late afternoon. Winds will be gusty again Thursday afternoon with min RH values lowering further. Most areas will see min RH values between 25-30 percent. The limiting factor for potential Red Flag conditions will continue to be fuel moisture, given recent rainfall and low KBDI values. However, if a widespread wetting rain is not realized on Wednesday, then an Increased Fire Danger statement will be necessary on Thursday.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ630>632- 634. Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM Wednesday to 7 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ633-652-654-656-658. Gale Warning from 4 PM Wednesday to 4 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ630-650.

SYNOPSIS . MPR NEAR TERM . JDM/MPR SHORT TERM . JDM/MPR LONG TERM . MPR AVIATION . JDM/MPR MARINE . CMF FIRE WEATHER . JM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 11 mi46 min S 12 G 14 60°F
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 21 mi50 min 57°F2 ft
44087 23 mi50 min 60°F2 ft
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 23 mi46 min S 7 G 9.9 61°F 1014.2 hPa (-1.4)
44072 25 mi26 min WSW 12 G 14 62°F
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 25 mi46 min S 18 G 20 1013.8 hPa (-1.1)
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 27 mi46 min SW 6 G 8.9 59°F 62°F1013.7 hPa (-1.4)
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 29 mi46 min SSW 16 G 18 63°F
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 32 mi46 min S 14 G 17 62°F 1013 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 34 mi46 min 62°F1013.7 hPa (-1.1)
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 36 mi46 min S 8.9 G 15 62°F 60°F1013 hPa (-1.0)
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 37 mi46 min SSW 7 G 9.9 62°F 1013.6 hPa (-1.0)
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 38 mi46 min S 12 G 15 62°F 1013.8 hPa (-1.2)
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 41 mi46 min S 4.1 G 8.9 60°F 63°F1013.7 hPa (-1.2)
44089 45 mi20 min 52°F3 ft

Wind History for Kiptopeke, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Virginia Beach, Oceana, Naval Air Station, VA30 mi50 minS 510.00 miFair61°F44°F54%1014 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNTU

Wind History from NTU (wind in knots)
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2 days agoE5E3NE4E3CalmCalmSE3SE7E4E36E7E8E10E9E9E8SE8E6SE6E4SE4SE5E4

Tide / Current Tables for Ship Shoal Inlet, Virginia
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Ship Shoal Inlet
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Wed -- 03:20 AM EDT     3.91 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:21 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:20 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:15 AM EDT     0.71 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:33 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:20 PM EDT     3.53 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:43 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:22 PM EDT     0.86 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.43.13.73.93.83.42.71.91.410.70.81.32.12.83.33.53.432.31.61.20.90.9

Tide / Current Tables for Chesapeake Bay Entrance, Virginia Current
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Chesapeake Bay Entrance
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Wed -- 12:56 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 03:22 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 03:35 AM EDT     0.56 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:14 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 10:54 AM EDT     -0.91 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 01:34 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:33 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 04:47 PM EDT     0.34 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 07:16 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 07:44 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:49 PM EDT     -0.90 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.300.40.50.50.40.30.1-0.3-0.6-0.8-0.9-0.8-0.5-0.20.10.30.30.30.1-0.2-0.6-0.8-0.9

Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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