Saturday, August17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cheriton, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:21AMSunset 7:54PM Saturday August 17, 2019 10:11 AM EDT (14:11 UTC) Moonrise 8:21PMMoonset 7:06AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ654 Coastal Waters From Parramore Island To Cape Charles Light Va Out 20 Nm- 1001 Am Edt Sat Aug 17 2019
Rest of today..NW winds 5 kt, becoming S this afternoon. Seas around 3 ft. Mainly se swell with a dominant period of 8 seconds. A slight chance of showers and tstms this afternoon.
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Mainly se swell with a dominant period of 10 seconds.
Sun..SE winds 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Mainly se swell with a dominant period of 7 seconds.
Sun night..SW winds 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Mainly se swell with a dominant period of 7 seconds.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon night..SW winds 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 1001 Am Edt Sat Aug 17 2019
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A weak frontal boundary will remain stalled near the southern waters today. A wave of low pressure will traverse the boundary Sunday afternoon into the overnight hours.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cheriton, VA
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location: 37.22, -75.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 171356
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
956 am edt Sat aug 17 2019

Synopsis
A frontal boundary will remain nearly stationary over southeast
virginia and northeast north carolina today into Sunday. Weak
high pressure will be over the area on Monday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 955 am edt Saturday...

morning fog and stratus are slowly scattering and lifting over
central and s-central va and the md ERN shore this morning. Warm
and humid with temperatures in the mid 70s to low 80s and
dewpoints in the low mid 70s.

A frontal boundary will remain nearly stationary over SE va and
ne nc during today. Pops will be 15-30%. Highs today will
generally be in the upper 80s to lower 90s, with mid 80s along
the atlantic coast of the ERN shore.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Monday
As of 400 am edt Saturday...

the frontal boundary will gradually get pushed to the SE very
late tonight through sun, as upper ridging starts to build in
from the w. However, the front does linger near the coast, and
the 17 00z gfs ECMWF nam continue to show a wave tracking along
the front over the coastal carolinas later tonight into sun
aftn. Pops of 20-50% will be over SE portions of the area for
the first part of sun. Lows tonight 70-75, followed by hotter
conditions sun, with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s, and
potentially some mid 90s well inland.

The frontal boundary pushes well off the coast Sun night into
mon, as the upper ridge builds in from the w. Pops will be 15-30%
mon aftn with hot and humid conditions developing. Forecast highs
on Mon are 90-95, with upper 80s at the coast, after morning
lows of 70-75.

Long term Monday night through Friday
As of 300 pm Friday...

models continue to show a breaking down of the western atlantic
and western us ridges over the eastern third of the us next
week with a weakness developing in the ridge along the
southeastern us coast by midweek before a northern stream trough
slides across the great lake and northeastern us late in the
week. This is similar to yesterdays runs, although the timing on
the sfc cold front associated with the northern stream trough
is a bit slower than yesterday. Overall, this should lead to a
gradual increase in moisture and convection from Tuesday into
Thursday in advance of the front with more organized
precipitation with the cold frontal passage on Friday. How are
south the front will make it is still in doubt the models begin
to show the western atlantic ridge building back westward late
in the period and this could stall the front across SRN va nrn
nc. So have left pops across this area for Friday.

For temperatures, guidance has trended a little cooler with
this model cycle, with readings generally near normal next week
with highs in the upper 80s to around 90 most days and lows in
the upper 60 to mid 70s.

Aviation 14z Saturday through Wednesday
As of 300 am edt Saturday...

early this morning, conditions ranged fromVFR (ric) to ifr
(sby) at the TAF sites. Isolated showers were over the ERN shore
down into coastal NE nc. A frontal boundary will remain nearly
stationary over SE va and NE nc today into sun, keeping the
best chc for showers tstms over this area, but isolated activity
will still be possible anywhere over the CWA this aftn evening
and Sun aftn evening. MVFR ifr conditions, will continue to be a
possibility at the TAF sites later tonight into Sun morning.

MainlyVFR conditions are expected to prevail Mon and tue,
although a low probability of aftn evening showers tstms will
continue.

Marine
As of 140 am edt Saturday...

no headlines expected through early in the upcoming week. Hi
pres will remain nearly stationary off the coast. Very weak low
pres tracking NE along off the NE nc coast is shown on a couple
of the models during Sun which may briefing result in a period
of ene winds... Otw... Mainly se-sw winds AOB 10 kt through mon.

Wind probs continue to show less AOB 5% for speeds greater than
15 kt. Waves during the period 1-2 ft and seas generally 2-4
ft.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Tmg
near term... Ajz tmg
short term... Ajz tmg
long term... Ess
aviation... Tmg
marine... Alb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 11 mi59 min NNW 6 G 6 76°F
CHBV2 20 mi59 min WNW 7 G 8 78°F 1015.1 hPa
44064 22 mi41 min WNW 5.8 G 7.8 79°F 1015.6 hPa
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 22 mi41 min 78°F3 ft
44087 23 mi41 min 80°F1 ft
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 23 mi53 min W 7 G 8 78°F 1016.2 hPa
44072 25 mi41 min N 3.9 G 5.8 77°F
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 25 mi53 min 1016.6 hPa
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 27 mi53 min NNE 2.9 G 5.1 83°F 81°F1015.5 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 29 mi53 min W 4.1 G 5.1 77°F 1016.3 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 32 mi59 min W 5.1 G 6 78°F 1015.5 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 34 mi59 min 80°F1016.1 hPa
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 36 mi53 min WNW 2.9 G 5.1 76°F 81°F1015.5 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 37 mi53 min WNW 1.9 G 6 80°F 1016 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 38 mi59 min W 4.1 G 6 77°F 1016.4 hPa
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 41 mi53 min NW 1.9 G 2.9 79°F 81°F1015.6 hPa
44089 45 mi41 min 76°F3 ft

Wind History for Kiptopeke, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Virginia Beach, Oceana, Naval Air Station, VA30 mi75 minW 310.00 miMostly Cloudy78°F72°F82%1016 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNTU

Wind History from NTU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS3E10E10E11SE6S9S8S10S8S7S6SW4S5SE3S4CalmCalmCalmNW3CalmNW3NW6W3N3
1 day agoNE7NE8E8E9NE10E9NE5E5E3E6CalmSW3CalmSE4E3SE5S3CalmSE4CalmCalmCalmS5S6
2 days agoSW4SW8SW64SW5NE6E4E4S7
G17
NW126CalmCalmSW3S3S3CalmCalmSW3CalmNE3CalmNE5E6

Tide / Current Tables for Ship Shoal Inlet, Virginia
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Ship Shoal Inlet
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:05 AM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:06 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 10:19 AM EDT     4.08 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:14 PM EDT     0.41 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:21 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:30 PM EDT     4.50 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.42.31.20.400.31.12.133.74.13.93.32.41.60.80.40.61.32.33.344.44.4

Tide / Current Tables for Chesapeake Bay Entrance, Virginia Current
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Chesapeake Bay Entrance
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Sat -- 01:19 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 04:37 AM EDT     -1.16 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 06:22 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:02 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:07 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 10:18 AM EDT     0.60 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 01:05 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 04:38 PM EDT     -1.14 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 07:53 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 07:55 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 09:21 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:37 PM EDT     0.90 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.1-0.3-0.8-1.1-1.1-0.9-0.5-00.40.60.50.30-0.4-0.8-1.1-1.1-0.9-0.500.50.80.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.