Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Goldfield, NV

DISCUSSION
through the weekend.

Latest satellite imagery shows a cutoff low spinning off the Baja Peninsula. Guidance has this low drifting ENE today, just close enough to bring a ~20% chance of isolated showers across southeastern San Bernardino and southern Mohave counties, mainly south of I-40. Cannot rule out a rumble of thunder or two (10% chance). Gusty outflow winds of 30-40 mph are possible (20%) near any precipitation activity. Elsewhere, dry conditions prevail.

The main story throughout the forecast period is the significant warming trend as ridging builds. Highs today are forecast to range from the upper 60s to low 80s. However, by Sunday, we're looking at highs in the upper 70s to mid 90s. Forecast values over the weekend are 15-20 degrees above normal, resulting in widespread minor HeatRisk (moderate in Death Valley). Looking at Las Vegas specifically, latest guidance indicates a 25-50% chance of reaching 90 on Friday, which would tie the earliest occurrence of 90 on record. Chances for 90+ jump to over 75% on Saturday. Looking ahead to next week, models are in good agreement that high pressure will continue to build. In other words, the warming trend shows no sign of stopping through mid-March. Daily and monthly records are likely to be challenged.

AVIATION
For Harry Reid
For the 18Z Forecast Package
Light winds late this morning will veer to the southeast after 20Z as speeds increase to 10 to 13 knots with a few gusts near 20 knots.
Winds will diminish after sunset and settle into a typical southwesterly direction. Similar wind patterns are expected on Tuesday, although afternoon speeds are not expected to be as high.
VFR conditions will prevail through Tuesday, with FEW to SCT clouds with bases AOA 15kft AGL expected. Temperatures will warm through the week, with a greater than 50 percent chance of readings exceeding 90 degrees by the weekend.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast California
For the 18Z Forecast Package
Light and variable winds across the area late this morning will turn southeast by early afternoon, with speeds increasing to around 10 to 15 knots and a few higher gusts, particularly during the late afternoon and early evening. After sunset, winds are expected to diminish, with speeds in most areas falling below 10 knots. The exception will be in the northern Owens Valley/KBIH where up-valley winds gusting to near 20 knots are expected through the evening. There is a very low chance (less than 20 percent) of isolated thunderstorms affecting far southern areas of the region near KEED/KHII this evening and early tonight. Similar wind patterns are expected Tuesday, although speeds will be a bit lighter than what is forecast for today. Aside from the potential convection mentioned above, VFR conditions will prevail through Tuesday with only FEW to SCT clouds with bases AOA 12kft AGL expected.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotters are encouraged to report any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating procedures.