Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Goldfield, NV

UPDATE
Current satellite imagery shows clear skies across most of the area. Cloud cover will increase from the north to the south tonight and tomorrow as a weak shortwave moves through the area.
Overnight lows will be near average for this time of year, which means lows in the mid 60s for Las Vegas. No forecast updates are necessary at this time.

SHORT TERM
Tonight through Sunday.

Low impact weather is expected through Friday. Weak height rises are expected tonight which will keep winds calm and skies clear. On Friday, a weak shortwave embedded in the mean flow will shift through the region. This feature will be dry in the low levels but have some mid to upper level moisture associated with, there will be increasing clouds from northwest to southeast through the day, but no rain is expected. An uptick in winds is possible as this piece of energy moves through, but gusts should remain under 20 MPH in most locations with gusts up to 25 MPH possible in the Mojave Desert wind- prone areas. High temperatures on Friday will be a few degrees warmer than today, which will be near normal for this time of the year.

A stronger, more impactful trough will dig into the region this weekend, which will bring potentially impactful winds and precipitation chances. The main concern will be winds as widespread gusty southwest winds will set up on Saturday as the pressure gradient increases with the deepening system. A strengthening jet also sets up across the Western Mojave Desert through southern Nevada into Arizona. Probabilities for over 40 MPH gusts are over 50% through this region, and many ensemble members show 40-50MPH gusts on Saturday. Decided to issue a Wind Advisory for these areas as confidence is high enough for wind impacts on Saturday. May need to add some locations if confidence increases for gusty winds and wind impacts, especially in Death Valley and the Sierra into the Owens Valley, but did not have enough confidence that widespread wind impacts will occur at this time in those areas. A few ensemble members around Barstow, CA as well as Desert Rock, NV show 55 MPH+ wind gusts on Saturday, but do not have enough confidence for a High Wind Watch/Warning now. Later shifts can now focus on adjusting headlines and wind impact levels as we enter the hi-res model domain and changes in probabilities lead to higher confidence. Southwest winds will slowly diminish Saturday evening, with gusty wind and wind impacts lingering the longest through the Western Mojave Desert. On Sunday, winds will turn northwest as the trough axis moves through. The best chance for wind impacts with gusts over 40 MPH on Sunday will be in Esmeralda, central Nye, and northern parts of Inyo County as the front washes out as it moves further south.
Additional wind headlines may be needed on Sunday in parts of the Southern Great Basin or the Owens Valley, but held off as confidence was lower and it was uncertain how widespread the north wind impacts would be on Sunday.

The best chance for precipitation will be through southern Nevada and northern Mohave County where showers and thunderstorms may develop Saturday and Sunday. This is where PWATs will increase to 125 to 175 percent of normal (generally between 0.50 and 0.75 inches), which will allow for moderate-to-heavy rain rates beneath any thunderstorms that develop, but generally light rainfall is elsewhere. At this time, it looks like the greatest threat of thunderstorms will be across central Nye and northern Lincoln counties Saturday and across central Nye and the remainder of Lincoln County Sunday. Further west, the forecast is trending drier as moisture will be scoured out too quickly behind the trough axis.
Other than some light precipitation on the Sierra Crest, most of the California zones should remain dry.

Temperatures Saturday and Sunday will cool slightly each day as the system moves inland.

LONG TERM
Monday through Wednesday.

Behind the trough, ridging sets up for the start of the work week that will result in Las Vegas chances for 90 degrees rapidly increasing through the week and "Moderate" HeatRisk (Level 2 on a scale from 0 to 4) returning to the low valleys.

AVIATION
For Harry Reid
For the 06Z Forecast Package
Light southwest winds less than 10 knots will continue through the night.
A brief period of light northeast winds is still possible tomorrow morning, although the signal for this has diminished, and winds may stay more variable or westerly. Regardless of the direction, speeds will remain 8 knots or less through at least 18Z. A shift to the southwest is still expected after 18Z, and once this shift occurs, expect winds to remain from that direction through Saturday, along with occasional gusts to 20 knots. VFR conditions will prevail through tomorrow night with bases remaining AOA 15kft AGL.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast California
For the 06Z Forecast Package
The Las Vegas area TAF sites will see conditions similar to those described above for Harry Reid, except winds at KHND will remain primarily out of the southwest through the period. Elsewhere, except KDAG, area TAF sites will see light winds of less than 10 knots through tonight. KDAG will see the typical gusty westerly winds continue through daybreak before decreasing. By tomorrow afternoon, all regional terminals will see winds increasing from the south to southwest, with 20 to 25 knots gusts becoming common by late afternoon. VFR conditions will prevail through tomorrow night with bases remaining AOA 12kft AGL.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotters are encouraged to report any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating procedures.