Gwynn, VA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Gwynn, VA

April 17, 2024 6:23 PM EDT (22:23 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:25 AM   Sunset 7:43 PM
Moonrise 12:54 PM   Moonset 2:43 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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ANZ631 Chesapeake Bay From Windmill Point To New Point Comfort Va- 259 Pm Edt Wed Apr 17 2024

Through 7 pm - S winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot or less. A slight chance of showers.

Tonight - S winds 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers until early morning.

Thu - W winds 10 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.

Thu night - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft.

Fri - NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 foot or less. A chance of showers in the afternoon.

Fri night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot or less. A chance of showers.

Sat - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft.

Sat night - NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Waves around 2 ft.

Sun - N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers in the afternoon.

Sun night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot or less. A chance of showers.

ANZ600 259 Pm Edt Wed Apr 17 2024

Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers -
a warm front continues to lift northward this afternoon. Another front crosses the area Thursday with a stronger cold front then expected by early this weekend. High pressure slowly builds into the area late this weekend through early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gwynn, VA
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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 171845 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 245 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

SYNOPSIS
Warm front brings isolated rain and storms to the area late this evening. A weak cold front pushes through Thursday before a stronger front moves in on Friday resulting in another chance of rain. Warm temperatures continue through the remainder of the week before cooling down this weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 230 PM EDT Wednesday...

Current analysis shows a pair of upper lows across the north-central corridor of the CONUS, with a high amplitude ridge stretching from the Ohio River Valley into the Hudson Bay area of Canada.
Surface high pressure continues to push well offshore. Locally, a warm front is lifting back northward through the area. Skies have been partly to mostly cloudy for the first half of the day today, with more mid to high clouds streaming in from the west.
Locations like Salisbury and Ocean City have held onto low clouds for the entire day so far, with guidance continuing show those low clouds lingering into tonight. Current temperatures are in the upper 70s to around 80 degrees south of the warm front, which is roughly just south of I-64 as of this writing.
To the north, temperatures are in the upper 60s to lower 70s. As the front lifts north of our the CWA by late this afternoon, expect high temperatures to keep warming for the entire area.
Highs are expected to top out in the upper 70s to 80 north, and low to mid 80s south.

Hi-res guidance isn't showing much in the way of excitement regarding evening storm chances later and is trending drier. Some isolated showers and storms are still likely late this evening and into the early overnight hours, with the highest confidence being across the north and over into the Eastern Shore. SPC briefly had the northern fourth of the CWA in a Marginal Risk of severe weather for a damaging wind threat, but has since taken us back to a General Thunder outlook. Still can't rule out a gust to 40mph or so in any cell that does develop later today. Rain chances come to an end during the early morning hours. Skies may try to break towards sunrise, with the exception of perhaps the Eastern Shore. Lows tonight remain mild, only getting down to around 60 degrees.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
As of 230 PM EDT Wednesday...

A weak cold front will move through on Thursday giving way to a mostly dry day. Western areas will be mostly sunny with eastern areas seeing partly cloudy skies. Temperatures will be well-above normal with highs reaching the mid 80s inland and mid 70s closer to the coast. A backdoor cold front will attempt to push into part of the area Thursday night into early Friday. This will bring in more cloud cover across the east. Low temperatures Thursday night will be in the upper 40s across the Eastern Shore and northern locations, with lower 50s elsewhere. The backdoor front will retreat as a stronger cold front approaches from the northwest during the day on Friday. Rain chances will return with this front, though not until later Friday afternoon. Rain will be scattered at first before increasing in coverage a bit more after ~8pm. Any chances for thunderstorms will likely be focused across the west/southwest portion of the CWA since the backdoor cold front will be retreating across the east. All of that being said, this is not looking like a major rain event, or even moderate rain for that matter. QPF forecasts are showing barely .10-.20" in a few spots, though that may even be a stretch. High temperatures Friday will be in the 60s across the Eastern Shore and far northeast behind the backdoor front, with upper 70s to near 80s inland. Lingering showers will be likely into Friday night.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 230 PM EDT Wednesday...

A secondary front will push in on Saturday. There could be some lingering shower activity across the far east during the first half of the day before the boundary moves through. Drier air will rush in behind the front resulting in a mostly clear end to the day, except for the far SE CWA Temperatures on Saturday will be in the low 70s inland. The stronger shot of CAA arrives Saturday night into Sunday morning. Low temperatures will dip into the mid 40s. The change will be most noticeable in the high temperatures starting Sunday though as the current forecast has mid 60s inland with lower 60s along the coast both Sunday and Monday. Models agree slightly better about a southern stream low pressure system moving out of the Gulf Coast states and into the Carolinas Sunday night into Monday. This means that rain chances will return to start the new week. Exact details will be worked out closer to time, but the best chance for rain currently looks to be south of Richmond. Temperatures may start to warm back up behind this system.

AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 115 PM EDT Wednesday...

VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period at most terminals. The exception continues to be SBY where lower CIGs of OVC025 are lingering. Guidance shows those low CIGs , if not lower into IFR category, persisting at SBY into the evening hours.
Elsewhere, expect periods of SCT-BKN040-060 with a prevailing SCT150-200 deck. Threat for scattered RA/TSRA is still possible after 18/00Z. Think SBY and PHF/ORF have the best chance for rain as of now. Confidence is lower for RIC and ECG. Any stronger cell could produce gusty, erratic winds. Rain chances end from west to east late tonight, moving offshore by ~08Z.
CIGs will improve for most terminals on Thursday, though SBY is a bit questionable at the moment. Expecting dry conditions Thursday.

Outlook: Clouds move back in Thursday night into Friday. CIGs may be lower at SBY and eastern locations as a backdoor front pushes through. Stronger cold front approaches from the northwest on Friday bringing rain chances in for the afternoon and evening.

MARINE
As of 245 PM EDT Wednesday...

Afternoon analysis shows low pressure over Wisconsin with an associated cold front extending SE then S across the Ohio Valley.
High pressure has moved well off the Southeast coast. A warm front has lifted NE across the waters today with winds generally from the S or SE 5-10 kt. Waves are 1-2 ft with seas 2-3 ft.

Generally quiet marine conditions continue late this afternoon into the first half of Thursday. A back door cold front is forecast to drop from NE to SW Thursday afternoon into the evening. Winds become N then NW behind the front but are expected to remain below SCA thresholds. A series of fronts will move through the region Friday into Saturday. The back door front returns north ahead of a stronger cold front set to cross the waters early Saturday. N winds will follow the second front but still below SCA levels. Seas may build to 4-5 ft for the coastal waters N of Parramore Island Thursday night into early Friday but with low confidence regarding the magnitude and exact timing.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 6 mi54 min S 9.9G11 30.00
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 7 mi48 min SSE 12G14 61°F 61°F0 ft
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 24 mi54 min S 5.1G6 64°F 65°F29.96
44072 26 mi42 min S 7.8G9.7 66°F
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 28 mi54 min WSW 9.9G11 67°F 60°F30.00
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 30 mi54 min S 8G11 77°F 59°F29.94
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 32 mi54 min 0 76°F 29.9561°F
44042 - Potomac, MD 34 mi48 min ESE 18G19 60°F 61°F0 ft
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 35 mi54 min SE 15G17 65°F 63°F29.91
44087 37 mi58 min 61°F1 ft
CHBV2 37 mi54 min SW 8G9.9 72°F 29.93
44064 39 mi48 min SSW 5.8G7.8 66°F 60°F1 ft
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 41 mi54 min SW 12G13 74°F 29.96
44041 - Jamestown, VA 42 mi48 min SSW 5.8G5.8 72°F 65°F
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 44 mi54 min SW 8G12 78°F 29.98
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 44 mi54 min SSW 8.9G8.9 71°F 29.98
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 44 mi54 min 60°F29.99
44089 45 mi58 min 54°F2 ft
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 45 mi54 min SE 15G16
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 46 mi54 min SE 5.1G6 65°F 65°F29.96
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 48 mi54 min SSW 7G9.9 76°F 29.97


Wind History for Rappahannock Light, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KTGI TANGIER ISLAND,VA 20 sm28 minSE 0510 smPartly Cloudy68°F61°F78%29.96
KMFV ACCOMACK COUNTY,VA 21 sm2.5 hrsS 0610 smClear29.99
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Wind History from MFV
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Tide / Current for Windmill Point Light, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
   
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Windmill Point Light
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Wed -- 12:55 AM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:43 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:07 AM EDT     0.97 feet High Tide
Wed -- 01:48 PM EDT     0.23 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:53 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:31 PM EDT     0.90 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:42 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Windmill Point Light, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia, Tide feet
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Tide / Current for Windmill Point, Rappahannock River, Virginia
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Windmill Point
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Wed -- 01:06 AM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:44 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:13 AM EDT     1.10 feet High Tide
Wed -- 01:53 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 01:54 PM EDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:42 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 07:51 PM EDT     0.95 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Windmill Point, Rappahannock River, Virginia, Tide feet
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of east us   
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Wakefield, VA,



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