Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Coal City, WV

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 1234 PM Friday...

Surface high pressure builds from the northwest, providing dry weather conditions this evening through the weekend. A moderate west to northwest flow aloft brings gusty winds, diminishing across the lowlands this evening, but prevailing along the higher elevations overnight into Saturday. Believe there will be enough winds and cloud cover to suppress patchy frost across the higher elevations of our northeast mountains tonight.

Temperatures will remain below normal through Saturday.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
As of 1227 PM Friday...

A wave of low pressure will approach the lower Mississippi Valley Sunday with an elongated frontal boundary along or just south of the Tennessee Valley. This area of low pressure will slowly track northeastward Monday into Monday night. Ahead of this area of low pressure, small chances of rain will exist across far southern portions of West Virginia and southwest Virginia Sunday and Monday, but most should remain dry. Temperatures will remain cool for late May with highs generally in the upper 60s to lower 70s Sunday and Monday. Rain chances will increase Monday night from south to north as low pressure approaches.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 1227 PM Friday...

The remainder of the week looks quite active with numerous rain chances as low pressure approaches and slows over the mid-Atlantic and Northeast states. In addition, a closed, upper-level low will develop on Wednesday over the northern Great Lakes. This will continue to spin over the eastern 1/3 of the country through at least Saturday with waves of mid-level vorticity rounding the base of the trough. This will bring continued chances of showers and thunderstorms each day next week.

In this type of pattern, expect near to slightly below normal temperatures Tuesday through Friday. The highest rain probabilities currently exist Tuesday and Wednesday, but chances decrease Thursday and Friday due to model inconsistency. The main concern with daily shower and thunderstorm chances would be localized flooding, but confidence is low due to a lack of model consistency beyond midweek.

AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 1245 PM Friday...

Abundant MVFR diurnal cu clouds have lifted into VFR ceilings about 3-4kft this afternoon. These clouds will gradually dissipate this evening as drier airmass filters in from the west.

Winds will remain gusty this afternoon up to 24 knots, more prevalent across the higher elevations. Winds will subside across the lowlands as the lower atmosphere tries to decouple.
Surface flow will remain breezy enough tonight to combat any potential for fog Saturday morning.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: None.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 EDT 1HRLY 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H

AFTER 18Z SATURDAY...
IFR possible in showers and thunderstorms Monday, mainly across the south.

RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.