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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Harborton, VA

February 18, 2025 10:07 PM EST (03:07 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:47 AM   Sunset 5:45 PM
Moonrise 11:52 PM   Moonset 9:27 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
   
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ANZ630 Chesapeake Bay From Smith Point To Windmill Point Va- 626 Pm Est Tue Feb 18 2025

.small craft advisory in effect from 10 pm est this evening through Wednesday morning - .

.gale watch in effect from Thursday afternoon through Friday morning - .

Tonight - N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.

Wed - N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of snow in the morning, then snow in the afternoon with vsby 1 nm or less.

Wed night - N winds 10 to 15 kt increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Snow. Vsby 1 nm or less.

Thu - NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt in the afternoon. Waves 3 to 4 ft. A chance of snow.

Thu night - NW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Waves 4 to 5 ft.

Fri - NW winds 25 to 30 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Waves 4 to 5 ft.

Fri night - NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 3 to 4 ft.

Sat - NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming sw 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft, subsiding to 1 foot in the afternoon.

Sat night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot.
ANZ600 626 Pm Est Tue Feb 18 2025

Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers -
a ridge of high pressure extending into the middle atlantic will remain over the area through tonight. A coastal low impacts the waters Wednesday and Thursday, with elevated winds and seas continuing through Friday. High pressure builds across the waters for the weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Harborton, VA
   
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Tide / Current for Pungoteague Creek, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
  
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Pungoteague Creek
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Tue -- 02:52 AM EST     1.60 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:48 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:27 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 09:30 AM EST     0.18 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:06 PM EST     1.40 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:45 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:28 PM EST     0.10 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:51 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
        
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Pungoteague Creek, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
0.9
1
am
1.3
2
am
1.5
3
am
1.6
4
am
1.5
5
am
1.3
6
am
0.9
7
am
0.6
8
am
0.4
9
am
0.2
10
am
0.2
11
am
0.4
12
pm
0.7
1
pm
1
2
pm
1.3
3
pm
1.4
4
pm
1.3
5
pm
1.1
6
pm
0.8
7
pm
0.5
8
pm
0.3
9
pm
0.1
10
pm
0.1
11
pm
0.3

Tide / Current for Chesconessex Creek, Schooner Bay, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
  
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Chesconessex Creek
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Tue -- 03:13 AM EST     1.90 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:48 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:26 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 09:47 AM EST     0.34 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:27 PM EST     1.67 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:45 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:45 PM EST     0.19 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:51 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
        
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Chesconessex Creek, Schooner Bay, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
0.9
1
am
1.4
2
am
1.7
3
am
1.9
4
am
1.8
5
am
1.6
6
am
1.3
7
am
0.9
8
am
0.6
9
am
0.4
10
am
0.3
11
am
0.5
12
pm
0.8
1
pm
1.1
2
pm
1.5
3
pm
1.6
4
pm
1.6
5
pm
1.5
6
pm
1.1
7
pm
0.8
8
pm
0.5
9
pm
0.2
10
pm
0.2
11
pm
0.4

Area Discussion for Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 190303 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1003 PM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

SYNOPSIS
A significant winter storm will impact the area Wednesday through Thursday. Dry but very cold weather is expected Thursday night. Temperatures will moderate through the weekend, while dry conditions prevail.

&

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/
As of 1000 PM EST Tuesday...

Key Message:

- Dry tonight with lows mainly in the 20s, as Arctic high pressure extends to the SE.

The forecast remains on track this evening with only minor adjustments made to account for the latest observations.

Previous Discussion: A quiet night is on tap for the local area ahead of tomorrow's winter storm. A strong high is centered over the Northern Plans and Southern Canada, with ridging extending through our area. The pressure gradient is relatively weak except for across the Eastern Shore. Winds are generally out of the northeast, with some locations seeing variable wind directions, and speeds are at or below 10 mph inland. Winds of 10 to 15 mph with gusts of 20 to 25 mph are being measured on the Eastern Shore. GOES Visible highlights a layer of thin upper-clouds over portions of our forecast area. Temperatures are in the 40s in most communities, with communities in the Eastern Shore still sitting in the 30s. Tonight, a northern stream shortwave will track eastward towards our area and cloud cover will increase and thicken in response. Precipitation associated with this shortwave will remain west of our area before ramping up tomorrow. Temperatures will drop into the 20s, so another chilly night is in the forecast.

SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
As of 332 PM EST Tuesday...

Key Messages:

- Forecast confidence continues to increase for a significant winter storm to impact southeast portions of the area Wednesday into Thursday.

- Winter Storm Warnings are in effect for a majority of the forecast area, with Winter Weather Advisories in effect for the northernmost counties including Dorchester

A northern stream shortwave will approach the area on Wednesday morning. An overrunning band associated with this feature will reach the northern half of the forecast area tomorrow morning between 8-11 am. A southern stream shortwave will be tracking just to our south by mid-afternoon tomorrow, which is when snowfall rates will really begin to ramp up. There will be a period where there is only moderate snowfall across the northern and central portions of our area before the northern stream shortwave transfers its energy to the southern one. As this occurs, conditions especially across SE VA and NE NC will deteriorate rapidly. A strong f-gen band looks to set up by tomorrow afternoon/tomorrow evening over this area as a developing low off of the SE coast begins to move northeastwards, leading to intense snowfall rates (1-2" per hour) and rapid accumulations. Confidence in snowfall totals in the SE forecast area is high, but snow totals farther north still remain somewhat in question even this close to the event. The 12Z NAM is suggesting much higher snow totals farther north and inland, which would require the low to track much closer to the coast. This is a far outlier and has not been incorporated into our forecast. Travel will be very difficult for the Wednesday evening and Thursday morning commutes across all of the forecast area, so stay off the road if possible.

Thursday morning will provide another burst of snow on the back end of the system as a strong mid/upper low dives southeastward across the Mid-Atlantic. While the mid and upper-levels will have started to dry out, moisture will remain in place within the snow growth zone through around midday. Temperatures will be in the 20s across all of the forecast area, so snow ratios will be quite high, leading to a light and fluffy snow. A quick half-inch to an inch is possible during this time in some locations.

Snow Totals...

The forecast has remained roughly the same since this morning's update. SE VA and NE NC along with the VA portion of the Eastern Shore still remain the target of the highest snow totals, where 5- 10" are expected, with locally higher amounts possible. Winter Storm Warnings remain in effect for these areas. While there is still some uncertainty in areas around the RIC Metro and north, there is enough confidence in totals reaching Winter Storm Warning Criteria (4+")
that a Warning has been issued for the Farmville-Richmond- Tappahannock-Salisbury area where 4-6" are forecast. Louisa to Cambridge has been placed in a Winter Weather Advisory, with snow totals between 2-4" possible in these areas. Light ice accumulations are forecast for a small portion of NE NC near the Albemarle Sound.

Thursday Afternoon through Saturday Morning...

After the end of the snow late morning into early afternoon Thursday, winds will pick up in earnest especially along the coast and on the Eastern Shore. This is due to the the tightening gradient between the low in the western North Atlantic and a strong high over the Plains. This could lead to some issues with blowing snow, especially since the last round of snow will be light and easily moved around. Have maintained mention of blowing snow in the coastal areas and Eastern Shore through Thursday evening. Very cold temperatures are expected Thursday night, with lows plummeting into the teens to lower 20s. These frigid lows, combined with the elevated winds, will likely lead to single digit wind chills. Cold Weather Advisories may be required for a significant portion of the local area.

As the low moves further offshore Thursday night into Friday, the gradient will begin to relax. The aforementioned high will gradually shift eastward and finally settle across our area on Friday night into early Saturday. With high pressure and dry air dominating the region Thursday afternoon through Saturday morning, no precipitation is expected during this time. Temperatures will slowly start to moderate somewhat beginning Friday and highs will peak in the upper 30s to lower 40s. Low temperatures Friday night will drop back into the teens to lower 20s, with radiational cooling expected as winds slacken further and cloud coverage remains minimal.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 305 PM EST Tuesday...

Key Messages:

- A gradual warming trend begins over the weekend. A few weak systems could a chance for showers next week, but amounts will be generally be light.

The medium range begins cold and dry Saturday, with good model agreement that high pressure will push offshore later Saturday/Saturday night as the next fast moving system passes by mainly N of the local area. For now, will have just an increase in clouds Sat night, though some of the operational models depict light QPF at this time. Highs Sat will reach the low-mid 40s for most areas.
The mid level flow remains fairly progressive Sunday through Tuesday, though there is some amplification shown by most of the models and their ensembles late in the week (mainly with a ridge over the western CONUS and an upper level trough across eastern Canada. Temperatures slowly moderate further Sunday into the middle of next week, with a low chc for showers by Tuesday, mainly across the north. Highs will mostly be in the 40s to lower 50s Sunday, and ranging through the 50s Monday-Tuesday, with lows in the 20s and 30s Sunday night, and in the 30s Monday- Tuesday night.

AVIATION /03Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 650 PM EST Tuesday...

VFR conditions at all sites now through ~12z, with MVFR conditions and then widespread IFR to LIFR after ~15 to 18z.
Increasing/thickening mid and high level clouds overnight as an approaching system moves eastward towards the area. Snow overspreads RIC after 12z, with CIGs and VSBYs dropping to MVFR and then IFR (by 15z) as a result. For PHF, ORF, and ECG, snow overspreads by late morning or early afternoon (15-17z), with CIGs and VSBYs dropping to IFR. Snow may be heavy at times, especially at the SE sites (PHF, ORF, ECG) where VSBYs may drop to 1/4 SM or less at times, especially after 18z. Winds will be light and primarily out of the NE for the first half of the night. NE winds increase later tonight into Wednesday morning with some gusts to approaching 20 knots at times at ORF and ECG.

Outlook: Degraded flight conditions likely continue through Wednesday night and into Thursday morning (especially at the coast) due to snow/VSBYs and low CIGs . Conditions gradually improve to VFR Thursday night, with dry/VFR conditions expected through the weekend.

MARINE
As of 335 AM EST Tuesday...

Key Messages:

- Small Craft Advisories for the Chesapeake Bay tonight for elevated northerly winds.

- Gale watch issued for later Thursday into Friday morning for the Chesapeake Bay and Coastal Waters.

- Quieter marine weather expected for the weekend.

As high pressure builds across the waters this evening, expect northerly winds to increase to 15 to 20 kt. As such, have continued the small craft advisory for the bay tonight through Wed morning. The pressure gradient slackens somewhat on Wednesday in response to the ridge axis building across the area. However, this will be relatively short lived as low pressure develops off the SE coast by Wed night allowing winds to increase. Am expecting N to NE winds to increase again to 15 to 25 kt and another SCA will likely be needed in the bay once the 1st one expires overnight. A small craft advisory remains in effect for the coastal waters and Currituck Sound for Wed night into Thu afternoon. Low pressure moves NE and offshore by Thursday while strong high pressure builds down into the plains.
Winds gradually turn NW by Thu evening and increase to 20 to 30 kt with gusts to 35 to 40 kt by evening. Could not rule out a few gusts to 35 kt across the southern coastal waters as early as Thursday morning, but the best gusts will likely be later Thu into Thu night as the pressure gradient tightens. Winds should gradually subside below gales by Fri afternoon, then continue to subside into Saturday as high pressure builds across the Middle Atlantic.

Seas 1 to 3 feet tonight then building to 3 to 5 feet across the southern coastal waters by Wed evening. Seas continue to build to 4 to 7 feet over the coastal waters and 2 to 4 feet in the by by Thu morning. N-NW gale force gusts by Thu evening will yield 3 to 5 ft waves in the bay and 4 to 7 ft seas over the ocean. Seas diminish to 1 to 3 ft by Saturday.

HYDROLOGY
As of 615 AM EST Tuesday...

River Flood Warnings remain in effect for the James River at Cartersville, Richmond-Westham, and the Richmond Locks, and also for the Appomattox River at Farmville, Mattoax, and Matoaca. Warnings also continue for the Meherrin River near Lawrenceville and the Nottoway River near Rawlings/Stony Creek/Sebrell. These points will see minor to moderate flooding, which will likely continue for the next couple of days. See water.noaa.gov/wfo/akq for the latest site-specific information.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...Winter Weather Advisory from 6 AM Wednesday to 6 PM EST Thursday for MDZ021.
Winter Storm Warning from 10 AM Wednesday to 6 PM EST Thursday for MDZ022>025.
NC...Winter Storm Warning from 10 AM Wednesday to 6 PM EST Thursday for NCZ012>017-030>032-102.
VA...Winter Storm Warning from 10 AM Wednesday to 6 PM EST Thursday for VAZ075>078-084>090-092-093-095>100-521>525.
Winter Weather Advisory from 6 AM Wednesday to 1 PM EST Thursday for VAZ048-064-509>511.
Winter Storm Warning from 6 AM Wednesday to 6 PM EST Thursday for VAZ060>062-065>069-079>083-512>520.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Wednesday for ANZ630-631.
Gale Watch from Thursday afternoon through Friday morning for ANZ630>632-634-650-652-654-656-658.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Wednesday for ANZ632-634.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Friday for ANZ633.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Wednesday for ANZ638.
Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM to 4 PM EST Thursday for ANZ650- 652.
Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM Wednesday to 4 PM EST Thursday for ANZ654.
Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM Wednesday to 4 PM EST Thursday for ANZ656-658.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 9 mi50 min 29°F 43°F
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 13 mi68 minNNE 8.9G11 30.38
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 24 mi44 minNE 12G16 34°F 2 ft
44089 27 mi42 min 41°F2 ft
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 36 mi50 min 32°F 40°F
44042 - Potomac, MD 37 mi44 minN 12G14 31°F
44072 40 mi44 minNNE 16G19 33°F 41°F
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 40 mi68 minN 6G13
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 40 mi50 min 33°F 42°F
CHBV2 46 mi50 min 38°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 46 mi50 min 35°F 43°F
44087 48 mi42 min 41°F1 ft


Wind History for Wachapreague, VA
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Airport Reports
   
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KTGI TANGIER ISLAND,VA 14 sm23.9 hrsno data10 smClear34°F14°F44%30.35

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of east us  
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Dover AFB, DE,





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