Gargatha, VA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Gargatha, VA

May 25, 2024 11:29 PM EDT (03:29 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:41 AM   Sunset 8:16 PM
Moonrise 9:54 PM   Moonset 5:57 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ652 Coastal Waters From Chincoteague To Parramore Island Va Out 20 Nm- 1009 Pm Edt Sat May 25 2024

Overnight - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Wave detail: S 1 foot at 3 seconds and se 1 foot at 9 seconds. Areas of dense fog with vsby 1 nm or less overnight.

Sun - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Wave detail: S 1 foot at 5 seconds and se 1 foot at 9 seconds. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm until late afternoon.

Sun night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 3 seconds and se 2 ft at 9 seconds.

Mon - S winds 10 kt, increasing to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft, building to 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft in the afternoon. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 1 foot at 8 seconds, becoming S 3 ft at 4 seconds and se 1 foot at 8 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.

Mon night - S winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave detail: S 5 ft at 6 seconds. Showers and tstms likely.

Tue - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 7 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms in the morning.

Tue night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.

Wed - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.

Wed night - W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.

Thu - NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.

Thu night - NW winds 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

ANZ600 1009 Pm Edt Sat May 25 2024

Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers -
light onshore flow continues through Sunday morning, followed by increasing southerly winds later Sunday through Monday ahead of an approaching cold front. The front crosses the waters Tuesday. High pressure gradually builds in from the great lakes Wednesday and Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gargatha, VA
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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 252347 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 747 PM EDT Sat May 25 2024

SYNOPSIS
A warm front followed by a cold front will affect the area Sunday afternoon through Monday night, bringing additional rounds of showers and storms and potential severe weather Monday. An upper trough brings cooler and comfortable weather to end the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/
As of 745 PM EDT Saturday...

Key Messages:

- Isolated showers and storms through this evening.

- Areas of dense fog again expected to develop along the coast overnight.

As of 745 PM, a lone thunderstorm is approaching Mecklenburg County. Otherwise, dry conditions prevail with a fair amount of high levels clouds moving over the area. There's also a batch of marine stratus along the northern OBX into Currituck County.
Expecting a tranquil late evening and early overnight period, except we will have to watch to see if any of the t-storm activity currently moving through central MD is able to clip northern Dorchester county closer to midnight. The most important thing to mention for early Sunday morning is the re- development of fog (locally dense) along the coast. Hi-res model guidance is in good agreement with areas of fog developing after 06Z all along the mid-Atlantic coast, extending inland across Hampton Roads and portions of interior SE VA and NE NC. A Dense Fog Advisory will probably be needed later on tonight to account for this. Lows in the 60s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 305 PM EDT Saturday...

Key Messages:

- Scattered storms return Sunday.

- There is a threat of severe weather for Memorial Day (Monday).
Damaging winds and large hail are the primary threats.

Not much change for Sunday and similar wx is expected. Highs warm into the mid-upper 80s. A few spots could even touch 90. However, a few factors favor slightly higher convective coverage and perhaps intensity. On the synoptic scale, slightly higher mid-level flow overspreads the area in advance of a shortwave tracking from the OH River Valley into the Great Lakes. Temperatures and dew points will also be a degree or two higher than today, favoring a more unstable low-level airmass. Hi-res model output shows MLCAPE increasing to 1500-2500 J/kg away from the eastern shore with ~20 kt of effective shear areawide. The limiting factor early in the afternoon will be a lack of any triggering mechanisms. The one exception are sea breezes which could focus areas of higher coverage. Toward the later aftn and evening, there is moderate agreement that some sort of MCS will be moving eastward from the Appalachia region in association w/ the upper disturbance. As this enters into the FA, will need to watch for the potential for strong wind gusts, especially if it moves in with some lingering instability. Most CAMs show a considerable weakening trend, especially as it nears the I-95 corridor and points eastward.
The area is not outlooked from SPC at this time. Lingering showers are possible overnight and have 30-50% PoPs through the morning hours Monday. Overnight lows drop into the mid 60s.
Patchy fog could also develop Sun night as weak sfc flow continues.

Anomalous upper trough slides E for Monday/Memorial Day. At the surface, a strong cold front will approach from the W. There is increasing concern for severe wx areawide in the afternoon and evening ahead of this front. It is during this time that 500 mb flow increases to 40-60 kt and a potent shortwave noses into the region.
Instability will also be in plentiful supply with MLCAPE well in excess of 2000 J/kg at times. This is not only due to steep low- level lapse rates and strong sfc instability, but also because of steep mid- level lapse rates approaching 7-8 C/km.
Thinking is that supercells or multicells will initially be favored (w/ damaging winds and large hail hazards), transitioning to a predominantly wind threat as clusters grow upscale. SPC has a slight risk for most of the area and marginal risk over NE NC. The extent and duration of the severe risk will be dependent on the exact timing (later timing may reduce the severe threat further E/SE as instability wanes). Locally heavy rain is also likely in any storm. Overall, certainly worth watching and monitoring the latest updates here and from SPC, especially with a plethora of scheduled outdoor activities for the holiday weekend. Outside of storms, afternoon highs will be in the mid- upper 80s with dew points in the low- mid 70s. Thus, it'll feel noticeably muggy. Lows Mon night in the low-mid 60 s W to near 70 E/SE.

Much quieter Tuesday with a lingering shower or storm across the far SE. Highs in the low-mid 80s under a mostly sunny sky.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 305 PM EDT Saturday...

Key Message:

- Trending cooler and more comfortable for the middle and end of next week.

A relatively deep trough will drop into and remain positioned over the ern CONUS for Wednesday through at least early next weekend. Except for a chance of a shower/tstm over nrn portions of the area Wed aftn into Wed evening in advance of a shortwave, dry weather will prevail through the extended period. Highs Wed in the upper 70s-low 80s. Comfortable conditions under a partly to mostly sunny sky expected for Thu and Fri, with highs in the mid to upper 70s. Overnight lows in the upper 50s-low 60s Tue night and 50s areawide Wed-Fri night. Can't rule out some upper 40s across the NW at some point.

AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 745 PM EDT Saturday...

There is again a strong signal in model guidance for fog and low stratus development tonight. The highest coverage will be at the coastal terminals and IFR-LIFR restrictions look likely at ORF/PHF/ECG/SBY after 06z. RIC is again the most uncertain and will go w/ prevailing MVFR VSBY there after 08z. Expect rapid improvement after 9 AM/13z Sun.

Outlook: Scattered showers/storms will again be possible later Sun, with highest confidence at RIC. Could again see fog or low stratus Sun night. A higher coverage of showers and storms (some of which could be severe) is expected Mon aftn and evening. Outside of storms, expect mainly VFR.

MARINE
As of 230 PM EDT Saturday...

Key Messages:

- Benign conditions this afternoon/evening.

- Dense marine fog possible tonight into Sunday morning.

- Chances for showers and storms (especially each afternoon and evening) through Memorial Day.

Benign marine conditions across the local waters this afternoon, with high pressure remaining in place over the region. Winds are generally out of the E to SE around 5-10 kt with waves 1 ft or less and seas 1-2 ft. Winds become light tonight into Sunday morning and we will have to watch the potential for the development of dense fog over the waters. Similar conditions tomorrow with increasing onshore winds by the afternoon/evening.

A cold front approaches the area on Monday, associated with a deepening low pressure center over the Great Lakes. Winds increase out of the S and SW ahead of the front, with winds potentially approaching SCA criteria Monday afternoon and evening. Winds veer around to the NW behind the front on Tuesday into midweek.
Widespread showers and storms (potentially strong to severe) will be possible on Monday ahead of the approaching cold front. E-SE swell behind that system that could briefly bring some 5 foot seas by Monday night. However, seas quickly subside as winds turn back offshore through midweek.

Low Rip Risk on area beaches tomorrow, with a moderate rip risk for northern beaches on Monday with building seas and more of a shore normal component to wave energy.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
44089 13 mi34 min 68°F1 ft
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 14 mi60 min S 7G8 70°F 77°F29.88
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 29 mi60 min SSE 8.9G11 29.93
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 40 mi48 min S 12G16 71°F 74°F2 ft
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 40 mi60 min SSE 11G12 75°F 78°F29.88
44042 - Potomac, MD 45 mi48 min S 9.7G14 71°F 74°F1 ft
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 45 mi60 min W 1.9G2.9 67°F 66°F29.85
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 48 mi60 min SSE 7G8 69°F 72°F29.92


Wind History for Wachapreague, VA
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No data


Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KWAL WALLOPS FLIGHT FACILITY,VA 12 sm35 minS 0610 smClear68°F66°F94%29.90
KMFV ACCOMACK COUNTY,VA 14 sm14 mincalm10 smClear29.89
KTGI TANGIER ISLAND,VA 24 sm1.9 hrsSE 0810 smClear72°F68°F88%29.87
Link to 5 minute data for KWAL


Wind History from WAL
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Gargathy Neck, Virginia
   
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Gargathy Neck
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Sat -- 05:04 AM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:57 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 10:54 AM EDT     2.75 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:55 PM EDT     0.34 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:53 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:03 PM EDT     3.51 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Gargathy Neck, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
3.1
1
am
2.3
2
am
1.5
3
am
0.8
4
am
0.3
5
am
0
6
am
0.2
7
am
0.8
8
am
1.6
9
am
2.2
10
am
2.6
11
am
2.7
12
pm
2.6
1
pm
2.1
2
pm
1.4
3
pm
0.9
4
pm
0.5
5
pm
0.3
6
pm
0.6
7
pm
1.2
8
pm
2.1
9
pm
2.8
10
pm
3.3
11
pm
3.5


Tide / Current for Wallops Island, Virginia
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Wallops Island
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Sat -- 03:19 AM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:44 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:56 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 09:14 AM EDT     3.00 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:01 PM EDT     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:40 PM EDT     4.22 feet High Tide
Sat -- 10:53 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Wallops Island, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
2.3
1
am
1.3
2
am
0.5
3
am
0.1
4
am
0.2
5
am
0.7
6
am
1.4
7
am
2.2
8
am
2.7
9
am
3
10
am
2.9
11
am
2.4
12
pm
1.7
1
pm
0.9
2
pm
0.2
3
pm
-0
4
pm
0.2
5
pm
0.9
6
pm
1.8
7
pm
2.8
8
pm
3.6
9
pm
4.1
10
pm
4.2
11
pm
3.8


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of east us   
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