Wednesday, August4, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
El Dorado, KS

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:34AMSunset 8:36PM Wednesday August 4, 2021 2:11 PM CDT (19:11 UTC) Moonrise 1:43AMMoonset 5:02PM Illumination 13% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near El Dorado, KS
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location: 37.87, -96.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Wichita, KS
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FXUS63 KICT 041649 AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 1149 AM CDT Wed Aug 4 2021

SHORT TERM. (Today through Friday) Issued at 326 AM CDT Wed Aug 4 2021

Upper troughing remains through the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys with upper ridging over the Desert Southwest. Water vapor imagery shows a series of upper impulses currently tracking over the Rockies. At the surface, weak upper ridging extends from the Southern Great Lakes into the Mid Mississippi Valley.

Upper energy over the Rockies will track east today and is expected to move out into western KS by late this afternoon/early evening. Did go ahead and insert some small pops along our far northern and northeast fringes for tonight and for far southeast KS on Thu. With low levels expected to remain fairly dry, not expecting anything too significant or widespread and just a few showers or storms. By Fri morning, upper trough will extend from the Mid Mississippi Valley into the Ozark region with subsidence settling over the forecast area.

RAP continues to keep us in smoke/haze today and this evening as the surface high shifts east allowing smoke to work back to the north across the area.

Temps are expected to continue warming a couple degrees each day with widespread above normal highs forecast by Fri with readings approaching 100 for areas along and especially west of I-135.

LONG TERM. (Saturday through Tuesday) Issued at 326 AM CDT Wed Aug 4 2021

By 12z Sat, there is still decent model agreement in a more robust piece of energy tracking over the Central Plains. The ECMWF does track this feature a bit further south compared to the GFS, which tracks it mainly across SD. Did go ahead and insert some pops Sat evening as the upper energy moves across central/eastern Kansas. Still appears the more widespread activity will be north of the forecast area.

The bigger story for the weekend into the start of the work week will likely be the return of dangerous heat. Right now the GFS is several degrees higher with 850mb temps compared to the ECMWF and CMC starting Fri into Sat. However, confidence remains high in seeing max temps Fri-Sun around 100 for areas along and especially west of I-135. When it comes to heat headlines, much will depend on dewpoints. At this time it appears the low/mid 70 dews will stay over southeast KS for Fri and Sat but there is some agreement that it will try and work back to the west for Sun-Mon.

AVIATION. (For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon) Issued at 1138 AM CDT Wed Aug 4 2021

VFR conditions expected over the next 24 hours.

Smoke from wildfires across western North America continues to linger in the region, thus periodic times of slightly reduced visibilities are possible. Continued mentions in TAFs, except RSL and GBD, thru this evening. Lingering smoke expected to decrease through tonight into tomorrow.

A slight chance for showers and thunderstorms tonight across central KS; however, confidence is low enough to omit mention in TAFs. Continued light southerly winds through the TAF period except in central KS where breezier conditions are possible.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Wichita-KICT 89 67 91 68 / 0 10 10 10 Hutchinson 90 67 92 67 / 10 10 10 0 Newton 88 67 90 67 / 0 10 10 0 ElDorado 87 67 89 68 / 0 10 10 10 Winfield-KWLD 87 66 89 68 / 0 10 10 10 Russell 92 67 94 67 / 10 20 10 0 Great Bend 91 66 93 65 / 10 10 10 0 Salina 90 69 94 69 / 10 20 10 0 McPherson 89 67 93 67 / 10 10 10 0 Coffeyville 86 65 87 68 / 0 10 20 10 Chanute 85 66 86 69 / 0 10 20 10 Iola 85 65 85 68 / 0 10 20 10 Parsons-KPPF 86 65 86 68 / 0 10 20 10

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.

SHORT TERM . RBL LONG TERM . RBL AVIATION . JC


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wichita Jabara Airport, KS24 mi17 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds85°F59°F42%1018 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAAO

Wind History from AAO (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr----SE5E6E6E5SE4E3SE3SE4E5SE7SE6SE5SE5CalmE3CalmSE5SE7SE4Calm4Calm
1 day agoNE11--NE8NE10E9E4E3E4CalmNE4CalmCalmN4N4NE4NE3N3NE3E4SE4SE44CalmSE5
2 days agoNE11
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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