Monday, June1, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
El Dorado, KS

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:07AMSunset 8:47PM Monday June 1, 2020 7:54 PM CDT (00:54 UTC) Moonrise 3:08PMMoonset 2:34AM Illumination 83% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near El Dorado, KS
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location: 37.87, -96.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Wichita, KS
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FXUS63 KICT 012222 AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 522 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2020

. Updated for Aviation Discussion .

SHORT TERM. (This evening through Wednesday night) Issued at 312 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2020

Currently have upper ridging over the Plains with an upper circulation situated over central TX. At the surface, lee troughing is in place with a cold front up over the Northern Plains.

Not much is expected to change tonight, as the upper impulse over Central TX will drift to near the Red River. Weak cold front is expected to setup across the central Plains by Tue afternoon and is forecast to extend from northern IA into far NW KS by late Tue afternoon. Storms are expected to develop along this feature Tue afternoon/early evening. Some of this activity may try and migrate toward the northern/western portions of the forecast area Tue night, however upper steering flow is fairly week. So confidence is low on how much success they will have making it this far east.

Difficult storm forecast setting up for Wed. There maybe some outflow lingering around from Tue night storms, at the same time, the weak upper impulse currently over TX will be over eastern OK and approaching the Ozark region. Last but not lease, westerlies will increase over the Central/Northern Plains with a few upper perturbations moving out into the High Plains by Wed afternoon. At this time feel southeast KS will have a chance at a few storms Wed afternoon with storms also coming off the High Plains. Storm chances are expected to increase Wed night as mid level theta-e advection should keep storms pushing east. Will keep higher pops Wed night along northern and eastern fringes of forecast area, where cooler mid level temps will be situated.

Confidence is high that above normal temps will remain in place for both Tue and Wed with highs in the upper 80s and 90s anticipated.

LONG TERM. (Thursday through Monday) Issued at 312 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2020

Upper ridging is expected to continue to build over the Desert Southwest/Southern Rockies for Thu and will shift slowly east into the Southern Plains for Fri into Fri night as an upper low approaches Southern CA. This will place most of the forecast area under diffluent flow aloft and warming mid level temps. Without a discernible wave to lock onto, storm chances will be hard to pin down. Will go with the current thinking that our best chances will be elevated convection during the overnight hours along a mid level baroclinic zone. This would place the better chances over the eastern portions of the forecast area where capping will be lower.

Decent agreement between the GFS and ECMWF in lifting the wave over southern CA out across the Great Basin for Fri night into Sat and into the Northern Plains by Sat night. This looks to lift the better precip chances north.

Confidence will remain high in above normal temps through the weekend as we maintain southwest flow aloft.

AVIATION. (For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening) Issued at 519 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2020

VFR conditions will prevail regionwide through the next 24 hours. Warm temperatures aloft along with lack of focus will prevent shower or thunderstorm chances tonight through Tuesday, although a weak front approaching from the northwest may support an isolated thunderstorm across central and northern Kansas Tuesday night. Breezy/gusty south winds will continue through Tuesday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Wichita-KICT 67 90 68 94 / 0 0 10 10 Hutchinson 66 91 68 94 / 0 0 10 10 Newton 67 89 68 92 / 0 0 10 10 ElDorado 67 88 68 92 / 0 0 10 10 Winfield-KWLD 67 88 68 93 / 0 10 10 10 Russell 66 95 65 94 / 0 0 20 10 Great Bend 66 94 66 95 / 0 0 10 0 Salina 68 92 68 93 / 0 0 10 10 McPherson 66 91 68 93 / 0 0 10 10 Coffeyville 64 86 68 89 / 0 10 10 10 Chanute 65 86 68 89 / 0 0 10 20 Iola 65 87 68 90 / 0 0 10 20 Parsons-KPPF 64 86 68 89 / 0 0 10 20

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.



SHORT TERM . RBL LONG TERM . RBL AVIATION . ADK


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure

Link to 5 minute data for KAAO

Wind History from AAO (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wichita, KS (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wichita, KS
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.