Friday, December13, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
El Dorado, KS

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:34AMSunset 5:12PM Friday December 13, 2019 1:18 AM CST (07:18 UTC) Moonrise 6:43PMMoonset 8:54AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near El Dorado, KS
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location: 37.87, -96.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Wichita, KS
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FXUS63 KICT 130520 AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 1120 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2019

. Updated Aviation Discussion .

SHORT TERM. (This evening through Saturday night) Issued at 242 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2019

In general, quiet conditions will prevail through the next couple of days, with one last day of above normal temperatures in the 50s expected tomorrow. Another progressive shortwave will prance through the area tomorrow night into Saturday bringing in cooler air ahead of the winter system expected to impact the area beginning Sunday. Expect highs Saturday to be in the 30s and 40s across the area.

LONG TERM. (Sunday through Thursday) Issued at 242 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2019

The main event will remain the winter storm approaching for Sunday and Monday. The thinking remains that the projected storm track may continue its trend of coming in slightly deeper and slightly slower. The results of these continued trends would support the greatest impacts being felt across the area Sunday night through the Monday morning commute. Hazardous travel should be anticipated across central KS where the best chances of snow currently exists.

Given the current data, confidence is increasing that a decent swath of central KS will see at least 3-4 inches of snow with this storm. Additional heavy snowfall will be possible within narrow mesoscale snow bands which develop. Location and duration of these narrow snow bands will ultimately determine where the greatest snowfall amounts occur.

At this time, areas of south central KS and southeast KS look to yield much less snow accumulations than what is expected in central KS. Models have come in with a slight jog to the north including a jog of the baroclinic zone where the 850mb 0C isotherm lays across south central and southeast KS. Due to the slight jog to the north as well as the midlevel dry slot progged to fall over portions of south central and southeast KS, we may lose cloud ice across these areas rather quickly. This would result in more of a wintry mix over southern KS and thus hinder the snow accumulations. However, hazardous travel will still be possible in these areas. A wobble in the track a bit north or south of current projections would result in snow amounts changing considerably from location to location.

We expect models to converge on a solution in the coming days as the system is expected to come onshore sometime early Saturday where it will have a chance to be properly sampled.

After the storm exits the area Monday, the area will remain rather dry as subsidence takes over as the trough continues to dig south and east of the area. Highs Monday are expected to be right around freezing across much of the area. A big ridge of high pressure will dominate over the western half of the CONUS through the remainder of the extended period resulting in a quiet and dry forecast. A slow warming trend will return high temperatures into the 40s late next week.

AVIATION. (For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night) Issued at 1115 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2019

As of 05z, a weak boundary remains draped from northeast to south central Kansas with broken-overcast mid-level to high clouds ahead of it and clear skies behind. For the rest of the night and early morning hours, expect these clouds to gradually clear out of the area, though more high clouds may move in during the morning from the west. Winds will remain light and variable this morning before gradually becoming northwesterly during the afternoon. Confidence is high the VFR flight conditions will prevail at all area airports for the next 24 hour period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Wichita-KICT 33 56 30 43 / 10 0 0 0 Hutchinson 31 57 28 41 / 10 0 0 0 Newton 32 54 28 40 / 10 0 0 0 ElDorado 33 55 30 41 / 10 0 0 0 Winfield-KWLD 34 56 31 45 / 10 0 0 0 Russell 30 55 25 38 / 10 10 10 10 Great Bend 30 57 25 40 / 10 0 0 10 Salina 31 55 26 38 / 10 0 10 10 McPherson 31 56 26 39 / 10 0 0 10 Coffeyville 34 55 31 46 / 10 10 10 10 Chanute 35 54 31 42 / 10 10 10 10 Iola 34 53 30 41 / 10 10 10 10 Parsons-KPPF 35 55 31 44 / 10 10 10 10

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.

SHORT TERM . KMB LONG TERM . KMB AVIATION . TAV


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wichita Jabara Airport, KS24 mi25 minS 310.00 miFair37°F33°F86%1014.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAAO

Wind History from AAO (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS16
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2 days agoSW5S5SW6SW7SW7W8SW7W6NW12N10N11NE7NE7N11
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wichita, KS (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wichita, KS
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.