Friday, July10, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
El Dorado, KS

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:15AMSunset 8:54PM Friday July 10, 2020 7:50 AM CDT (12:50 UTC) Moonrise 11:34PMMoonset 10:32AM Illumination 75% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near El Dorado, KS
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location: 37.87, -96.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Wichita, KS
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FXUS63 KICT 101136 AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 636 AM CDT Fri Jul 10 2020

SHORT TERM. (Today through Sunday night) Issued at 230 AM CDT Fri Jul 10 2020

Potential for strong/severe convection early this morning within reservoir of strong elevated instability and 40 to 45 kts of cloud bearing shear across central Kansas. Accas and weak radar returns just prior to 07z have gone upscale quickly just south of the I-70 corridor by 0725z. Modest elevated moisture transport along the mid-level baroclinic zone will continue through the morning hours and expect convection to develop from central into south central Kansas across the Flint Hills. It is possible convection should persist into midday, and if so, this could limit diurnal warming this afternoon. An upper trof will move eastward across the northern Plains tonight and then southeastward across the Upper Midwest on Saturday. The NAM/GFS develop convection and a MCS across SD/eastern NE which dives more southward across far eastern Kansas/western Missouri early Saturday morning. If so, this would augment the southward movement and quicker passage of the effective surface front. This would not only result in slightly cooler (less hot) temperatures Saturday afternoon across much of the area, but may also push the better late day storm chances along or south of the Oklahoma border. Expect mainly dry and seasonably very warm temperatures on Sunday.

Darmofal

LONG TERM. (Monday through Thursday) Issued at 230 AM CDT Fri Jul 10 2020

While the the heat is expected to build more in earnest finally within and just north of the upper ridge across the area by the middle of next week, a weak but discernible surface front looks to waver across the central Plains. This could make the difference on when and where some areas exceed the century mark on the thermometer. Otherwise, chances for organized convection look more muted much of next week.

KED

AVIATION. (For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning) Issued at 615 AM CDT Fri Jul 10 2020

Concerns: 1) Thunderstorms this AM for KHUT and KICT

2) Low level wind shear around 9Z for central KS

3) Possible convection for KCNU early Saturday

Thunderstorms are currently impacting south central Kansas this morning. This activity continues to track south and should only impact KHUT and KICT for the next few hours. Ceilings should remain VFR, but there may be a residual broken deck of clouds through the day at most sites. The next aviation issue will be low level wind shear tonight from roughly 7-12Z across central Kansas. KRSL and KGBD may only see a brief window during a lower air traffic period of time while there could be an impact to the morning flights at KSLN. Another batch of convection may develop in eastern Nebraska and northeastern Kansas then track south into southeastern Kansas late tonight into early Saturday. Confidence is in the mid range on development and track. Vicinity wording was used for now since this is at the tail end of the forecast period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Wichita-KICT 92 75 94 69 / 70 10 20 10 Hutchinson 91 73 93 66 / 40 10 10 10 Newton 90 73 92 66 / 40 20 10 10 ElDorado 90 72 92 66 / 60 20 20 10 Winfield-KWLD 91 75 95 69 / 70 10 20 20 Russell 90 70 91 64 / 10 10 10 10 Great Bend 91 71 92 65 / 20 10 10 10 Salina 91 72 92 66 / 20 10 10 10 McPherson 91 72 92 66 / 30 20 10 10 Coffeyville 90 73 93 70 / 30 40 40 20 Chanute 90 72 91 69 / 20 50 50 20 Iola 89 71 89 68 / 20 50 50 20 Parsons-KPPF 90 73 92 69 / 20 50 50 20

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.

SHORT TERM . KED LONG TERM . KED AVIATION . VJP


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wichita Jabara Airport, KS24 mi56 minSSW 510.00 miLight Rain73°F66°F79%1017.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAAO

Wind History from AAO (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE18
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2 days agoSE3Calm3S8SE54SE7S8SE8S8
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wichita, KS (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wichita, KS
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.