Tuesday, August4, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Saxis, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:06AMSunset 8:10PM Tuesday August 4, 2020 9:30 AM EDT (13:30 UTC) Moonrise 8:11PMMoonset 5:52AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ630 Chesapeake Bay From Smith Point To Windmill Point Va- 606 Am Edt Tue Aug 4 2020
.tornado watch 415 in effect until noon edt today...
.tropical storm warning in effect...
Today..Tropical storm conditions. S winds 45 to 50 kt with gusts to 60 kt, becoming sw 25 to 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt this afternoon. Waves around 8 ft, subsiding to 6 ft this afternoon. A chance of tstms this morning. Rain. A slight chance of tstms this afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm this morning.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Thu..SW winds 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri..S winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of tstms early in the morning. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers and tstms likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. Showers and tstms likely early in the evening, then a chance of showers and tstms in the late evening and overnight.
Sat..N winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sat night..S winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms early in the evening. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 606 Am Edt Tue Aug 4 2020
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. Tropical storm isaias will bring dangerous marine conditions to the local area from tonight through Tuesday. Please see the advisories from the national hurricane center for the latest information on isaias. Improving marine conditions are expected from the middle to latter part of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Saxis, VA
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location: 37.92, -75.73     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 041041 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 641 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020

SYNOPSIS. Tropical cyclone Isaias impacts the region into early this afternoon. This will bring heavy rain, breezy to windy conditions, as well as a threat of tornadoes toward the coast. Improving weather expected this afternoon as Isaias moves away from the local area. More typical Summer conditions return for Wednesday through Friday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 245 AM EDT Tuesday .

TC Isaias tracking through ern NC attm . continuing to spread widespread RA and gradually increasing winds N into the FA. Its been a busy few hrs across far SE VA-NE NC wrt poss tornadoes and that will continue/spread N through ern VA/lower SE MD this morning (as well as the RA continuing) as strong SRH continues/spreads nwd. Heaviest RA still forecast inland from the (immediate) coast. Rain rates greater than 1" per hr still poss. Keeping Flash Flood Watch going (though as RA winds down/ends this afternoon) but will likely be able to cancel it early (before 02Z/05). Tornado Watches (ern portions) will remain as well this morning (may need to extend the one covering Hampton Roads and NE NC into more of the morning hrs depending on how fast TC Isaias arrives). Strongest winds expected to be near/along and E of the track of Isaias as it tracks quickly NNE this morning. Will need to watch for a short period of dry air entering the storm on the WSW portion for brief stronger wind gusts I 95 on wwd.

Conditions improve rapidly from SW-NE midday through this afternoon. There may still be an ISOLD SHRA or tstm otw becoming partly sunny. Highs in the l-m80s.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 245 AM EDT Tuesday .

More typical Summer wx region tonight through Thu. Generally partly cloudy tonight/partly sunny Wed and Thu. There is a CHC for mainly diurnal SHRAs/tstms both days. Seasonable temperatures with lows in the u60s-m70s tonight/Wed night. Highs in the m80s-around 90F Wed and Thu.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 400 PM EDT Monday .

Going with a blend of the 12Z/03 GFS and 12Z/03 ECMWF for the extended period. Until a shortwave trough to the west of the area Thu night, combined with a lingering frontal boundary over ESE portions of the region, move off the coast, there will continue to be chc to likely PoPs from Thu night through Sat across much of the CWA. Only slight to small chc PoPs for Sat night into Mon morning, as high pressure tries to build in from the NW or N. Increasing chances again Mon aftn into Mon evening, esply inland/Piedmont locations. Highs will range from the mid 80s to near 90 through the period, with lows in the upper 60s to mid 70s.

AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 640 AM EDT Tuesday .

TC Isaias INVOF interior SE VA attm will continue to track NNE through the rest of the FA this morning . exiting by early this afternoon. RA and gusty winds will be winding down from S to N through 16-18Z/04. CIGS MVFR and occasionally lower to IFR CIGS and VSBYS in R+. SE winds ahead of the TC gust btwn 40-60 kts across coastal TAF sites/NNW winds gusty to 30-40 kt at RIC then switch to the SW and gusts btwn 30-40 kts behind it (through 17Z/04). The rain ends by 18Z/04 w/ SCT-BKN (VFR) CU during this afternoon along w/ diminishing SW winds. Conditions transition back to more diurnal showers/tstms Wed through Sat.

MARINE. As of 310 AM EDT Tuesday .

TC Isaias tracking through ern NC attm and is expected reach the srn Ches Bay around/shortly after 12Z/04. SE winds will continue to increase through the early morning hrs w/ gusts to 40-55kt then winds shift to SSW and remain gusty through the rest of the morning hours as Isaias tracks NNE. Tropical Storm Warnings and Tornado Watches remain up for the morning hours. Dangerous waves/seas (could see seas of 12-15 ft w/ waves of 6-9 ft on the bay) are expected through the duration of tropical storm conditions. Strong wind shear will result in the potential of waterspouts As Isaias moves away from the local waters. SW winds will become less gusty during this afternoon.

Seas/waves quickly decrease this evening in the wake of Isaias. Sub-SCA conditions return on Wed and are expected to last through Fri w/ mainly SSW winds BLO 15 kt and seas 2-3 ft . waves avgg 1 foot.

Please see the latest advisories from the National Hurricane Center concerning the track of Hurricane Isaias.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 530 PM EDT Monday .

Tidal flooding is expected across parts of the area on Tuesday as TS Isaias tracks NNE through the area. Strong S to SE winds for a 6-8 hour period will result in rapidly rising water levels across the mid/upper Ches Bay (especially the bayside of the Lower MD Ern Shore) and also in areas on the north side of the Albemarle/Currituck Sounds. In coordination with neighboring offices, Coastal Flood Watches have been upgraded to warnings on the east side of the Ches Bay (from Dorchester County S to Northampton VA). A Storm Surge Warning is now in effect for areas on the north side of the Albemarle Sound, where moderate to potentially major tidal flooding is expected on Tue. Watches have been converted to advisories across the VA Northern Neck where minor tidal flooding is expected on Tuesday.

Moderate coastal flooding is expected on the bayside of the Lower Eastern Shore (highest confidence from Cambridge to Crisfield, with lesser confidence on the bayside of Accomack/Northampton Counties). It is possible (but not the most likely scenario) that sites on the bayside of the Lower MD Eastern Shore (mainly Cambridge/Bishop's Head) could crest around major flood thresholds during Tuesday's high tide. This could happen if there is a short period of very strong westerly winds on the tail end of the storm that act to push water toward the bay side of the Lower MD Ern Shore. The latest guidance still shows potential for water to be trapped in the northern Ches Bay, but has backed off on water levels somewhat. The forecast will show minor flooding on the bayside of the Lower Ern Shore early Wed AM. Will run the warning for the Ern Shore through 06z Wed for now, but may cancel early if things continue to trend downward.

CLIMATE. As of 800 PM EDT Monday .

RIC official had a high temperature of 90F Mon which made it 25 consecutive days of 90+F temperatures (the 2nd longest streak in the period of record). The longest streak on record is 27 days in 1995.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . Flash Flood Watch through this evening for MDZ021>023. Tropical Storm Warning for MDZ021>025. Coastal Flood Warning until 2 AM EDT Wednesday for MDZ021>023. NC . Flash Flood Watch through this evening for NCZ012>014-030. Tropical Storm Warning for NCZ012>017-030>032-102. VA . Flash Flood Watch through this evening for VAZ048-060>062- 064>069-075>090-092-093-096-509>524. Tropical Storm Warning for VAZ064-075>090-092-093-095>100- 511>525. Coastal Flood Warning until 2 AM EDT Wednesday for VAZ099-100. Coastal Flood Warning until 8 PM EDT this evening for VAZ098. Coastal Flood Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for VAZ075- 077. MARINE . Tropical Storm Warning for ANZ630>638-650-652-654-656-658.

SYNOPSIS . AJZ/ALB NEAR TERM . ALB SHORT TERM . AJZ/ALB LONG TERM . TMG AVIATION . ALB MARINE . ALB/RHR TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . CLIMATE .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 22 mi42 min SSW 42 G 49 75°F 80°F999 hPa
44089 24 mi34 min 66°F13 ft
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 26 mi42 min S 35 G 47 75°F 81°F996.9 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 30 mi42 min SSW 33 G 41 998.2 hPa
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 37 mi30 min W 37 G 41 75°F 83°F4 ft999.5 hPa (-6.7)
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 39 mi42 min SSW 11 G 14 74°F 81°F997.1 hPa
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 44 mi48 min SSE 22 G 33 76°F 67°F1004.7 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 45 mi42 min SW 12 G 17
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 47 mi42 min S 11 G 16 76°F 83°F997.5 hPa
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 48 mi42 min SSE 30 G 35 997.8 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 49 mi48 min ESE 19 G 30 76°F 83°F999.4 hPa

Wind History for Bishops Head, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wallops Flight Facility Airport, VA14 mi36 minS 36 G 478.00 miOvercast and Windy76°F71°F85%1000.5 hPa
Melfa / Accomack Airport, VA19 mi55 minSSE 28 G 477.00 miOvercast and Windy76°F67°F76%999.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KWAL

Wind History from WAL (wind in knots)
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2 days agoNE8NE7E8E6NE7SE8SE9SE9SE11SE10S6S7SE7S6S7S8S8S11S10S10S10SW6SW10SW8

Tide / Current Tables for Muddy Creek Entrance, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Muddy Creek Entrance
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:27 AM EDT     2.64 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:09 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:51 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 08:21 AM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:50 PM EDT     2.27 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:07 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:21 PM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:10 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.32.62.62.31.91.30.70.300.10.51.11.72.12.32.11.71.20.70.30.10.10.51.2

Tide / Current Tables for Ape Hole Creek, Pocomoke Sound, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
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Ape Hole Creek
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:37 AM EDT     2.76 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:09 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:51 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 08:26 AM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:00 PM EDT     2.37 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:08 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:26 PM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:11 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.32.72.72.521.40.80.300.10.51.11.72.22.42.21.91.40.80.30.10.10.51.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.