Inez, KY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Inez, KY

April 23, 2024 3:42 AM EDT (07:42 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:40 AM   Sunset 8:15 PM
Moonrise 7:15 PM   Moonset 5:26 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Inez, KY
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Area Discussion for - Jackson, KY
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FXUS63 KJKL 230734 AFDJKL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Jackson KY 334 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry and breezy conditions today will approach critical fire weather thresholds.

- A weak passing cold front will bring light showers to most locations Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning.

- Below normal temperatures return by Thursday morning, bringing the risk for patchy frost in valleys.

- Temperatures then trend well above normal for the weekend.

SHORT TERM
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 334 AM EDT TUE APR 23 2024

The latest upper level map features seasonably deep lows churning over southeastern Canada, with a positively tilted trough aligned southwest through the northern Plains, and then more west through the northern Rockies. A notable vorticity maximum is moving over the Upper Midwest within this long wave trough. Meanwhile, a short wave ridge is retreating east near and along the Appalachians. At the surface, high pressure is positioned from New England through the lower Mississippi Valley. Elongated low pressure is seen across southern Ontario, with a cold front arced south through the Midwest, and then southwest through the central Plains.
Besides some passing high clouds, skies have been mostly clear over eastern Kentucky, with temperatures currently ranging from the mid 30s at the colder valley sites, to the upper 40s atop the ridges.

The models are in good agreement through the short term period.
The Upper Midwest vorticity maxima will open up and cruise southeast, reaching the Great Lakes and portions of the Ohio Valley by this evening. This wave will continue more eastward Tuesday night, before eventually meeting up with more amplified short wave energy rotating in from southern Hudson Bay on Wednesday over New England. At the surface, a cold front will progress through the Ohio and Tennessee valleys tonight into early Wednesday, bringing a round of light rain showers to our area.

For today, deeper mixing will allow for drier air to mix down from late this morning through this afternoon, as the pressure gradient increases between the approaching cold front from the northwest, while high pressure retreats further away to our southeast.
Consequently, used more 10th percentile of the blended guidance for the dew points, while allowing for highs in between the 50th and 75th percentile, with most locations seeing lower 70s, with some spots achieving mid 70s. Southwest winds will increase to 10 to 15 mph, with gusts of 20 to 25 mph. Given the combination of the lower relative humidity and the gustier southwest winds, will hoist a Special Weather Statement highlighting the fire weather concerns. PoP chances will increase to likely to categorical (60-80%) tonight associated with the passing cold front. QPF continues to come in lean for this system, averaging less than a tenth of an inch for most locations. Lows will average in the low 50s. A few showers will hang on across far southeastern Kentucky early Wednesday morning, before high pressure builds in from the northwest, with clouds breaking up in the afternoon. Highs will retreat a few degrees compared to today, with upper 60s to lower 70s expected.

LONG TERM
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 327 AM EDT TUE APR 23 2024

Models are in decent agreement in the evolution of the long term period, yielding relatively higher confidence in the overall forecast.

The period begins with northwest flow and cold advection underway Wednesday night just upstream of the disturbance that crosses the area Wednesday. A trailing wave within the northwest flow will bring some clouds late Wednesday night into Thursday morning, but overall this will have minimal impact on temperatures. Lows in the upper 30s to lower 40s are expected on ridgetops and exposed areas, but sheltered valleys will likely see another round of at least patchy frost as temperatures fall close to freezing in the lower to mid 30s. Surface high pressure will result in light easterly surface winds Thursday under sunny skies, with highs returning to near normal in the mid to upper 60s north to mid 70s south.

Light easterly surface winds become more southeasterly with time Thursday night as upper ridging moves overhead and warm advection begins to increase. Lows Thursday night will trend about 5 degrees warmer with 40s in most locations except for mid to upper 30s in the more sheltered eastern valleys under gradually increasing cloudiness from the southwest.

A warm frontal passage from south to north across the Ohio Valley will bring increasing chances for showers and possibly a few thunderstorms Friday into Friday night, though eastern Kentucky's proximity to the downstream upper ridging over the eastern slopes of the southern Appalachians will likely keep much of the better instability and moisture just to the west. With upper ridging strengthening over the Mid-Atlantic through the weekend, the better forcing for ascent in association with a low pressure system over the Central US will remain over the Mississippi River Valley and lower Ohio River Valley, which will result in only slight chance PoPs at best for much of Saturday into Saturday night, with increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms Sunday as the weather system slowly starts to nudge the downstream ridge eastward.
High-end chance to likely (50 to 60) PoPs are expected Monday as the cold front moves across the area, with surface high pressure nudging into the area behind the front at the very end of the period Monday night resulting in decreasing PoPs.

Temperatures will warm increasingly above normal from the 70s to mid 80s for highs through Sunday, then cool back into the 70s for most areas Monday into Tuesday with the increased chance for showers and storms. Lows will also be on the warm side in the upper 50s and 60s this weekend into early next week.

AVIATION
(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
ISSUED AT 135 AM EDT TUE APR 23 2024

VFR conditions will prevail through the period. Some scattered high clouds will be seen at times through Tuesday afternoon, before thicker mid-level clouds move in towards dusk, as a cold front approaches from the northwest. Ceilings will continue to lower through end of the period, with light rain showers developing. Surface winds will be light and variable through the mid-morning hours, before increasing to 10 to 15 kts out of the southwest, with gusts of 20 to 25 kts from late morning through early evening. Surface winds will likely diminish somewhat after dusk, with an increasing risk of LLWS, as winds remain between 35 and 45 kts out of the southwest at 2k feet agl.

JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for KYZ044-050>052- 058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120.




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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KSJS BIG SANDY RGNL,KY 12 sm27 minSSW 0310 smClear46°F30°F53%30.12
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