Saturday, December14, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Inez, KY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:37AMSunset 5:11PM Saturday December 14, 2019 7:37 AM EST (12:37 UTC) Moonrise 7:46PMMoonset 9:53AM Illumination 92% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Inez, KY
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location: 37.92, -82.66     debug


Area Discussion for - Jackson, KY
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FXUS63 KJKL 141235 AAA AFDJKL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION . UPDATED National Weather Service Jackson KY 735 AM EST Sat Dec 14 2019

UPDATE. Issued at 735 AM EST SAT DEC 14 2019

The winds are switching around to the northwest and picking up speed across the area as the earlier dry slot is filling in with more rain. Have updated the forecast grids to fine tune the PoPs for that through the rest of the morning and also to add in the latest obs and trends for the T/Td grids. These updates have been sent to the NDFD and web servers.

SHORT TERM. (Today through Sunday) Issued at 330 AM EST SAT DEC 14 2019

08z sfc analysis shows low pressure deepening and lifting to the northeast of Kentucky. This has brought some soaking rains to eastern Kentucky overnight with spotty rains continuing. The rain and low clouds with this system also brought areas of fog to the JKL CWA that will continue into the daylight hours. In this very moist environment temperatures and dewpoints are nearly the same varying from the low 40s north to the mid 40s south. Meanwhile, winds are generally light from the northwest.

The models are in very good agreement aloft through the short term period. They all depict a broad but sharpening trough lifting northeast through the Southern Appalachians today and off the East Coast tonight. Heights with this will bottom out over eastern Kentucky by early afternoon as the core energy with the wave passes by just to the south. Slowly rising heights will follow tonight through Sunday as the pattern tilts in response to the departing trough in the east and a new one taking shape over the Four Corners Region by Sunday evening. This pattern shift will mean deep layer and fast southwest flow running from northern Mexico through Kentucky. Given the small model spread with the main features affecting the area this weekend will favor a blended solution as represented by the NBM though also incorporate some terrain details seen in the NAM12.

Sensible weather will feature a damp start to the day as patches of light rain will abound across the area - falling from low clouds. Temperatures will be on the cool side making for chilly rains for nearly all of the area. The exception will be for locations well above 2500 feet where readings will be down into the low to mid 30s later this morning allowing for some snow to mix with the rain and perhaps changeover completely to all snow for a short time. This will mean a concern for some accumulating snow above that level this morning - before a loss of ice crystals return the p-type to rain in the afternoon there. Will continue the SPS addressing this with a slushy inch of snow possible above those levels - mainly on grassy and elevated surfaces with the road surfaces likely too warm to see accumulations. Otherwise, the slow drying process will continue into and through the night as northwest winds pick up and advect in additional cold air but not dry enough to clear out the low clouds. Those clouds stick around on Sunday, as well, though readings will still be able to climb into the low 40s north and mid to upper 40s south. The moisture will start to rebound late in the day Sunday as the next weather system starts to head into the area with a tight baroclinic zone setting up from north to south across the area.

Did not deviate much from the temperatures and dewpoints from the NBM, though did smooth out the choppy PoPs it had for today and hit the higher terrain harder per the higher resolution NAM12 details.

LONG TERM. (Sunday night through Friday) Issued at 250 AM EST SAT DEC 14 2019

The primary focus in the extended will be locally heavy rainfall Sunday night through Tuesday. A strong area of low pressure is forecast to move through the region for the start of the upcoming work week. This system will usher warm air into the area on Monday. Widespread rain showers will bring yet another soaking rain event to eastern Kentucky. There may even be enough instability and lift available for a few thunderstorms to form Monday afternoon and evening. Just enough cold air will filter into the area Monday night, to allow for a bit of snow to mix with rain north of the Mountain Parkway. Little if any snow accumulation is expected. Gusty south to southwest winds will be on tap for Monday as well. Temperatures will max out in the upper 50s to lower 60s for most locations across eastern Kentucky on Monday. Locations along and north of I64 will likely be much cooler, with max readings in the lower 50s possible as colder air slowly moves in. Daily highs from Tuesday onward will be mainly in the 40s and lower 50s. The exception to this will be Wednesday. Much colder air is forecast to settle over the region by the middle of the week, and we could see highs only climbing into the 30s on Wednesday. Nightly lows will be in the 20s and 30s, with the coldest nights being from Tuesday night onward.

AVIATION. (For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning) ISSUED AT 715 AM EST SAT DEC 14 2019

Winds are picking up from the northwest at most of the TAF sites now and this is helping to clear out the fog and lowest CIGs. Look for the CIGs to creep back up to MVFR by afternoon, but likely fall again after dark - perhaps into IFR. The winds will be between 5 and 10 knots out of the northwest today with some higher gusts - diminishing again tonight.

JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NONE.

UPDATE . GREIF SHORT TERM . GREIF LONG TERM . AR AVIATION . GREIF


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Huntington, Tri-State Airport, WV32 mi47 minNW 10 G 1610.00 miLight Rain42°F39°F92%1001.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHTS

Wind History from HTS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmE3E5E5CalmCalmN3CalmNE3NE4N4NE6E7N5NE4NE5NE3CalmW4N3N3NW4NW5NW10
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1 day agoE3E3E4E63SE43E6E5E4E4E3E3E4E4E4E5E4E3CalmS8CalmE4N3
2 days agoSW4SW5SW7SW7SW7SW9W8SW7SW10W3W3CalmCalmE3E3NE3E3E3CalmNE4E3CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

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Wind Forecast for Jackson, KY (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Charleston, WV
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.