Page Links Change Location One Page Printer Page HELP Default setup SAVE setting RECALL saved setting

Marine Weather and Tides Tappahannock, VA Version 3.4

NOTICE 3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone. 1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17. 1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

---

Sunrise 5:50AM

Sunset 8:36PM

Friday July 1, 2022 9:04 AM EDT (13:04 UTC)

Moonrise 6:47AM

Moonset 9:47PM

Illumination 7%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

---

---

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Tappahannock, VA

   Hourly   EDIT   Help

---

Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA

      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KAKQ 010825 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 425 AM EDT Fri Jul 1 2022

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will be centered iff the coast through Saturday. A cold front approaches from the northwest late Saturday night, then stalls near the area into early next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 400 AM EDT Friday .

Mostly dry and hot day today as high pressure remains centered off the Carolina/Mid-Atlantic coast. Not expecting much in the way of cloud cover today with only a few CU developing in the afternoon. Bumped up high temperatures slightly for today given the mostly sunny skies. High temperatures are expected to be in the low and mid 90s this afternoon. Dew points will be in the upper 60s this afternoon, resulting in maximum heat indices in the upper 90s to near 100F.

A weak upper-level trough is tracking northeast along the GA/SC coast this morning. As the trough moves farther north this afternoon. Isolated showers/tstms are expected to develop this afternoon. Showers/tstms are expected to remain south of the VA/NC border with highest Pops along the Albemarle Sound (30-40%).

In addition, storms are expected to form over the Blue Ridge this afternoon. An storm or two may hold together during the late afternoon/early evening as they track from W to E. Pops are around 20% NW of Richmond.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 430 AM EDT Friday .

A upper-level trough and associated cold front will be moving south into the region late Saturday and into Sunday. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop along the front as it moves south. Storms and showers are expected to develop across northern VA/western MD near the cold front Saturday afternoon, then track southeast. The front will be slowly moving south Saturday and Sunday. Most of the storms will stay across central VA and MD Eastern Shore. PWAT values are forecasted to be 1.75"-2.00" Saturday afternoon, indicating that storms have the capability to produce heavy rain with localized flooding possible. Saturday will likely be another hot day since showers and storms will move in late in the day. High temperatures are expected to be in the low 90s.

The upper-level low pressure move up the SE CONUS coast today will still be over the NC and SC coast tomorrow. This will lead to increase clouds across far southeast VA and northeast NC, keeping temperatures in the upper 80s. There will be a chance for showers and an isolated thunderstorms Saturday morning across northeast NC, closer to the upper-level low.

The cold front will continue to slowly move south into central and southern VA Sunday morning. Showers and storms chances continue overnight Saturday and into Sunday morning. Pops will be 40-50% Sunday morning. Models are coming into more of an agreement that the front will be near the VA/NC border by the afternoon. Allowing for areas to dry out across northeast VA and MD Eastern Shore by the afternoon and with the highest Pops across southern VA and northeastern NC. Highest Pops are 60-70% during Sunday afternoon. PWAT values are forecasted to increase to 2.00"-2.25" during the afternoon over central/southeast VA and northeast NC. Again, this indicates that storms/showers have the capability to produce heavy rain and localized flooding. Since there will be increased cloud cover and rain across the area, Sunday high temperatures will be in the mid 80s.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 130 AM EDT Friday .

Thunderstorms chances decrease for the 4th of July. Shortwave moves east over the Atlantic Ocean, however, the frontal boundary is forecasted to remain near the area on Monday. Scatter/Isolated storms are still possible during the afternoon and evening. Highest Pops are along and south of I-64 (30-40%). Severe weather is unlikely but strong wind gusts, heavy rainfall, and dangerous lightning are all potential threats with storms Monday afternoon and evening. High temps top out in the upper 80s with a mix of clouds and sun outside of any showers/storms. Mostly dry Monday night with lows near 70F.

Upper ridge begins to back away to the west Tuesday and Wednesday with flow aloft transitioning to the NW. The remnant frontal boundary will likely move back to the north with increasing low level moisture in its wake. Afternoon showers and storms are possible over the entire region but are slightly favored west of the Chesapeake Bay based on the latest guidance. Afternoon high temperatures remain in the upper 80s to low 90s each afternoon with lows overnight around 70.

AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 130 AM EDT Friday .

VFR conditions will prevail through the 06z TAF period. SCT-BKN high clouds will continue overnight, with SCT CU again developing by Friday aftn. Winds will be southerly at 5-12kt through the period. A few gusts of 15-20kt are possible Fri afternoon and evening. Dry wx should prevail through the period, although an isolated shower/tstm cannot be ruled out at RIC/ECG after 18z Fri.

OUTLOOK . Scattered convection develops ahead of an approaching cold front on Sat, with more widespread/numerous showers/tstms Sun, as that front stalls across the area. Some lingering showers and storms possible (mainly south) on Independence Day (Mon).

MARINE. As of 135 AM EDT Friday .

Sfc hi pres remains off the coast through today. Similar conditions to Thu expected w/ SSW winds avgg 5-15 kt this morning . then SSE 10-20 kt w/ gusts to 25 kt by late this afternoon/early evening. Will be raising SCAs for the lower Ches Bay . including the mouth of the bay . for a short period of 15-20 kt/G 25 kt (local wind probs show this nicely from about 19-23Z/01) A cold front slowly drops S this weekend. likely stalling over the local waters Sun into Mon. Waves and seas of 1-3 ft and 2-3 ft respectively continue through late this afternoon/early this evening. Seas build to 3-4 ft for the northern coastal waters late this evening/tonight into early Sat night as SSW winds pick up to/avg 15-20 kt. Winds expected to become VRB or SE BLO 10 kt Sun-Mon.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EDT this evening for ANZ632-634.

SYNOPSIS . CP NEAR TERM . CP SHORT TERM . CP LONG TERM . CP/RHR AVIATION . CP/ERI MARINE . ALB

---

Weather Reporting Stations

   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map

Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA	21 mi	65 min	SW 9.9G12	78°F	80°F		1020.2 hPa (+0.0)
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD	22 mi	65 min	WSW 14G18
44042 - Potomac, MD	29 mi	53 min	SSW 9.7G12	75°F	78°F
NCDV2	29 mi	65 min	SW 7G11	77°F	82°F		1018.8 hPa (+0.0)
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD	35 mi	65 min	SW 13G16	78°F	77°F		1018.1 hPa (+0.0)
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA	37 mi	95 min	S 1	76°F			1021 hPa	72°F
44058 - Stingray Point, VA	41 mi	53 min	SSW 12G14	76°F	78°F
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD	41 mi	65 min	SE 14G19	77°F			1019.9 hPa (+0.0)
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD	48 mi	65 min	SW 14G16	77°F	79°F		1020.5 hPa (-0.0)
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD	49 mi	47 min	SSW 12G16	76°F	76°F		1020.6 hPa

Wind History for Lewisetta, VA

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

9 am

10 am

11 am

12 pm

1 pm

2 pm

3 pm

4 pm

5 pm

6 pm

7 pm

8 pm

9 pm

10 pm

11 pm

12 am

1 am

2 am

3 am

4 am

5 am

6 am

7 am

8 am

Last 24 hr

W3

E3

E5

E7

E9

E10

E11

E11

SE8 G11

S7

S7

SW7

S4

S5

SW11

SW9 G12

SW11

SW10

SW10 G13

SW8 G11

SW9

SW11

SW9

SW10

1 day ago

SW9

SW6

SW5

SW6

SW10 G13

S7 G10

SW10

S8

S10

S10

S8 G11

S9

S10

SW8

SW8

SW10 G13

SW7

SW8

W9

SW7

NW4

SW7

W6

2 days ago

N7 G10

N10 G17

N10 G13

N9 G12

NE6

NE5 G8

E4

SE6

SE5

SE6

SE6

SE5

S5

SW3

SW5

SW7

SW8

SW8

SW7

W7

SW5

SW4

SW6

SW7

---

Airport Reports

    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.

Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Tappahannock-Essex County Airport, VA	5 mi	-42330 min	SE 6	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	84°F	73°F	70%	1021 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KXSA

Wind History from XSA (wind in knots)

8 pm

9 pm

10 pm

11 pm

12 am

1 am

2 am

3 am

4 am

5 am

6 am

7 am

8 am

9 am

10 am

11 am

12 pm

1 pm

2 pm

3 pm

4 pm

5 pm

6 pm

7 pm

Last 24 hr

S4

S3

0

0

0

0

S3

0

S3

0

S5

0

0

SW4

SW5

0

0

SE4

W4

0

N6

0

SE8

S5

1 day ago

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

S4

S5

S5

SE6

SE6

S6

S6

SW8

W9

S5

S7

2 days ago

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

N4

N5

N9 G15

N10 G15

N6

NE6

N6

SW3

N4

NW4

0

---

Tide / Current Tables for Tappahannock, Rappahannock River, Virginia

   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data