Sunday, January17, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Crisfield, MD

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 5:09PM Sunday January 17, 2021 4:27 AM EST (09:27 UTC) Moonrise 10:18AMMoonset 9:55PM Illumination 16% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ543 Tangier Sound And The Inland Waters Surrounding Bloodsworth Island- 341 Am Est Sun Jan 17 2021
.small craft advisory in effect until 3 pm est this afternoon...
Rest of the overnight..W winds 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Today..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Mon..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Mon night..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Tue..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tue night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed..NW winds 15 to 20 kt...becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Thu..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
ANZ500 341 Am Est Sun Jan 17 2021
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. Another upper level trough will swing through the region tonight, which could result in small craft advisories for portions of the waters. High pressure builds to the south of our region through the early parts of next week. Small craft advisories may be needed again on Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Crisfield, MD
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location: 37.98, -75.86     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 170904 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 404 AM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

SYNOPSIS. Upper level low pressure will track across the Ohio Valley, then into New England today through Monday. High pressure will slide from the Gulf Coast States to the Southeast Coast Monday through Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 400 AM EST Sunday .

Early this morning, strong low pressure was over nrn New England providing a dry WSW flow into the region. The sky was clear or mostly clear with temps in the lower to mid 30s.

Dry wx is expected across the area the next several days, with just some clouds from time to time. Upper level low pressure will track across the OH Valley this aftn into the evening, pushing some mainly high clouds into and across the region. Otherwise, mostly sunny then partly sunny with highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s, with SW winds 10-15 mph (a few gusts near 20 mph).

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. As of 400 AM EST Sunday .

That upper level low pressure will lift NE and into New England tonight through Mon. This will result in a weak upper trough crossing the area Mon morning into Mon aftn, with mainly mid level clouds. So, the sky may be mostly cloudy into midday/early aftn, then partly sunny. Highs on Mon will range from the mid 40s to lower 50s.

Meanwhile, high pressure will slide from the Gulf Coast States to the SE Coast Mon through Tue. Mostly clear to partly cloudy Mon night and Tue. Lows Mon night will range from the mid 20s to lower 30s. Highs on Tue will range from the mid 40s to lower 50s. Another sfc high will start to build in from the WNW Tue night.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 300 PM EST Saturday .

Anthr dry trof is progged across the area Tue nite with the high to the south dominating through mid week. Lows Tue nite in the 30s. Highs Wed mid 40s-lwr 50s. Increasing clouds Wed nite ahead of an apprchg trof / warm front aloft. Lows upr 20s-lwr 30s north, mid-upr 30s south.

Forecast becomes a bit more uncertain later this week as models offer up different solns wrt a sfc trof and srn stream systm. GFS shows some moisture with a trof / warm front lifting ene across the area late Wed nite and Thurs while suppressing the srn stream systm well south of the local area Fri. The Canadian is even drier with a Thurs morning trof passage then a suppressed systm to the south Fri. The ECMWF has trended toward the GFS by backing off with its wdsprd pcpn Thurs morning while bringing a pcpn shield from the srn stream systm farther north Fri.

Given the uncertainty this far out, will show slght chc PoPs Thurs (mainly rain shwrs, psbl rain/snow shwr mix north early). Highs 45- 50 north, lwr 50s south. Slght chc poPs (rain shwrs) Thus nite with lows mid 30s-lwr 40s. Slght chc rain north Fri with chc PoPs south. Highs 45-50 except lwr 50s across ne NC.

Drying out and cooler Sat. Highs 40-45.

AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 115 AM EST Sunday .

VFR conditions expected at the TAF sites today into Mon morning, with just SCT-BKN high clouds, as a weak sfc trough slides across the area. SW winds 7-12 kt with some gusts to near 20 kt possible this aftn.

OUTLOOK . Mainly VFR conditions are expected Mon into Wed, with a weak, dry trough on Mon, followed by high pressure for Mon night into Wed.

MARINE. As of 400 AM EST Sunday .

Latest analysis reveals sfc low pressure over eastern Maine into Atlantic Canada, as high pressure builds over the west-central Gulf coast. Winds across the waters still in the 15-25kt range, as modest cold air advection continues early this morning. SCA flags flying for all but upper rivers at this time, and will purge just after sunrise for the lower James and Sound. SCA should be able to come down on time late this morning for the Bay and southern coastal waters, as conditions gradually improve with slackening pressure gradient. Seas will take some time to fall below SCA thresholds this aftn across the northern waters, with current headlines set to expire at 6pm north of Parramore Island. These may be able to be trimmed by a few hours (mid-aftn or so), based on the latest 00z/17 NWPS/WaveWatch. W-SW winds 10-15kt tonight and early Monday. Seas 2- 4 ft, waves 1-2 ft.

Another upper level system and its associated weak cold front cross the area late Monday afternoon and night, and another brief period of SCA winds possible during this time frame over the lower Bay/Sound. High pressure builds across the deep south through midweek, with winds to remain AOB 15kt, with 2-3 ft. Another cold frontal passage Tuesday night, with breezy (mainly Sub-SCA) conditions on Wednesday out of the W-NW. Winds weaken again with slackening gradient Wed night and Thu.

EQUIPMENT. As of 115 AM EST Sunday .

NWS Wakefield (KAKQ) radar has suffered a transmitter malfunction and is offline. The radar is expected to remain offline until Tuesday afternoon (01/19/2021). The Newport/Morehead City radar (KMHX) is also offline due to a scheduled generator upgrade. Users are encouraged to access adjacent radars from Blacksburg (KFCX), Raleigh (KRAX), Sterling (KLWX), and Dover AFB (KDOX) through the outage period.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for ANZ630>632-634-654-656-658. Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for ANZ633- 638. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for ANZ650- 652.

SYNOPSIS . TMG NEAR TERM . TMG SHORT TERM . MPR/TMG LONG TERM . MPR AVIATION . TMG MARINE . MAM/RHR EQUIPMENT . AKQ


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 19 mi57 min W 20 G 23 38°F 41°F1007.3 hPa
44042 - Potomac, MD 25 mi33 min W 16 G 19 36°F 42°F1008.4 hPa
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 27 mi57 min W 5.1 G 8.9 35°F 43°F1008.6 hPa
44089 32 mi31 min 44°F4 ft
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 32 mi57 min WSW 9.9 G 13 34°F 40°F1008.2 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 32 mi57 min WSW 20 G 24 1009.1 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 37 mi57 min W 12 G 16
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 39 mi57 min WSW 13 G 16 36°F 42°F1007.2 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 43 mi57 min WSW 8 G 11 36°F 41°F1006.7 hPa
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 47 mi57 min W 8.9 G 12 37°F 44°F1007.8 hPa
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 49 mi33 min W 16 G 18 37°F 41°F

Wind History for Bishops Head, MD
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wallops Flight Facility Airport, VA21 mi33 minW 810.00 miFair36°F28°F73%1007.6 hPa
Melfa / Accomack Airport, VA23 mi32 minW 11 G 1410.00 miFair35°F27°F72%1008.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KWAL

Wind History from WAL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW3W3SW7W8W8W8W9W5SW9W8SW75W6W7W12
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1 day agoNE4CalmSE3E3SE8SE11SE10SE9SE11S11S9SE6SE8S6S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW7W7E3E4
2 days agoCalmS6CalmW4W6W6W6W4W56W5W4W4W5W6W3W4CalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Crisfield, Little Annemessex River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
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Crisfield
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:40 AM EST     1.77 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:17 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:54 AM EST     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 10:18 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:58 PM EST     1.92 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:10 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 09:54 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 10:28 PM EST     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.91.41.71.81.61.20.70.3-0-0.100.40.91.41.81.91.81.510.50.1-0.1-0.1

Tide / Current Tables for Long Point, Big Annemessex River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
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Long Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:09 AM EST     1.86 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:17 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:18 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:35 AM EST     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:27 PM EST     2.02 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:09 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 09:54 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 11:09 PM EST     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.71.21.71.91.81.510.60.2-0.1-0.10.20.71.21.7221.81.30.90.40-0.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.