Tuesday, March2, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Greenbackville, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:30AMSunset 5:58PM Tuesday March 2, 2021 6:13 PM EST (23:13 UTC) Moonrise 9:59PMMoonset 8:39AM Illumination 82% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ652 Coastal Waters From Chincoteague To Parramore Island Va Out 20 Nm- 352 Pm Est Tue Mar 2 2021
Through 7 pm..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Mainly ne swell. Dominant period 6 seconds.
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt late. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 10 seconds.
Wed night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 10 seconds.
Thu..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Thu night..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Fri..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Fri night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas around 2 ft.
ANZ600 352 Pm Est Tue Mar 2 2021
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure builds over the region from the west through tonight. A weak low pressure system passes south of the region on Wednesday, with another weak low looking to pass south of the area over the upcoming weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Greenbackville, VA
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location: 38.01, -75.38     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 022100 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 400 PM EST Tue Mar 2 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure remains over the area through this evening before sliding offshore tonight. Low pressure tracks off the Carolina coast Wednesday. High pressure returns later in the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/. As of 300 PM EST Tuesday .

High pressure will reside over the local area through this evening before it slides offshore tonight. Meanwhile, an upper low currently over Arkansas becomes an open wave as it moves E/ESE to a position over the srn Appalachians by late tonight. A thin but overcast veil of high clouds has pushed as far north as the Northern Neck this afternoon and these should continue to drift north to the Lower MD eastern shore through this evening. This will lead to mostly clear/fair conditions north and partly cloudy conditions south tonight as the low moves ENE across the Deep South. Forecast lows are mainly in the upper 20s-around 30F tonight. With the influx of high clouds this may be a bit pessimistic but given low dew pt air in place, temps may tumble quickly this evening before leveling off overnight.

SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 300 PM EST Tuesday .

The upper shortwave moves off the Carolina coast by midday Wed. At the surface, low pressure organizes near the South Carolina coast Wednesday morning before quickly pushing offshore by the afternoon. The 12z/02 deterministic and ensemble guidance continues with a far south track of the low, and keeps all QPF south of the FA. Will keep a dry forecast going for Wed. Sky conditions will average out mostly sunny NW with a partly to mostly cloudy sky SE. Forecast highs range from the low-mid 50s Eastern Shore and SE to the upper 50s-around 60F W and NW.

The sky clears Wednesday night with low temperatures falling into the 30s. High pressure builds in from the NW Thursday behind a quick moving but dry cold fropa. Dry Friday with high pressure in control. Seasonable high temperatures in the 50s in most areas (upper 40s-near 50F on the Ern Shore) for Thursday under a mostly sunny sky. Cool Friday despite plenty of sunshine. Highs in the 40s . to near 50 Piedmont.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 300 PM EST Tuesday .

Mainly dry weather for Friday night through early next week. Another upper level wave cuts south of the local are on Saturday but a strong long wave trough over eastern Canada will keep this system and its moisture suppressed south. This will also keep temps near seasonable levels through the weekend. Highs Sat/Sun will generally be in the mid 40s to low 50s. Lows in the 20s and 30s. Milder early next week with highs in the upr 40s to mid 50s Monday and mid 50s to mid 60s next Tuesday.

AVIATION /21Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 1220 PM EST Tuesday .

VFR conditions will prevail through the 18z TAF period as high pressure remains in control. Other than SCT-BKN high clouds across mainly the southern half of the area through tomorrow, conditions will remain SKC. N-NW winds will diminish further this afternoon before becoming light and variable this evening. Winds turn to the S (and will be around 5 kts) tonight as the high weakens and slowly pushes offshore. Low pressure tracks to our south on Wed with any pcpn remaining to our south.

OUTLOOK . A prolonged period of generally benign weather is expected Thursday into early next week as high pressure builds back over the area.

MARINE. As of 350 PM EST Tuesday .

Early morning obs and buoy reports reflect N-NE flow 10 kt or less across the waters this afternoon. Latest analysts shows 1016mb sfc low pressure over the east-central Gulf coast, with high pressure building over the local waters from the west. Have dropped SCA SCA north of Cape Charles, with southern coastal waters continuing through 7pm. Seas will continue to subside through early evening, and will average 2-4 ft overnight. Meanwhile, winds will continue to subside through the evening as sfc high pressure settles overhead through tonight. Winds stay sub-SCA but tick up slightly to 10-15 Kt through the overnight, slowly veering around to the S-SW winds as the sfc high pressure pushes offshore toward morning. Low pressure slowly pushes east toward the GA/FL coast late tonight, and passes south of the local waters Wed morning through Wednesday evening.

A cold front drops across the waters Thursday morning, with a brief period of SCA flags potentially needed Thu morning in the Bay. Winds diminish into the aftn, but will likely need a SCA Thu night into Fri morning with the secondary CAA surge, again mainly on the Bay and perhaps the lower James and the Sound.

Generally benign marine conditions then favored over the weekend, as sfc high pressure then builds over the area Fri into Sat. The high then slides offshore late in the weekend into early next week, as another weak sfc low pressure moves E-NE across the Gulf coast to the southeast coast. Looking to remain sub-SCA through this time frame, with winds out of the N-NW Sun- Mon, but will need to watch exact low track as we get closer. Models look to favor a return flow (S-SW) setup into the middle of next week.

HYDROLOGY. As of 330 PM EST Tuesday .

Flood Warning remains in effect for Richmond-Westham and the gage has crested at 12.5 ft this afternoon. See FLSAKQ and water.weather.gov for more details.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for ANZ656- 658.

SYNOPSIS . JDM NEAR TERM . JDM SHORT TERM . ERI/JDM LONG TERM . ERI/JDM AVIATION . ERI/JDM MARINE . MAM HYDROLOGY .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44089 18 mi138 min 42°F2 ft
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 27 mi146 min NNW 6 G 8.9 40°F 42°F1024.4 hPa
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 32 mi146 min W 1.9 G 8 40°F 47°F1024.6 hPa
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 38 mi146 min WNW 8.9 G 11 40°F 43°F1024 hPa
44009 - DELAWARE BAY 26 NM Southeast of Cape May, NJ 47 mi144 min 3 ft
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 47 mi146 min N 2.9 G 6 1025.4 hPa

Wind History for Ocean City Inlet, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wallops Flight Facility Airport, VA7 mi20 minW 610.00 miFair37°F16°F42%1023.7 hPa
Salisbury, Salisbury-Ocean City Wicomico County Regional Airport, MD24 mi20 minWSW 310.00 miFair37°F16°F42%1023.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KWAL

Wind History from WAL (wind in knots)
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1 day ago--E3CalmS7S8S3CalmCalmN4S3CalmS4W5W5W7W4W7SW9W13NW26
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2 days agoW5W4W5CalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE4NE7E8E9--E10E10E8E8E5NE5NE6

Tide / Current Tables for Franklin City, Chincoteague Bay, Virginia
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Franklin City
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Tue -- 06:27 AM EST     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:31 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:39 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 11:46 AM EST     0.73 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:56 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:47 PM EST     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:59 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.70.50.30.1-0-0.1-0.10.10.30.60.70.70.70.50.40.20-0.1-0.100.20.50.7

Tide / Current Tables for Chincoteague Island, USCG Station, Chincoteague Bay, Virginia
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Chincoteague Island
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:40 AM EST     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:31 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:39 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 10:24 AM EST     1.83 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:00 PM EST     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:56 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:59 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:59 PM EST     1.90 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.510.50.1-0.2-0.20.10.61.21.61.81.81.51.10.60.2-0.1-0.2-0.10.40.91.51.81.9

Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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