French-Rumbly, MD Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for French-Rumbly, MD

April 21, 2024 4:09 AM EDT (08:09 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:15 AM   Sunset 7:46 PM
Moonrise 4:46 PM   Moonset 4:15 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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ANZ543 Tangier Sound And The Inland Waters Surrounding Bloodsworth Island- 156 Am Edt Sun Apr 21 2024

.small craft advisory in effect until 9 am edt this morning - .

Overnight - N winds 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.

Sun - NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt - . Becoming N 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of rain.

Sun night - N winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the late evening and overnight. Waves 1 ft.

Mon - NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Mon night - S winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft.

Tue - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.

Tue night - S winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.

Wed - SW winds 15 to 20 kt - .becoming n. Waves 2 ft. A chance of showers.

Thu - N winds 10 to 15 kt - .becoming ne 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

ANZ500 156 Am Edt Sun Apr 21 2024

Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
high pressure will gradually push in from the west today while low pressure passes well to the south. The high will move overhead Monday and Tuesday. A cold front will approach Wednesday. Small craft advisories may be needed Sunday night and Tuesday through Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near French-Rumbly, MD
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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 210749 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 349 AM EDT Sun Apr 21 2024

SYNOPSIS
Low pressure will track east northeast off the southeast coast and out to sea today into Monday morning. High pressure will build over the area for later Monday through Tuesday morning, then slides off the coast by Tuesday evening. A cold front will swing across the region on Wednesday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 900 PM EDT Saturday...

Evening wx analysis shows a cold front lying across NW portions of the CWA Dew points have fallen into the upper 20s-low 30s behind the front. Expect a continued drop in dew points (and temps to some degree) as the front continues through the area tonight. It'll remain mostly clear to partly cloudy through the night before an increase in clouds across the SE as srn stream low pressure gets closer to the area (but remains offshore of the Carolina coast). Low temps will drop into the upper 30s/lower 40s N to the upper 40s/around 50F S. Otherwise, little changes to the rainfall forecast heading into tomorrow and the forthcoming discussion remains unchanged from earlier.

Sun into early Mon morning, a southern stream low pressure system is progged to move out of the Gulf Coast states then off the SE coast, and out to sea. Rain chances begin by mid morning over far southern VA/NE NC, and spread NE through the aftn. With dew pts quite low as the rain initiates (in the 30s N to lower 40s S), this will make for a very chilly day where the rain becomes widespread as a result of column cooling processes. PoPs during the aftn range from 60-80% over the S/SE, to less than 20% across the northern tier of the CWA QPF amounts are expected to range from 0.25"+ in NE NC to only a few hundredths or less from metro RIC and pts north. As noted above, temperatures will be quite cool, especially if the rain were to begin early in the morning. For now, the forecast will show high temperatures from south central/SE VA and NE NC to avg in the mid 50s, with upper 50s to around 60F to the N (but some areas may barely get out of the lower 50s in the far S and if the rain stays far enough S throughout the day, northern zones could reach into the lower 60s by late aftn).

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 400 PM EDT Saturday...

That system moves out to sea Sunday night, with mainly just chc PoPs lingering over far SE VA and NE NC Sunday evening, followed by clearing overnight. With dry air in the low levels overnight (dew pts falling into the lower 30s NW), expect lows to reach down into the mid 30s over the piedmont, potentially close to freezing in the far NW in the coldest spots. Did not add patchy frost wording to the grids, but this may need to be addressed by the next shift. The models depict ~1025mb sfc high pressure centered from east Texas to the mid MS/lower OH Valley on Monday, ridging E into the local area. Aloft, a weak trough will be in place, but the sky should be sunny or mostly sunny across the local area (with a bit more cloud cover across the far SE). Highs on Monday will be warmer than Sunday, but still 5-10F below avg for late April, ranging from the lower- mid 60s near the coast to the upper 60s well inland. With low dew pts continuing and sfc high pressure becoming centered over the local area Mon night, expect a clear sky, light winds, and good radiational cooling conditions farther E than Sun night.
Forecast lows are in the mid/upper 30s over much of the CWA, with lower 40s near the coast. At least patchy frost will be possible over much of the CWA Turning warmer on the backside of the sfc high for Tuesday, with a light southerly flow by aftn inland. Mainly sunny with highs lower 70s inland, and mid to upper 60s at the coast.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 405 PM EDT Saturday...

High pressure slides offshore by Tue evening, before another cold front brings a slight or small chance of showers Wed. Not as cool Tue night with a southerly flow and increasing clouds (lows in the mid 40s to around 50F). The system on Wed will be northern stream, with low level flow turning westerly rather quickly. As such, moisture will be limited, and PoPs will only be 20-25% N and 15% or less over the S. Highs will be in the low-mid 70s. Another fairly strong high pressure system is progged to build in from the Great Lakes Thu-Fri. The 12Z/20 GFS is the strongest and therefore the coldest with low temperatures both Wed night/thu AM and again thu night/Fri AM.
For now have split the difference going slightly cooler than the NBM for lows, with the potential for some additional frost, especially across the piedmont and over the northern 1/2 of the CWA The high will slide off to the NE or E during Fri. Highs will be in low-mid 60s NE to near 70F SW Thu, and in the upper 60s to lower 70s Fri. There will be at least a low chc for rain by Sat as the next system lifts ENE through the Great Lakes/upper midwest (with quite a bit of model spread at this time). PoPs are only 20-30% for now w/ highs Sat mainly in the 70s.

AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 230 AM EDT Sunday...

Mainly VFR CIGs (isolated MVFR CIGs ) will prevail at the TAF sites through at least 12-13z this morning, with winds becoming N or NE and increasing at bit. Rain chances increase quickly between 12z-15z this morning across southern VA and NE NC, becoming widespread by late this morning through this aftn at ECG/ORF, and likely PHF as well. There is a chance (30-50%)
for rain at RIC, and a slightly lower chance (20-30%) for rain at SBY. Expect flight restrictions to MVFR initially with a period of IFR CIGs likely at ECG/ORF/PHF from late this morning into this evening. RIC/SBY will mostly be VFR (maybe briefly MVFR) even if there is some light rain. Conditions will improve to VFR from NW to SE this evening into late tonight, as the rain and low pressure area push well ESE of the region.

Outlook: VFR conditions will prevail Mon-Tue, and probably for most of Wed as well.

MARINE
As of 350 AM EDT Sunday...

Early morning analysis shows sfc cold front now stalled offshore of the coastal Carolinas, extending SW across the gulf coast. WV satellite imagery showing developing sfc low pressure developing offshore of Cape Fear, with this system expected to slowly lift NE along the NC coast today into this evening. Meanwhile, 1018+mb sfc high pressure continues to build to our W/NW early this morning. Aloft, flow is largely zonal early this morning, though a shortwave currently over the northern plains will carve out an east coast trough over the eastern third of the country later today through Monday night.

Tightening pressure gradient between developing low pressure to the south and high pressure to the west is resulting in a decent surge of cool air advection early this morning. Latest Obs showing NNW winds ~15-20 kt with gusts 25 kt over the upper and middle bay and northern coastal waters, with lighter winds S of York River light at 07z. Expect this trend will continue across the remainder of the waters over the next few hours, with winds becoming NNE and increasing to 15-20 kt winds over the lower bay/lower James through around 12-14z (8-10 AM) before winds start to slowly diminish late this morning and this afternoon. Winds have also become NNE over coastal waters, which should allow seas to build to 4-5 ft near and south of the VA/NC border, closer to the developing low skirting the region to the SE. SCA flags remain in place for the bay and lower James through this morning, and for the sound and ANZ658 south of the NC border into this afternoon and this evening, respectively.
Will need to monitor trends of High-res CAMs over the next couple of hours, as latest trends continue to point toward potentially needing to maintain SCA into this afternoon over the mouth of the bay and sound.

Previously referenced low pressure moves off the Carolinas slides offshore of the NC coast this evening, with the front lingering offshore into midweek. This supports a persistent NE flow and building seas. Would not be surprised to eventually need another SCA over southern coastal waters south of the VA/NC border Monday afternoon and night, but with an SCA already in place, will keep seas ~ 4 ft for now. Conditions improve later Tue through midweek, as the low and frontal zone edge farther offshore and high pressure builds over the region ahead of another weaker frontal passage by mid-late week.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EDT this morning for ANZ630- 631.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for ANZ632>634-638.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for ANZ658.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 17 mi69 min NNE 13G20 56°F 64°F30.00
44042 - Potomac, MD 28 mi57 min NE 19G25 54°F 58°F
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 31 mi69 min NNE 7G9.9 56°F 64°F29.96
44089 32 mi73 min 54°F3 ft
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 35 mi69 min NE 8.9G15 58°F 63°F30.00
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 37 mi69 min NNE 24G26 30.00
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 39 mi69 min N 8G12 54°F 62°F30.03
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 39 mi69 min N 15G20 55°F 30.02
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 39 mi69 min NE 9.9G14
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 39 mi69 min NNE 8G11 56°F 60°F30.00
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 41 mi57 min NNE 23G29 58°F 60°F2 ft
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 42 mi69 min ENE 9.9G18 53°F 56°F29.96
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 48 mi51 min N 23G33 52°F 59°F2 ft


Wind History for Bishops Head, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KTGI TANGIER ISLAND,VA 19 sm34 minNNE 12G2010 smOvercast57°F39°F51%29.99
KWAL WALLOPS FLIGHT FACILITY,VA 19 sm15 minNE 16G2410 smOvercast54°F45°F71%30.00
Link to 5 minute data for KWAL


Wind History from WAL
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Long Point, Big Annemessex River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
   
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Long Point
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Sun -- 12:26 AM EDT     2.20 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:15 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:04 AM EDT     0.23 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:47 PM EDT     2.06 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:46 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:11 PM EDT     0.25 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:45 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Long Point, Big Annemessex River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland, Tide feet
12
am
2.2
1
am
2.2
2
am
1.9
3
am
1.6
4
am
1.1
5
am
0.7
6
am
0.4
7
am
0.2
8
am
0.3
9
am
0.7
10
am
1.2
11
am
1.7
12
pm
2
1
pm
2.1
2
pm
1.9
3
pm
1.6
4
pm
1.2
5
pm
0.7
6
pm
0.4
7
pm
0.3
8
pm
0.3
9
pm
0.7
10
pm
1.2
11
pm
1.7



Tide / Current for Salisbury, Maryland (2 miles below) Current
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Salisbury
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Sun -- 02:50 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:14 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:05 AM EDT     -0.66 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 06:17 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:28 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:56 AM EDT     0.44 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 02:35 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:45 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:04 PM EDT     -0.78 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 07:45 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:29 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Salisbury, Maryland (2 miles below) Current, knots
12
am
0.6
1
am
0.5
2
am
0.3
3
am
-0.1
4
am
-0.4
5
am
-0.6
6
am
-0.7
7
am
-0.6
8
am
-0.4
9
am
-0.1
10
am
0.2
11
am
0.4
12
pm
0.4
1
pm
0.4
2
pm
0.2
3
pm
-0.1
4
pm
-0.5
5
pm
-0.7
6
pm
-0.8
7
pm
-0.7
8
pm
-0.5
9
pm
-0.2
10
pm
0.2
11
pm
0.5




Weather Map
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