Beards Fork, WV Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Beards Fork, WV

June 19, 2024 11:51 AM EDT (15:51 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:01 AM   Sunset 8:51 PM
Moonrise 5:58 PM   Moonset 2:45 AM 
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Beards Fork, WV
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Area Discussion for - Charleston WV
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FXUS61 KRLX 191454 AFDRLX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Charleston WV 1054 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

SYNOPSIS
A heat wave continues throughout the week courtesy of a broad upper level ridge.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 1055 AM Wednesday...

The forecast remains on track. Temperatures are forecast to come closest to record highs across our northern official climate sites PKB, CKB and EKN, the latter for which the forecast calls for a tie of the record high there of 89 set in 1905. Refer to the CLIMATE section below.

As of 620 AM Wednesday...

A few areas of fog that formed will erode early this morning.
No changes to the current forecast are needed at this time.

As of 325 AM Wednesday...

Key Point: * Hot, but drier and less humid.

Upper ridging maintains control while drier air works into the low levels during the day. This should allow for dry conditions across most of the CWA; however, a few showers or storms could infringe upon the northwest portion of the forecast area as shortwave energy glides past this afternoon.

While daytime temperatures will still be hot, humidity should not be as high as it was the past couple of days. Consequently, the heat index will be less intense this afternoon, likely topping out in the low to mid 90s for the lowlands. Despite sub-criteria heat index values, the Heat Advisory remains in effect for today due to the potential for moderate heat related impacts eventuated by a prolonged period of hot weather.

Tonight will be warm and dry, with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s in the lowlands and upper 50s to low 60s along the mountains.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
As of 305 AM Wednesday...

The upper-level ridge and surface high pressure will remain over the area through the end of the week, keeping the CWA hot and dry for the most part. Highs on Thursday will be in the mid-90s for most lower elevation locations, though dry air mixing down will likely help keep heat index values under 100F.
Much of the area will be a few degrees hotter for Friday and Saturday, and heat index values may get above 100F in many locations, while a few spots could see air temps hit 100F.
Regardless, it will be quite hot, and with the expectation that overnight lows will not dip below 70F for much of the lower elevations each night, the heat stress to public health and power infrastructure will continue to compound across the area.
Thus the Advisory will remain in place, and at some we will need to contemplate an extension to Saturday.

A few isolated showers or thunderstorms will be possible Friday and Saturday in the afternoon and evening hours, primarily over the higher terrain and in north-central WV. Whatever develops will be garden variety airmass convection, as very light winds aloft will provide no shear for storm organization or longevity.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 315 AM Wednesday...

It will still be on the hot side on Sunday, though likely a few degrees cooler than Saturday across the CWA Cloud cover and moisture are forecast to increase some as SW'ly winds develop ahead of a cold front moving through the Midwest. Models seem to be coming into better agreement that the front will pass Sunday night or Monday morning. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected ahead of the front Sunday afternoon and evening, with a band of showers and/or storms then expected with the front itself. To far out currently to say much on severe potential, but we'll need to monitor as there is likely to be some increase in shear, as well as at least some elevated instability overnight.

Monday sees temps drop a bit, with mid-80s to around 90 degrees expected for the lower elevations, and 70s to low 80s in the mountains. The reprieve is likely to be short-lived, as the upper-level ridge starts to build back into the area on Tuesday, with temperatures following suit a few degrees warmer than Monday. Once the front clears the area by Monday morning, precip chances should be cut-off in its wake, and the forecast for dry weather persists into Tuesday.

AVIATION /15Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 620 AM Wednesday...

Patchy fog will dissipate in the next couple of hours, then VFR is expected for the rest of the day. Most of the area should remain dry while mid to high level clouds stream overhead.

For tonight, cloud cover lessens and winds become calm to light. VFR will persist for the majority of the area, though a few models suggest some patchy fog could attempt to form near EKN.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Fog could try to form tonight.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 EDT 1HRLY 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H

AFTER 12Z THURSDAY...
No widespread IFR conditions are expected at this time.

CLIMATE
As of 325 AM Wednesday...

A heat wave continues through the weekend. Temperatures are forecast to approach record highs at some locations on several days.

The records for Wednesday, June 19 to Sunday, June 23 are listed below for our official climate sites, along with the current forecast values.

Forecast / Record High Temperatures -------------------------------------------------------- Wednesday, 6/19 | Thursday, 6/20 | Friday, 6/21 | -------------------------------------------------------- CRW | 92 / 98 (1919) | 93 / 99 (1931) | 96 /105 (1931) | HTS | 92 / 98 (1994) | 95 /100 (1931) | 96 / 99 (1953) | CKB | 92 / 94 (1994) | 93 / 94 (1931) | 94 / 98 (1953) | PKB | 93 / 95 (1994) | 95 / 97 (1931) | 96 / 97 (1953) | BKW | 85 / 90 (1944) | 88 / 92 (1931) | 90 / 93 (1953) | EKN | 89 / 89 (1905) | 91 / 92 (1931) | 91 / 92 (1953) | -------------------------------------------------------- Saturday, 6/22 | Sunday, 6/23 | --------------------------------------- CRW | 97 / 98 (1988) | 94 /100 (1929) | HTS | 98 / 98 (1988) | 94 /100 (1930) | CKB | 95 / 97 (1923) | 91 / 96 (1957) | PKB | 98 / 98 (1988) | 93 / 94 (1964) | BKW | 91 / 92 (1931) | 89 / 91 (1931) | EKN | 93 / 93 (1923) | 89 / 89 (1899) | ---------------------------------------

Additionally, the all-time June high temperature records may be neared in some locations. Listed below are the maximum temperatures currently forecast during the heat wave versus the all-time June high temperature records.

Max Forecast All-time June Record ----------------------------------------- CRW | 97 | 105 (1931) | HTS | 98 | 105 (1930) | CKB | 95 | 100 (1925) | PKB | 98 | 100 (1988) | BKW | 91 | 100 (1936) | EKN | 93 | 96 (2012) | -----------------------------------------

RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for WVZ005>011-013>020- 024>032-039-040.
OH...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for OHZ066-067-075-076- 083>087.
KY...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for KYZ101>103-105.
VA...None.




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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KBKW RALEIGH COUNTY MEMORIAL,WV 21 sm60 minSSE 0710 smClear75°F61°F61%30.40
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