Monday, August19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Beards Fork, WV

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:42AMSunset 8:14PM Monday August 19, 2019 4:14 PM EDT (20:14 UTC) Moonrise 9:38PMMoonset 9:20AM Illumination 82% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Beards Fork, WV
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location: 38.09, -81.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Charleston WV
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Fxus61 krlx 191819
afdrlx
area forecast discussion
national weather service charleston wv
209 pm edt Mon aug 19 2019

Synopsis
High pressure in control through mid week. Upper level disturbances
could bring afternoon storms through Thursday. Hot through the
first half of the week. Cold front crosses late in the week.

Near term through tonight
As of 200 pm Monday...

weak but broad surface high pressure system will continue to
provide dry and warm weather through Tuesday. Water vapor
satellite imagery show very dry atmosphere at all levels
reaching our local region. With a very relaxed pressure
gradient at the boundary layer adn mostly clear skies expected,
radiational cooling will likely take place tonight, to drop
temperatures into the upper 60s lowlands. However, fog formation
is not anticipated due to dry low levels.

Temperatures on Tuesday will be a bit hotter, with plenty of
sunshine expected and light wind. Highs could reach the low to
mid 90s lowlands, ranging into the low 60s.

Short term Wednesday through Friday
As of 210 pm Monday...

unsettled weather to continue in the short term period, with an
upper shortwave moving into the area late Tuesday night into
Wednesday, with showers and thunderstorms, some of which could be
strong earlier in the evening. Bulk of convection will taper off
throughout the day on Wednesday as this wave moves east, but could
still see an isolated shower storm chance later in the afternoon
hours.

A cold front will then move into the area Thursday and Thursday
night, with additional rounds of showers and storms, and drier air
gradually filtering into the area from the north. Still some
uncertainty in the timing of this front, and how quickly it will
clear the cwa, and therefore coverage of convection. For now,
maintained a blend of the models, which keeps a chance area wide
through Friday.

Long term Friday night through Monday
As of 215 pm Monday...

overall, much drier and less humid Saturday behind the front.

Humidity will increase gradually Sunday and Monday, along with the
return of diurnally driven thunderstorms.

Aviation 18z Monday through Saturday
As of 640 am Monday...

clouds will cover most of the area from a decaying system to the
west. This will aide to suppress most fog development this
morning as well the accompanying dry air in the low levels.

Most sites will see a few patches of fog which will dissipate
slightly after sunrise. Mainly aVFR day across the region for
Monday and the rest of this forecast period. There are chances
for showers and possibly an isolated storm around pkb hts in the
early afternoon and at virtually any site later in the day,
however confidence is low on timing.

Light southerly flow changes over to westerly in the late
afternoon with gusts in the low teens. With high instability
and an upper level trough providing lift in the late afternoon
we cannot rule out the possibility of an isolated storm near or
at any terminal during daytime heating as mentioned above. With
light flow and low shear any development should be sub-severe,
however storms have potential to train or backbuild with weak
flow. This could promote lengthly inclement weather such as low
cigs vis as well as gusty winds. Expect any convection to
dissipate around sunset and a better chance for fog development
for Tuesday morning.

Forecast confidence and alternate scenarios through 18z Tuesday...

forecast confidence: medium.

Alternate scenarios: diurnal thunderstorms in the afternoon
could be more prominent and affect terminals, however
confidence and chances are low so the timing and mention of
them directly affecting sites where left out of tafs.

Experimental table of flight category objectively shows consistency
of WFO forecast to available model information:
h = high: TAF consistent with all models or all but one model.

M = medium: TAF has varying level of consistency with models.

L = low: TAF inconsistent with all models or all but one model.

Utc 1hrly 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05
edt 1hrly 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01
crw consistency h h h h h h h h h h m h
hts consistency h h h h h h h h h h h m
bkw consistency h h h h h h h h h h h m
ekn consistency h h h h h h h h h h m h
pkb consistency h h h h h h h h h h h h
ckb consistency h h h h h h h h h h m h
after 18z Tuesday...

ifr possible with showers and storms mid week, stratus and
valley fog redeveloping by Friday morning.

Rlx watches warnings advisories
Wv... None.

Oh... None.

Ky... None.

Va... None.

Synopsis... Jp jz
near term... Arj
short term... Sl
long term... Sl
aviation... Arj


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beckley, Raleigh County Memorial Airport, WV21 mi24 minN 410.00 miA Few Clouds85°F64°F51%1016.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBKW

Wind History from BKW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr----------------------SW5----CalmS5CalmCalmCalmN3Calm4NW55
1 day agoCalmNW3N6N5CalmCalmE3E3CalmS4SE5--------------------------
2 days agoNW5N7N5N5N3NE3CalmCalm--Calm--CalmCalm--E3CalmCalm--Calm3Calm5NW8N9

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Charleston WV (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Charleston, WV
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.