Wednesday, July8, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Nanticoke, MD

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:45AMSunset 8:30PM Wednesday July 8, 2020 4:03 AM EDT (08:03 UTC) Moonrise 10:13PMMoonset 8:05AM Illumination 92% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ543 Tangier Sound And The Inland Waters Surrounding Bloodsworth Island- 135 Am Edt Wed Jul 8 2020
Overnight..S winds 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Wed night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu..E winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu night..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Fri..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.
Fri night..N winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming W after midnight. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 135 Am Edt Wed Jul 8 2020
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. Low pressure over the southeast u.s. Will lift northward toward the carolinas through Thursday, moving near or just east of the delmarva peninsula on Friday. A cold front is poised to encroach on the waters late Saturday into Sunday, lingering nearby into early next week. A small craft advisory may be needed for portions of the waters Thursday and Friday. The potential for gale force wind gusts will also be possible for portions of the waters Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Nanticoke, MD
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location: 38.26, -75.88     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 080722 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 322 AM EDT Wed Jul 8 2020

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure slowly drifts northeast along the Carolina coastline through Thursday before lifting northeast along the Mid Atlantic coast Friday and Saturday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 320 AM EDT Wednesday .

Latest MSAS shows high pressure over the local area, sandwiched between a frontal boundary across the nern states with an area of low pressure along the GA/SC border nw of SAV.

Latest suite of model data shows even a slower northward progression of the tropical moisure today as the low slowly drifts ene to near MYR by 00Z Thurs. Some shwr activity progged to drift as far north as the NC/VA border this morning, expanding farther north during the aftrn. Models show a rather sharp moisture cut-off north of Va St Rt 460 this aftrn. Upshot will be for chc PoPs along and south of 460 with likely PoPs across inland portions of srn VA/nern NC. 20 PoP will be maintained north of I64. No svr or flooding threat today. Pt sunny to start then mstly cldy across the south. Highs 85-90.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. As of 320 AM EDT Wednesday .

Models show the low slowly drifts ne to a position just sw of MHX by 12Z Thurs. High res data shows most convective activity dissipates with loss of heating this eve, except across the se where enough moisture noted for shwrs to cont thru the nite. Thus, pt cldy north to mstly cloudy south with PoPs ending except for the se where chc PoPs continue thru the nite. Again, hvy rain threat is minimal and will limited to late tonite ivof the Albemarle Sound. Lows 70-75.

Attn then turn to the low as it tracks ne along the NC coast Thurs and Thurs nite to a position near SE VA by 12Z/Fri, then tracking off the Delmarva Fri aftn. Main concern attm is whether the track stays inland or just offshore. TPC is monitoring this systm for possible tropical or sub-tropical dvlpmnt during this time frame.

For now, data suggests strongest winds stay offshore with this being more of a hvy rainfall event east of I95 as the deepest tropical moisture feed hugs the coast (PW's btwn 1.75 - 2 in). Thus, grids will reflect this scenario with enough wrap arnd moisture for PoPs to cover the entire area.

PoPs Thurs and Fri remain high chance to likely through the period (highest near the coast). Overall the most widespread coverage at this time looks to be Thu/Thurs nite, shifting to the ne by Fri. A marginal ERO risk conts for the local area Thursday mainly for localized flash flooding east of I95. Highs Thurs/Fri in the mid-upr 80s. Lows Thurs nite 70-75. Kept high chance to likely PoPs Fri (highest E). PoPs diminish Fri nite as the systm pulls to the ne. Lows 70-75.

QPF wise, will carry a general 1-2 inch event (with lcl heavier amts) east of I95, less than an inch to the west.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 345 PM EDT Monday .

On Saturday the low will be lifting up the NE coast, however a series of shortwaves passing through will keep showers/storms in the forecast through at least Monday. Beyond Monday there are model differences with the ECMWF bringing upper level ridging into the area, while the GFS continues with a trough over the eastern US. For now will keep chance pops in for Tuesday. Temperatures over the weekend and into the beginning of next week remain seasonably warm, with high temps ranging from the upper 80s to lower 90s, and low temps ranging from the upper 60s to lower 70s.

AVIATION /07Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 115 AM EDT Wednesday .

VFR conditions to start off the forecast period along with a light SE wind. Added a TEMPO group for some ptchy MVFR fog at both SBY/PHF thru 12Z. Models showing some MVFR SC moving ne along the NC coast by 12Z so went with a BKN 2-3K FT deck at ECG.

Models show moisture increasing from the south this aftrn, but confidence is only high enuf to include a VCSH at ECG for now. Otw, a SCT-BKN CU deck arnd 5K FT dvlps after 18Z.

OUTLOOK . Shower/T-storm chcs increase Thurs/Fri as low pressure moves ne along the Mid Atlntc coast. Sct convection continues into the weekend.

MARINE. As of 300 PM EDT Tuesday .

Southerly flow has increase late this afternoon to 10 to 15 kt with a broad area of high pressure off the Carolina and low pressure north of the Great Lakes. Southerly winds could increase a little more later this evening (especially across the Chesapeake Bay) to around 15 kt with a few gusts near 20 kt for a brief time. Winds will decrease late tonight and towards daybreak Wednesday. Wind remains SE around 10 kt through Wednesday and Wednesday night. Waves in the Bay will average 2 ft late this evening decreasing to 1 foot Wednesday.

A low pressure slowly moving across the deep south will emerge along the Carolina coast and slowly deepen as it tracks up the Atlantic coast. The exact track of the center of low pressure is still uncertain. However, GFS and Ecmwf are is decent agreement slowly tracking the low from eastern NC to just off the VA coast from late Thursday into Friday. Winds will will likely increase Thursday morning and through the day as the low pressure moves north across eastern NC and the pressure gradient tightens across the VA and NC coast. E to ENE winds will increase throughout the day on Thursday to 15-20 kt as the low pressure tracks along the VA/NC coast. Waves and seas will increase Thursday as the low pressure tracks over the area. Waves in the bay (and lower James Rivers) are expected to be 2-3 ft and seas will increase to 4-5 ft.

As the low tracks northeast away our coastline on Friday, winds will turn NE to N then NW and decrease. Southerly flow returns by Saturday afternoon as the low continues to pull away to the northeast and a general piedmont trough sets up for Saturday and Sunday.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MPR NEAR TERM . MPR SHORT TERM . LKB/MPR LONG TERM . CMF AVIATION . MPR MARINE . CP


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 9 mi45 min S 11 G 12 80°F 82°F1015.5 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 24 mi45 min ESE 4.1 G 5.1 76°F 83°F1015.7 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 31 mi45 min S 2.9 G 5.1 78°F 81°F1015.4 hPa
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 35 mi27 min S 9.7 G 9.7 78°F 79°F
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 36 mi45 min SSW 5.1 G 7 77°F 81°F1015.6 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 36 mi45 min SSW 8 G 11
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 42 mi45 min S 5.1 G 7 74°F 71°F1017.1 hPa
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 46 mi45 min SSE 5.1 G 8 77°F 83°F1015.9 hPa

Wind History for Bishops Head, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Salisbury, Salisbury-Ocean City Wicomico County Regional Airport, MD21 mi69 minN 07.00 miA Few Clouds72°F69°F91%1016.3 hPa
Cambridge-Dorchester Airport, MD21 mi68 minSE 48.00 miFair75°F75°F100%1015.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCGE

Wind History from CGE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmNE4E5CalmCalmCalm4CalmSW5SW6S7
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1 day agoS4CalmCalmE45S554SW7S8S8
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmSW4445S6SW7SW8SW8S7S743CalmS4S44CalmS3CalmS3

Tide / Current Tables for Roaring Point, Nanticoke River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
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Roaring Point
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:58 AM EDT     2.58 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:05 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 11:52 AM EDT     -0.00 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:24 PM EDT     2.23 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:13 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:54 PM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.61.31.92.42.62.42.11.610.40.1-00.20.71.41.92.22.21.91.510.50.2

Tide / Current Tables for Salisbury, Maryland (2 miles below) Current
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Salisbury
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:14 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 03:14 AM EDT     0.82 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 05:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:39 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 09:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 09:51 AM EDT     -0.86 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 01:26 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 03:45 PM EDT     0.45 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:27 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:44 PM EDT     -0.79 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 11:12 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.10.30.70.80.80.60.3-0.1-0.5-0.8-0.9-0.8-0.5-0.20.20.40.40.30.1-0.2-0.5-0.7-0.8-0.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.