Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Jesterville, MD
November 5, 2024 1:58 PM EST (18:58 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:32 AM Sunset 4:59 PM Moonrise 10:46 AM Moonset 7:41 PM |
ANZ543 Tangier Sound And The Inland Waters Surrounding Bloodsworth Island- 1235 Pm Est Tue Nov 5 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through Wednesday afternoon - .
This afternoon - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tonight - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Wed - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Wed night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu night - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Fri - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sat - NE winds 5 to 10 kt - .becoming se after midnight. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers after midnight.
ANZ500 1235 Pm Est Tue Nov 5 2024
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
high pressure will remain offshore today as a warm front lifts northward from the carolinas. A cold front will approach from the northwest Wednesday, then cross the mid-atlantic through Thursday. High pressure will build from the west Friday.
high pressure will remain offshore today as a warm front lifts northward from the carolinas. A cold front will approach from the northwest Wednesday, then cross the mid-atlantic through Thursday. High pressure will build from the west Friday.
NEW! Add second zone forecast
Roaring Point Click for Map Tue -- 03:49 AM EST 2.17 feet High Tide Tue -- 06:34 AM EST Sunrise Tue -- 10:11 AM EST 0.42 feet Low Tide Tue -- 10:45 AM EST Moonrise Tue -- 04:08 PM EST 2.73 feet High Tide Tue -- 04:59 PM EST Sunset Tue -- 07:40 PM EST Moonset Tue -- 11:16 PM EST 0.53 feet Low Tide Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Roaring Point, Nanticoke River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland, Tide feet
12 am |
0.8 |
1 am |
1.2 |
2 am |
1.7 |
3 am |
2.1 |
4 am |
2.2 |
5 am |
2 |
6 am |
1.7 |
7 am |
1.3 |
8 am |
0.9 |
9 am |
0.6 |
10 am |
0.4 |
11 am |
0.5 |
12 pm |
0.9 |
1 pm |
1.5 |
2 pm |
2.1 |
3 pm |
2.5 |
4 pm |
2.7 |
5 pm |
2.6 |
6 pm |
2.4 |
7 pm |
1.9 |
8 pm |
1.5 |
9 pm |
1 |
10 pm |
0.7 |
11 pm |
0.5 |
Salisbury Click for Map Tue -- 12:00 AM EST 0.00 knots Slack Tue -- 02:20 AM EST 0.31 knots Max Flood Tue -- 04:56 AM EST -0.00 knots Slack Tue -- 06:33 AM EST Sunrise Tue -- 08:20 AM EST -0.76 knots Max Ebb Tue -- 10:44 AM EST Moonrise Tue -- 11:33 AM EST 0.00 knots Slack Tue -- 02:30 PM EST 0.56 knots Max Flood Tue -- 04:58 PM EST Sunset Tue -- 06:03 PM EST -0.00 knots Slack Tue -- 07:39 PM EST Moonset Tue -- 09:06 PM EST -0.67 knots Max Ebb Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Salisbury, Maryland (2 miles below) Current, knots
12 am |
-0 |
1 am |
0.2 |
2 am |
0.3 |
3 am |
0.3 |
4 am |
0.2 |
5 am |
-0 |
6 am |
-0.3 |
7 am |
-0.6 |
8 am |
-0.7 |
9 am |
-0.7 |
10 am |
-0.5 |
11 am |
-0.2 |
12 pm |
0.1 |
1 pm |
0.4 |
2 pm |
0.5 |
3 pm |
0.5 |
4 pm |
0.4 |
5 pm |
0.3 |
6 pm |
0 |
7 pm |
-0.3 |
8 pm |
-0.6 |
9 pm |
-0.7 |
10 pm |
-0.6 |
11 pm |
-0.4 |
Area Discussion for Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 051137 AFDAKQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 637 AM EST Tue Nov 5 2024
SYNOPSIS
Gradually warming temperatures are expected through midweek as a ridge builds across the East Coast. Isolated showers are possible Wednesday night through Thursday night, but rain amounts will be very low. A better chance for showers arrives this weekend.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 630 AM EST Tuesday...
Key Messages:
- Widespread fog persists through much of the morning with locally dense fog likely.
- A Dense Fog Advisory has been issued for much of the area until 9 AM.
- Warm today with highs in the 70s.
630 AM Update: Went ahead and added the eastern shore to the DFA based on cameras/obs.
Previous Discussion as of 310 AM...
Early this morning, sfc high pressure continues to move offshore of the New England coast while a ridge aloft remains in place off the SE CONUS coast. Temps are mainly in the upper 40s-50s. With seasonably high moisture/calm winds, areas of dense fog have developed across central and eastern VA as well as NE NC, and this fog will continue to expand in coverage through 7-8 AM. Given cameras and several obs showing 1/4SM VSBYs, have issued a Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM for all of VA along and east of I-95 (except for the eastern shore) in addition to NE NC. May need to expand the advisory a little bit more in the next couple of hours based on trends. The fog will impact the morning commute and will only start lifting after 830-9 AM. Once the fog erodes, skies become partly cloudy with ~10 mph south winds. Highs are expected to rise into the lower-mid 70s along/west of I-95, with upper 70s across most of SE VA/NE NC. Milder tonight with a light SSW wind as the high pushes well offshore of the Mid-Atlantic coast. Not expecting much in the way of fog given the ~5 mph wind through the night. Forecast lows are in the upper 50s in most areas.
SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
As of 310 AM EST Tuesday...
Key Messages:
-Warm weather is expected on Wednesday and Thursday ahead of an approaching cold front.
-Isolated showers are possible Wednesday night through part of Thursday night, but rain amounts will be less than 0.10" on average.
Continued dry wx and even warmer temperatures are expected on Wed as high pressure at the sfc and aloft remains offshore. There will be a ~10 mph SW wind with partly-mostly cloudy skies. Highs will rise to around 80F in most areas. Mild Wed night with lows mainly in the lower 60s. As the offshore ridge moves east, a weak shortwave will rotate around the west side of the ridge and track across the FA Wed night-Thu as deep-layered moisture from the ern Gulf of Mexico tries to make its way toward the area ahead of an approaching cold front.
This could allow for isolated showers across much of the area during this time...and have maintained 20-30% PoPs from Wed night-Thu.
Precip chances end from NW-SE early Friday AM as that weak cold front crosses the area. QPFs are less than 0.1"...so not expecting to put much of a dent in the drought conditions that are in place across parts of the area. Above average temps continue Thu with forecast highs in the mid-upper 70s. Lows Thu night mainly in the 50s.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 310 AM EST Tuesday...
Key Messages:
- Mild and dry weather is expected Friday-Friday night.
- There is a better chance for showers from late Saturday into Monday.
High pressure sliding from the Great Lakes eastward into New England, should maintain dry weather from Fri into at least the first part of Sat. Then, lows pressure tracking well to our NW during the second part of the weekend will drag a cold front toward the area.
Meanwhile, subtropical moisture spreading NNE ahead of the front will bring a better chance of showers to the entire region from Sat night into Mon. This appears to be the best chc of precip that we've had in a long time, and will continue with area-wide chc PoPs. At this time, the ensembles are showing a decent potential for at least some measurable rain, with the 00z GEFS having high probs of >0.10" from Sat night-Sun night. The EPS is less aggressive with QPF and only has 20-40% probs of >0.10" of rain during this time. Dry wx returns by next Tuesday behind the front. Temps remain above average through the period with highs in the mid 60s-mid 70s and lows mainly in the upper 40s-50s.
AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 625 AM EST Tuesday...
LIFR fog with VSBYs between 1/4-2SM (and 100-500 foot CIGs )
prevails at the terminals at this hour. The fog will persist through 13-16z before giving way to VFR conditions for the rest of the day under partly cloudy skies. Conditions will improve to VFR at ORF/ECG first and at RIC/SBY last. Winds remain light/calm this morning before becoming S and increasing to ~10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt possible. VFR tonight with much lower fog potential since there will be a light SSW wind through the night.
Outlook: Mainly VFR on Wednesday/Thursday. Low-end shower chances return on Thursday ahead of an approaching cold front.
MARINE
As of 310 AM EST Tuesday...
Key Messages:
- Dense fog possible on the rivers and Chesapeake Bay through this morning.
- Primarily sub-SCA conditions expected through the week.
Very light SE flow of less than 5 kt is present over the marine area this morning with high pressure centered well offshore of New England. A ~7 sec period SE swell is keeping seas on the coastal waters between 3 and 4 ft, with locally 4-5 ft S of the NC/VA border. Waves in the Chesapeake Bay are less than 1 ft, except around 2 ft at the mouth. As of 3 AM, dense fog has developed over land areas and has spread into the adjacent tidal rivers. A marine dense fog advisory has been issued through 9 AM/14z for these areas.
Fog may also expand into the Chesapeake Bay over the next few hours and will continue to monitor.
Overall, sub-SCA conditions are expected through most of this week.
Southerly winds are likely to briefly become gusty (up to 20 kt) in the Chesapeake Bay and coastal waters this evening and tonight. The high pressure system shifts south Wednesday, with 10-15 kt of SW flow expected through Thursday morning. A weak cold front drops S through the area midday Thursday, shifting winds to the N/NNE. Winds are likely to briefly increase to 10-15 kt Thursday night as cooler air filters in, but SCAs look unlikely. Another reinforcing front brings a better chance for small craft conditions Friday night into Saturday.
3-4 ft seas are expected through Wednesday night. A brief period of near 5 ft seas are possible across far SE portions of our srn marine zone today (ANZ658). Spatial extent and confidence is too low for any SCA there at this time. With the gusty S winds in the bay tonight, waves here increase to around 2 ft, with 3 ft possible in the northern bay. Seas then average ~3 ft Thursday into the weekend, with waves in the bay 1-2 ft.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for MDZ021>025.
NC...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for NCZ012>017- 030>032.
VA...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for VAZ064- 075>090-092-093-095>100-511>525.
MARINE...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for ANZ633- 635>638.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 637 AM EST Tue Nov 5 2024
SYNOPSIS
Gradually warming temperatures are expected through midweek as a ridge builds across the East Coast. Isolated showers are possible Wednesday night through Thursday night, but rain amounts will be very low. A better chance for showers arrives this weekend.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 630 AM EST Tuesday...
Key Messages:
- Widespread fog persists through much of the morning with locally dense fog likely.
- A Dense Fog Advisory has been issued for much of the area until 9 AM.
- Warm today with highs in the 70s.
630 AM Update: Went ahead and added the eastern shore to the DFA based on cameras/obs.
Previous Discussion as of 310 AM...
Early this morning, sfc high pressure continues to move offshore of the New England coast while a ridge aloft remains in place off the SE CONUS coast. Temps are mainly in the upper 40s-50s. With seasonably high moisture/calm winds, areas of dense fog have developed across central and eastern VA as well as NE NC, and this fog will continue to expand in coverage through 7-8 AM. Given cameras and several obs showing 1/4SM VSBYs, have issued a Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM for all of VA along and east of I-95 (except for the eastern shore) in addition to NE NC. May need to expand the advisory a little bit more in the next couple of hours based on trends. The fog will impact the morning commute and will only start lifting after 830-9 AM. Once the fog erodes, skies become partly cloudy with ~10 mph south winds. Highs are expected to rise into the lower-mid 70s along/west of I-95, with upper 70s across most of SE VA/NE NC. Milder tonight with a light SSW wind as the high pushes well offshore of the Mid-Atlantic coast. Not expecting much in the way of fog given the ~5 mph wind through the night. Forecast lows are in the upper 50s in most areas.
SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
As of 310 AM EST Tuesday...
Key Messages:
-Warm weather is expected on Wednesday and Thursday ahead of an approaching cold front.
-Isolated showers are possible Wednesday night through part of Thursday night, but rain amounts will be less than 0.10" on average.
Continued dry wx and even warmer temperatures are expected on Wed as high pressure at the sfc and aloft remains offshore. There will be a ~10 mph SW wind with partly-mostly cloudy skies. Highs will rise to around 80F in most areas. Mild Wed night with lows mainly in the lower 60s. As the offshore ridge moves east, a weak shortwave will rotate around the west side of the ridge and track across the FA Wed night-Thu as deep-layered moisture from the ern Gulf of Mexico tries to make its way toward the area ahead of an approaching cold front.
This could allow for isolated showers across much of the area during this time...and have maintained 20-30% PoPs from Wed night-Thu.
Precip chances end from NW-SE early Friday AM as that weak cold front crosses the area. QPFs are less than 0.1"...so not expecting to put much of a dent in the drought conditions that are in place across parts of the area. Above average temps continue Thu with forecast highs in the mid-upper 70s. Lows Thu night mainly in the 50s.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 310 AM EST Tuesday...
Key Messages:
- Mild and dry weather is expected Friday-Friday night.
- There is a better chance for showers from late Saturday into Monday.
High pressure sliding from the Great Lakes eastward into New England, should maintain dry weather from Fri into at least the first part of Sat. Then, lows pressure tracking well to our NW during the second part of the weekend will drag a cold front toward the area.
Meanwhile, subtropical moisture spreading NNE ahead of the front will bring a better chance of showers to the entire region from Sat night into Mon. This appears to be the best chc of precip that we've had in a long time, and will continue with area-wide chc PoPs. At this time, the ensembles are showing a decent potential for at least some measurable rain, with the 00z GEFS having high probs of >0.10" from Sat night-Sun night. The EPS is less aggressive with QPF and only has 20-40% probs of >0.10" of rain during this time. Dry wx returns by next Tuesday behind the front. Temps remain above average through the period with highs in the mid 60s-mid 70s and lows mainly in the upper 40s-50s.
AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 625 AM EST Tuesday...
LIFR fog with VSBYs between 1/4-2SM (and 100-500 foot CIGs )
prevails at the terminals at this hour. The fog will persist through 13-16z before giving way to VFR conditions for the rest of the day under partly cloudy skies. Conditions will improve to VFR at ORF/ECG first and at RIC/SBY last. Winds remain light/calm this morning before becoming S and increasing to ~10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt possible. VFR tonight with much lower fog potential since there will be a light SSW wind through the night.
Outlook: Mainly VFR on Wednesday/Thursday. Low-end shower chances return on Thursday ahead of an approaching cold front.
MARINE
As of 310 AM EST Tuesday...
Key Messages:
- Dense fog possible on the rivers and Chesapeake Bay through this morning.
- Primarily sub-SCA conditions expected through the week.
Very light SE flow of less than 5 kt is present over the marine area this morning with high pressure centered well offshore of New England. A ~7 sec period SE swell is keeping seas on the coastal waters between 3 and 4 ft, with locally 4-5 ft S of the NC/VA border. Waves in the Chesapeake Bay are less than 1 ft, except around 2 ft at the mouth. As of 3 AM, dense fog has developed over land areas and has spread into the adjacent tidal rivers. A marine dense fog advisory has been issued through 9 AM/14z for these areas.
Fog may also expand into the Chesapeake Bay over the next few hours and will continue to monitor.
Overall, sub-SCA conditions are expected through most of this week.
Southerly winds are likely to briefly become gusty (up to 20 kt) in the Chesapeake Bay and coastal waters this evening and tonight. The high pressure system shifts south Wednesday, with 10-15 kt of SW flow expected through Thursday morning. A weak cold front drops S through the area midday Thursday, shifting winds to the N/NNE. Winds are likely to briefly increase to 10-15 kt Thursday night as cooler air filters in, but SCAs look unlikely. Another reinforcing front brings a better chance for small craft conditions Friday night into Saturday.
3-4 ft seas are expected through Wednesday night. A brief period of near 5 ft seas are possible across far SE portions of our srn marine zone today (ANZ658). Spatial extent and confidence is too low for any SCA there at this time. With the gusty S winds in the bay tonight, waves here increase to around 2 ft, with 3 ft possible in the northern bay. Seas then average ~3 ft Thursday into the weekend, with waves in the bay 1-2 ft.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for MDZ021>025.
NC...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for NCZ012>017- 030>032.
VA...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for VAZ064- 075>090-092-093-095>100-511>525.
MARINE...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for ANZ633- 635>638.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD | 9 mi | 59 min | SSE 8G | 63°F | 63°F | 30.25 | ||
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD | 21 mi | 59 min | SSW 9.9G | 73°F | 62°F | 30.24 | ||
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD | 26 mi | 59 min | SE 8.9G | 62°F | 30.24 | |||
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD | 29 mi | 59 min | SSW 11G | 71°F | 64°F | 30.23 | ||
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD | 32 mi | 47 min | SSE 12G | 62°F | 63°F | 1 ft | ||
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD | 35 mi | 59 min | SSE 8G | |||||
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA | 36 mi | 59 min | SW 9.9G | 74°F | 62°F | 30.22 | ||
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD | 43 mi | 59 min | S 5.1G | 66°F | 63°F | 30.21 | ||
44084 | 49 mi | 63 min | 63°F | 3 ft | ||||
44089 | 49 mi | 33 min | 65°F | 4 ft | ||||
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA | 49 mi | 59 min | SSW 6G | 70°F | 63°F | 30.24 |
Wind History for Bishops Head, MD
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Airport Reports
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KCGE
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KCGE
Wind History Graph: CGE
(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of east us
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