Thursday, December5, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
West Ocean City, MD

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:02AMSunset 4:43PM Thursday December 5, 2019 11:48 AM EST (16:48 UTC) Moonrise 1:26PMMoonset 12:22AM Illumination 63% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ650 Coastal Waters From Fenwick Island De To Chincoteague Va Out 20 Nm- 953 Am Est Thu Dec 5 2019
.small craft advisory in effect until 5 pm est this afternoon...
Rest of tonight..NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft with a dominant period of 6 seconds. A slight chance of rain.
Thu..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft with a dominant period of 8 seconds. A slight chance of rain early in the morning.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the late morning and afternoon. Seas around 2 ft with a dominant period of 5 seconds, building to 3 to 4 ft with a dominant period of 5 seconds late.
Fri night..W winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas around 2 ft with a dominant period of 10 seconds, building to 4 to 5 ft with a dominant period of 10 seconds after midnight.
Sat..N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 5 ft, subsiding to 3 ft late.
Sat night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sun..SE winds 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sun night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon..S winds 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft, building to 6 to 7 ft in the afternoon. A chance of showers.
Mon night..S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft. A chance of showers.
ANZ600 953 Am Est Thu Dec 5 2019
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A weak trough of low pressure moves away from the local waters this morning. High pressure builds near the region this afternoon and tonight. A cold front crosses the region late Friday with high pressure returning over the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near West Ocean City, MD
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location: 38.34, -75.09     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 051507 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1007 AM EST Thu Dec 5 2019

SYNOPSIS. A weak trough of low pressure moves through the area early this morning, with high pressure building in from the southwest today. A weak front crosses the area late Friday into early Saturday with high pressure returning for the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 1000 AM EST Thursday .

Late morning weather analysis shows upper troughing centered from ern Canada to New England, with largely zonal flow over the remainder of the CONUS. At the surface, ~1023 mb high pressure was over the Deep South, with weak, double-barreled low pressure over the Plains. Skies are mainly clear this morning, as the aforementioned upper trough continues to move away from the local area. W-NW surface flow prevails across the area (in between the high to the SW and low to the NE). Gusty winds to 15-25 mph (around 30 mph near the eastern shore) will continue through early evening before calming down as the high builds toward the area. Clearing skies and downslope flow will allow temps to rebound to the lower 50s in most areas this afternoon with perhaps a few mid 50s SW/upper 40s across the Lower Ern Shore. The high becomes centered over ern NC tonight, with mainly clear skies expected (although SCT high clouds are possible after midnight . especially W of I-95). Overnight lows will mainly be in the upper 20s-low 30s.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 200 AM EST Thursday .

On Friday the surface high will be off the Carolina coast. Meanwhile, a weak low pressure system will drift from the southern plains to the deep south. Resultant low-level flow backs to the S/SW ahead of the approaching low and its associated frontal system. Forecast soundings indicate that moisture increases in the mid and upper levels, however the lower levels remain dry. Latest 00Z models are consistent with previous runs that little to no precip falls across our forecast area, so it will likely be a cloudy but dry day. However, the southerly flow will help nudge temps up several degrees, expect high temps in the low to mid 50s.

A cold front associated with a low over the northeast will cross the area early Saturday morning. No precip is expected with the frontal passage, but there will be modest cold air advection behind the front. Temps Saturday morning will be in the upper 20s NW, low to mid 30s elsewhere except for coastal NE NC and SE VA where low temps will be in the upper 30s. Strong high pressure builds in behind the front on Saturday. While it will be mostly sunny, the cool N/NW flow will hold high temps to the mid and upper 40s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 245 PM EST Wednesday .

High pressure of Pacific origin pulls across and settles over the area from the NW on Sat night before moving offshore by Sun evening. It will be noticeably colder behind the front on Sat, with forecast highs in the mid 40s in most areas. Cold with lows in the mid- upper 20s inland/low-mid 30s near the coast Sat night. Highs Sun range from around 50F NW to the mid- upper 50s in coastal SE VA/NE NC.

Models are forecasting a trough aloft to quickly amplify across the Plains early next week, which will cause us to go into SW flow aloft over the Mid-Atlantic region. This would allow return moisture to increase Sun night and Monday, as a series of upper disturbances track toward/across the region. In addition, it will be milder from Sun night-Mon as return flow develops and low pressure deepens as it tracks well to our NW. With the area (or at least much of the area) likely becoming entrenched in the warm sector, expect a good chc of (occasional) showers starting later Sun night through Mon night, as the associated cold front approaches (slowly) from the W/NW. Have PoPs increasing to ~40-50% area wide on Mon to account for scattered showers. Lows Sun night mainly in the 40s, with temperatures holding or rising slightly into Monday morning. Mild Monday w/ highs in the upper 50s to low 60s in the piedmont west of RIC . low-mid 60s east of I-95, with lows in the 50s.

12z ECMWF is again a bit slower with the frontal passage during the day on Tuesday, which makes sense given the amplified pattern Look for highs well into the 60s on Tuesday. with the potential for some low 70s in Hampton Roads with any aftn sun. high chance to likely PoPs continue with the front crossing into the area later Tue into Tuesday night preceding the frontal passage Tuesday night into early Wed.

Looking ahead . a rather short-lived period of sharply colder air is expected across our area Wed/Thu, with cold Canadian air sweeping across the region behind the departing front. Temperatures will average 10-15 degF below normal Wed/Thu of next week before moderating thereafter.

AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 615 AM EST Thursday .

VFR conditions through the TAF period. Clearing skies this morning as an upper level disturbance exits the area and high pressure begins to build into the area. Winds will be W/NW, gusting 15-20 kts through early evening before becoming 5 kts or less late tonight as the high pressure center moves closer to the area.

Increasing cloud cover on Friday ahead of a system that will pass by to our south. A cold front associated with a low pressure over the northeast will cross the area late Friday into early Saturday. No precip expected with the frontal passage, just a wind shift from SW to W/NW after the front. High pressure then builds in for the weekend. Mainly VFR cigs/visbys Friday through the weekend.

MARINE. As of 235 AM EST Thursday .

A weak trough of lo pres crossing the local waters early this morning will usher in a period of low level CAA for much of today. W winds 10-20 kt becoming WNW 15 to 25 kt resulting in some increase in waves/seas into/through this afternoon. Winds and waves/seas diminishing/subside late tonight and continue into Fri morning. SW winds will increase to 10-20 kt Fri afternoon before another cold front moves off the coast Fri evening/night. Winds will increase (N 20-25 kt) by early Sat morning. Winds will be N 10-15 kt Sat afternoon as hi pres return to the region.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ630>632-634>638. Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ633- 654-656. Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ650- 652. Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ658.

SYNOPSIS . CMF/LKB NEAR TERM . CMF/ERI SHORT TERM . CMF/MAM LONG TERM . MAM AVIATION . CMF/RMM MARINE . ALB


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OCSM2 1 mi169 min 1 ft
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 1 mi55 min NW 13 G 16 44°F 44°F1014.1 hPa
44009 - DELAWARE BAY 26 NM Southeast of Cape May, NJ 22 mi59 min WNW 23 G 29 44°F 54°F5 ft1009.5 hPa (+2.8)
LWSD1 - 8557380 - Lewes, DE 31 mi55 min WNW 18 G 25 44°F 45°F1013 hPa
44089 42 mi49 min 50°F4 ft
CMAN4 - 8536110 - Cape May, NJ 44 mi55 min WNW 19 G 25 43°F 43°F1012 hPa
BRND1 - 8555889 - Brandywine Shoal Light, DE 45 mi55 min 1012.9 hPa

Wind History for Ocean City Inlet, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ocean City, Ocean City Municipal Airport, MD3 mi56 minWNW 8 G 1910.00 miA Few Clouds48°F27°F44%1013.5 hPa
Salisbury, Salisbury-Ocean City Wicomico County Regional Airport, MD22 mi55 minWNW 15 G 2110.00 miMostly Cloudy44°F25°F47%1014.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOXB

Wind History from OXB (wind in knots)
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NW6NW4W5W4CalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN5NW4
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Tide / Current Tables for Ocean City (fishing pier), Maryland
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Ocean City (fishing pier)
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:23 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 01:51 AM EST     2.74 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:01 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:57 AM EST     0.75 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:25 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:10 PM EST     3.07 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:39 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 08:32 PM EST     0.57 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.22.62.72.62.31.91.40.90.70.91.31.72.32.83.132.72.21.610.60.60.91.3

Tide / Current Tables for Fenwick Island Light, Delaware
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Fenwick Island Light
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:23 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 02:05 AM EST     3.17 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:02 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:22 AM EST     0.88 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:25 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:17 PM EST     3.29 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:39 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 08:45 PM EST     0.42 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.52.93.232.521.51.20.911.422.533.33.22.721.40.90.50.40.81.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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