Saturday, January16, 2021
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L-36.com

Marine Weather and Tides
Fruitland, MD

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 5:08PM Saturday January 16, 2021 9:21 PM EST (02:21 UTC) Moonrise 9:50AMMoonset 8:52PM Illumination 14% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ543 Tangier Sound And The Inland Waters Surrounding Bloodsworth Island- 644 Pm Est Sat Jan 16 2021
.small craft advisory in effect through Sunday afternoon...
Tonight..W winds 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft. Scattered rain and snow showers this evening with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt... Diminishing to 10 kt late. Waves 2 ft.
Sun night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Mon night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Tue..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tue night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Wed..NW winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Thu..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of snow showers in the morning. A chance of showers.
ANZ500 644 Pm Est Sat Jan 16 2021
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. Multiple upper level disturbances will pass through the waters through the rest of this weekend. High pressure builds to the south of our region through the early parts of next week. Small craft advisories may be needed for portions of the waters Sunday night into Monday, and possibly once again on Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fruitland, MD
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location: 38.34, -75.64     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 170156 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 856 PM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

SYNOPSIS. A trough of low pressure moves off the coast tonight. High pressure builds to the south of the region Sunday through Wednesday. Low pressure moves across the southern states later this week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/. As of 900 PM EST Saturday .

Seeing a few lingering light rain showers, with potentially a few snowflakes mixing in, over the Eastern Shore this evening. This activity will continue to come to an end over the next couple of hours as the surface trough moves east of the local area. Skies have cleared over a majority of the region, outside of NE portions of the area, and will continue to clear through the overnight hours. Not expecting much in the way of radiational cooling tonight as W to SW winds are expected to remain elevated. Have low temperatures ranging from the upper 20s to lower 30s for much of the area (mid 30s at the coast).

SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 300 PM EST Saturday .

High pressure will be located to the south of the area Sun with a sfc trof setting up across the mts. A WSW flow keeps it dry here under pt to mstly sunny skies. Highs arnd 50. Pt cldy Sun nite. Lows upr 20s-lwr 30s except mid 30s sern cstl areas.

Models show anthr trough, although weaker, swinging across the area Mon. This trough to remain dry only producing some clouds across the region. Pt sunny with highs in the upr 40s-lwr 50s. Mstly clear Mon night. Lows in the mid 20s inland, upr 30s-lwr 30s near the water. Pt to mstly sunny Tue as high pres remains south of the area. Highs mid 40s-lwr 50s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 300 PM EST Saturday .

Anthr dry trof is progged across the area Tue nite with the high to the south dominating through mid week. Lows Tue nite in the 30s. Highs Wed mid 40s-lwr 50s. Increasing clouds Wed nite ahead of an apprchg trof / warm front aloft. Lows upr 20s-lwr 30s north, mid-upr 30s south.

Forecast becomes a bit more uncertain later this week as models offer up different solns wrt a sfc trof and srn stream systm. GFS shows some moisture with a trof / warm front lifting ene across the area late Wed nite and Thurs while suppressing the srn stream systm well south of the local area Fri. The Canadian is even drier with a Thurs morning trof passage then a suppressed systm to the south Fri. The ECMWF has trended toward the GFS by backing off with its wdsprd pcpn Thurs morning while bringing a pcpn shield from the srn stream systm farther north Fri.

Given the uncertainty this far out, will show slght chc PoPs Thurs (mainly rain shwrs, psbl rain/snow shwr mix north early). Highs 45- 50 north, lwr 50s south. Slght chc poPs (rain shwrs) Thus nite with lows mid 30s-lwr 40s. Slght chc rain north Fri with chc PoPs south. Highs 45-50 except lwr 50s across ne NC.

Drying out and cooler Sat. Highs 40-45.

AVIATION /02Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 650 PM EST Saturday .

Some SCT MVFR ceilings (1500 to 2000 feet) linger near the coast this evening, but skies are expected to continue to clear from west to east through tonight. Mainly SKC skies are expected after 03z (04z to 05z for SBY) with VFR conditions expected to prevail through the 00z TAF period. SW winds expected through the forecast period, increasing to around 10-12 knots Sunday afternoon with some gusts to around 20 knots (especially near the coast).

OUTLOOK . Mainly VFR conditions are expected early this week as high pressure to the south dominates. Breezy SW winds during peak heating hrs as the gradient tightens due to a sfc trof ovr the mts.

MARINE. As of 300 PM EST Saturday .

Afternoon surface observation and satellite analysis shows surface low pressure near Boston with a large upper low and associated cloudiness centered over OH/PA. Winds are increasing from south to north this afternoon with 15-20 kt near and south of Cape Charles and generally 5-10 kt to the north. Waves in the Bay are 1-3 ft with seas 3-6 ft.

Modest pressure rises and cold advection will serve to increase winds through the remainder of the afternoon and especially this evening and tonight with SCA headlines for most of the area in effect. Winds have already built to ~20 kt in the southern Bay, Sound, and lower James River. Winds are expected to remain just under SCA thresholds for the York and Rappahannock Rivers this evening at 10-15 kt. Offshore and near the mouth of the Bay, winds increase to 20-25 kt with gusts to 30 kt tonight. Local wind probs and hi-res guidance continues to show at least some potential for gusts approaching 35 kt for the southern-most coastal waters this evening but not enough confidence in timing or coverage to make any changes to ongoing SCA headlines. Seas will build to 4-6 ft with the highest seas expected out near 20 nm in offshore flow.

Conditions improve Sunday morning as the pressure gradient and cold advection decrease. Seas will take some time to fall below SCA thresholds on Sunday with current headlines set to expire at 6pm. These may be able to be trimmed by a few hours based on the latest guidance. Another upper level system and its associated weak cold front cross the area late Monday night into Tuesday, with another brief period of SCA winds possible during this time frame over the Bay/Sound.

EQUIPMENT. As of 400 AM EST Saturday .

NWS Wakefield (KAKQ) radar has suffered a transmitter malfunction and is offline. The radar is expected to remain offline until Tuesday afternoon (01/19/2021). The Newport/Morehead City radar (KMHX) is also offline due to a scheduled generator upgrade. Users are encouraged to access adjacent radars from Blacksburg (KFCX), Raleigh (KRAX), Sterling (KLWX), and Dover AFB (KDOX) through the outage period.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Sunday for ANZ630>632-634- 654-656-658. Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Sunday for ANZ633-638. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST Sunday for ANZ650-652.

SYNOPSIS . MPR NEAR TERM . AJB SHORT TERM . MPR LONG TERM . MPR AVIATION . AJB MARINE . RHR EQUIPMENT .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 23 mi51 min W 19 G 23 40°F 44°F1002.9 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 28 mi51 min W 9.9 G 16 40°F 42°F1002.3 hPa
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 29 mi51 min W 12 G 16 40°F 45°F1002.5 hPa
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 40 mi141 min WSW 12 G 16 40°F 1002.6 hPa
LWSD1 - 8557380 - Lewes, DE 41 mi51 min W 13 G 18 42°F 43°F1000.9 hPa
44042 - Potomac, MD 43 mi27 min W 16 G 18 39°F 42°F1004.3 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 43 mi51 min W 12 G 16 38°F 43°F1003 hPa
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 44 mi33 min WNW 16 G 18 39°F 41°F
44089 44 mi25 min 44°F4 ft
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 49 mi51 min WNW 15 G 18

Wind History for Bishops Head, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Salisbury, Salisbury-Ocean City Wicomico County Regional Airport, MD7 mi27 minWSW 1010.00 miOvercast39°F33°F79%1002.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSBY

Wind History from SBY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmW5W3S3SE4SE4CalmSW3SW5W7W8W10W11W6W7W11W7W9W7W8W12
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1 day agoE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE6E3E4E9SE12SE14SE13SE13
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2 days agoS3CalmCalmE3CalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3NW7NW5CalmNW4NW6N5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Salisbury, Wicomico River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
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Salisbury
Click for Map
Sat -- 05:25 AM EST     2.75 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:17 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:49 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:26 AM EST     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:07 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:47 PM EST     3.17 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:52 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.40.10.81.72.32.72.72.31.50.70-0.4-0.30.10.91.72.533.22.92.21.40.6-0.1

Tide / Current Tables for Salisbury, Maryland (2 miles below) Current
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Salisbury
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:16 AM EST     0.61 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 05:12 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:17 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:28 AM EST     -0.91 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 09:49 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:47 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 02:36 PM EST     0.75 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 05:07 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:51 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:52 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 09:03 PM EST     -0.86 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.40.60.60.40.1-0.3-0.7-0.9-0.9-0.7-0.30.10.50.70.70.60.3-0.1-0.5-0.8-0.9-0.8-0.6

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.