Stafford Courthouse, VA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Stafford Courthouse, VA

May 27, 2024 8:49 AM EDT (12:49 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:48 AM   Sunset 8:25 PM
Moonrise 11:40 PM   Moonset 8:10 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ536 Tidal Potomac From Indian Head To Cobb Island- 733 Am Edt Mon May 27 2024

.small craft advisory in effect through this evening - .

Today - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt late this morning and afternoon. Waves 1 ft. Scattered showers with isolated tstms this morning, then numerous showers and scattered tstms this afternoon with vsby 1 nm or less.

Tonight - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt - . Becoming W late. Waves 1 ft.

Tue - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Tue night - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Wed - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.

Wed night - NW winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft.

Thu - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Fri - NW winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.

ANZ500 733 Am Edt Mon May 27 2024

Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
a strong cold front will pass through the region tonight. A secondary front could follow in the wake by mid-week. Small craft advisories may be needed for portions of the waters Wednesday night into Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Stafford Courthouse, VA
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Area Discussion for - Baltimore, MD/Washington
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FXUS61 KLWX 270803 AFDLWX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 403 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

SYNOPSIS

A warm and humid air mass will persist through today. A cold front will push through the area tonight. A secondary cold front moves in by mid-week before high pressure builds in by Friday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Some notable changes were observed in the latest guidance early this morning and it is mainly to delay convective initiation this afternoon and push back the timing of the frontal passage until mid evening. The severe risk also has shifted more east to areas along and east of I-95 and east of Rt 15 in northern MD.
Latest CAMs this morning show several broken short line segments including bows developing across the northern neck of VA lifting NE into southern MD. Other short line segments are seeing on the reflectivity products over north central MD into southern PA. The primary threat remains damaging winds due to strengthening wind fields and moderate instability (~1500 J/kg), but a couple of tornadoes and isold large hail are also possible. Severe risk should diminish quickly after 00Z and be over completely by 02Z Tue.



SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/

Scattered to numerous instability showers are expected Tue and Wed afternoons as additional shortwave energy rounding the base of the upper trough axis moves across the region. Shower activity on Tue may not produce any lightning at all, but has better chance of generating lightning on Wed due to higher CAPE values and steeper mid-level lapse rates/cooler temps aloft.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

Deep upper troughing will move overhead during the day Thursday. Skies should start out mostly sunny, but some fair weather clouds may form in response to daytime heating during the afternoon. A few sprinkles or a brief light shower can't be ruled out either, but most locations should remain dry. High temperatures are forecast to reach into the upper 60s to mid 70s, with dewpoints only in the mid 40s.

We'll remain under the influence of upper troughing through the day Friday, but the trough axis will start to progress off to our east during the afternoon hours. This will result in another day of below normal temperatures within northwesterly flow. Sunny skies are expected, with high temperatures generally in the upper 60s to mid 70s. High pressure will build in from the Great Lakes Friday night.
With clear skies, light to calm winds, and dewpoints only in the low to mid 40s, it will be a chilly first night of June, with low temperatures dropping back into the 40s to near 50 for most.

Narrow upper ridging will build overhead next weekend, before the flow flattens out and turns more zonal in nature early next week.
High pressure at the surface will move overhead Saturday morning, before progressing offshore later Saturday into Sunday. As this happens, a slight warming trend in temperatures will occur. Highs on Saturday are expected to reach into the mid-upper 70s, with upper 70s to lower 80s in the forecast for Sunday. Conditions are expected to remain predominantly dry this upcoming weekend, but a stray afternoon shower or thunderstorm can't be ruled out on Sunday.

AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

Showers and thunderstorms are likely to impact the main terminals this afternoon. The highest risk is at BWI and DCA with lesser chance at IAD and MRB. CHO appears to have the least risk of experiencing thunderstorms. Severe wind gusts are possible particularly at BWI and DCA. Threat should end by 00Z tonight.

Prevailing VFR conditions and northwesterly winds are expected on both Thursday and Friday.

MARINE

SCA conditions expected today through tonight due to gradient winds. Special Marine Warnings are also likely to be required for thunderstorm winds greater than 33 kt.

Sub-SCA northwesterly winds are expected on both Thursday and Friday.

&

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING

With increasing south/southeast flow, there will be a higher chance of minor flooding with this morning's high tide. Straits Point, Annapolis, and DC SW Waterfront will be most susceptible. Westerly winds behind a cold front will lead to decreasing anomalies through the middle of the week.

LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DC...None.
MD...Coastal Flood Advisory until 1 PM EDT this afternoon for MDZ014.
VA...None.
WV...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ530- 535-536-538-542.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ531>534-537-539>541-543.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
NCDV2 21 mi50 min SSW 4.1G5.1 71°F 78°F29.79
WASD2 - 8594900 - Washington, DC 38 mi50 min S 8G11 71°F 78°F29.80
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 45 mi80 min S 2.9 70°F 29.8067°F


Wind History for Washington, DC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KRMN STAFFORD RGNL,VA 3 sm14 mincalm10 smMostly Cloudy68°F64°F88%29.81
KNYG QUANTICO MCAF /TURNER FIELD,VA 8 sm53 minSSW 067 smPartly Cloudy70°F64°F83%29.82
KEZF SHANNON,VA 10 sm14 minS 0510 smMostly Cloudy70°F68°F94%29.81
KHWY WARRENTONFAUQUIER,VA 20 sm14 minS 0310 smMostly Cloudy68°F66°F94%29.80
KHEF MANASSAS RGNL/HARRY P DAVIS FIELD,VA 22 sm53 minS 0610 smA Few Clouds66°F66°F100%29.81
KDAA DAVISON AAF,VA 24 sm54 minSSE 0310 smMostly Cloudy70°F68°F94%29.78
Link to 5 minute data for KRMN


Wind History from RMN
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Aquia Creek, Virginia
   
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Aquia Creek
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Mon -- 03:26 AM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:10 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 09:25 AM EDT     1.32 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:27 PM EDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:56 PM EDT     0.87 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Aquia Creek, Virginia, Tide feet
12
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0.3
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Tide / Current for Clifton Beach, Maryland
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Clifton Beach
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Mon -- 03:13 AM EDT     0.23 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:09 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 09:12 AM EDT     1.43 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:17 PM EDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:59 PM EDT     1.22 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Clifton Beach, Maryland, Tide feet
12
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11
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1.1


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of east us   
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Sterling, VA,




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