Taylors Island, MD Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Taylors Island, MD


November 30, 2023 12:44 PM EST (17:44 UTC)
Sunrise 7:01AM   Sunset 4:44PM   Moonrise  7:32PM   Moonset 10:22AM 

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION. Privacy and Cookie policy

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ533 Chesapeake Bay From North Beach To Drum Point- 1233 Pm Est Thu Nov 30 2023
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight...
This afternoon..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt until early morning. Waves 2 ft.
Fri..S winds 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Rain likely.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Rain.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of rain.
Sat night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Rain.
Sun..N winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming w. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of rain.
Mon..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 ft. A chance of rain through the day.

ANZ500 1233 Pm Est Thu Nov 30 2023
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay..
high pressure will continue to slide offshore through tonight. Another frontal system and area of low pressure push through the area Friday into Saturday. A stronger frontal system looks to cross the waters early next week. Small craft advisories may be needed Friday night due to southerly channeling.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Taylors Island, MD
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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 301728 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1228 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will gradually slide off the Carolina coast later today, and will push well offshore tonight into Friday. Meanwhile, low pressure tracks through the Ohio Valley later Friday and Friday night, bringing a chance for rain into the local area. Another chance for rain develops later Saturday into Sunday as a weak area of low pressure slowly moves through the region. Mainly dry and cooler weather is expected next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 330 AM EST Thursday...

The latest WX analysis indicates ~1025mb sfc high pressure centered along the SE Coast from near Savannah to the NC Outer Banks. Aloft, the flow is from the WNW in between a strong upper low across Hudson Bay Canada and a broad ridge over the Gulf of Mexico and pts S. GOES water vapor imagery clearly shows a developing upper level trough across the desert SW, and this will be advancing to the E later today, which will allow the flow aloft to become more WSW through the day (which will lead to a bit more in the way of high cloud cover compared to the past few days). The sfc high pressure will begin to slide offshore as well, leading to a SSW flow in the low levels, and the start of a warming trend. It is still chilly early this morning,with current temperatures mostly in the mid 20s to around 30F inland, and in the upper 20s to lower-mid 30s along the coast. With the SSW flow and increasing thicknesses, highs this aftn will be near normal, in the mid to upper 50s for most of the FA. Even with the high clouds, it will be partly- mostly sunny on average. For tonight, the sfc high will be offshore, with a light southerly flow across the region. Latest model trends are a bit slower to bring thicker cloud cover in from the west until well after midnight so it will be mostly clear through much of the night. Lows in the low- mid 30s for most, around 40F near the coast.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
As of 345 AM EST Thursday...

The center of high pressure will be well offshore by Friday morning. Meanwhile, low pressure will be tracking ENE from the the mid MS Valley into the lower OH Valley by the evening. The trough aloft will weaken quite a bit before reaching Appalachia and models continue to trend drier for the local area (again), so even light rain is looking less likely on Friday. As such, have bumped the PoPs down and now have mostly chc PoPs (or even slight chc far SE) with a small sliver of likely maintained for far NE sections Friday evening. QPF amounts will be light with most places likely seeing less than 0.10". It will be mild Friday with highs ranging from the lower 50s NW (where clouds and precip arrive earliest) to the low- mid 60s SE where most if not all of the day likely stays dry.

As low pressure weakens well NW of the area Friday night, expect any remaining precipitation to come to an end overnight, though most areas stay overcast with at least a chc for some lingering light rain across the south. Much milder temperatures Fri night with lows in the mid 40s NW (where it may briefly partially clear out), to the mid- upper 50s SE. On Saturday, a secondary area of weak low pressure develops over the deep south, and lifts NE through the eastern TN Valley into the local area late in the day into Saturday night. The models differ with respect to how fast precip lifts back N into the area on Sat, the GFS being most aggressive and suggesting likely PoPs Sat aftn across the southern 1/2 of the CWA, while the NAM/ECMWF are both slower.
For now have split the difference, bringing chc PoPs into much of the area (highest far S), after 18Z Sat. Warm with highs Saturday in the 60s and may perhaps upper 60s/near 70F in the far SE. Rain looks likely for much of the area Sat night with decent lift as low pressure moves along the boundary, will keep PoPs lowest (40-50% across the NW). Warm with lows in the upper 40s NW/around 50F, and in the 50s elsewhere. Additional rainfall amounts Sat-Sun for now will avg ~0.25" through 12Z Sunday, though with a lot of uncertainty (could see up to 0.50"+ in spots).

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 355 AM EST Thursday...

Overall, the pattern for Sunday and Monday looks unsettled with above normal temperatures, although the rain looks to become more showery and scattered at best by later Sunday as the main area of forcing moves off to the NE and an eventual dry slot moves in from the WSW per the GFS/ECMWF/CMC. As is typical in progressive flow patterns likes this, timing shortwaves and fronts at this range is very difficult. Nevertheless, the general consensus shows multiple upper level shortwaves passing through Sunday and another later Monday or Mon night. Will therefore carry chc PoPs for the most part through Monday and continue with "shower" wording rather than stratiform rain. It looks dry after that, with perhaps a slight chc for a shower across the far N sometime midweek as some of the models have another shortwave passing through. Remaining warm Sun-Mon with lows in the 40s/50s, and highs mostly into the 60s both days (possibly staying in the 50s across the N Monday). Drying out and turning cooler Tuesday- Wednesday with highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s (have limited any PoPs to ~15% over the far N Wed).

AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 1225 PM EST Thursday...

VFR prevails for the 18z/30 TAF period as high pressure to the south moves offshore today and overnight. SCT high clouds over the area this afternoon will temporarily clear out this evening.
High clouds return from the W overnight ahead of Friday's system. Clouds will lower in the afternoon, though any flight restrictions should remain W of the area until after the 18z period. Winds will be southerly and generally 5kt or less until Friday afternoon.

Outlook: Rain chances will increase (especially RIC/SBY) in the late afternoon/evening hours Friday; Drying out overnight into Saturday across the north, but rain chances and potential flight restrictions may develop in the moist airmass across SE VA and NE NC Sat morning. Rain chances look to increase again Saturday aftn/evening, especially SE VA and NE NC, lingering through Sunday. Generally drying out Sunday night/Monday with just a few scattered showers possible.

MARINE
As of 420 AM EST Thursday...

Early this morning, sfc high pressure was centered just south of the area. Winds were WSW 5-15 kt across the waters. Waves were 1-2 ft and seas were 2-3 ft.

The sfc high will shift offshore and out to sea for this aftn into Fri morning. Another diurnal increase in a SSW wind is expected for the Bay/northern ocean late this aftn through this evening, but should generally stay sub-SCA with wind speeds of 10-15kt with gusts to 20kt. A weak warm front will lift into the area late Fri into Fri night, then low pressure and a frontal boundary push into and across the region Sat into early Mon morning. Sub-SCA conditions are expected during this time period.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 9 mi57 min 46°F 30.22
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 11 mi39 min SSE 16G23 44°F 50°F1 ft
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 12 mi57 min 52°F 45°F30.21
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 15 mi57 min 47°F 51°F30.19
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 21 mi57 min 45°F 41°F30.22
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 28 mi75 min SSE 4.1G4.1
44042 - Potomac, MD 31 mi39 min SE 12G16 47°F 51°F0 ft
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 31 mi45 min SSE 12G13 46°F 30.20
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 32 mi75 min SE 5.1 47°F 30.1832°F
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 35 mi57 min 47°F 45°F30.21
44063 - Annapolis 36 mi39 min S 14G18 46°F 49°F1 ft
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD 37 mi57 min 47°F 52°F30.17
CPVM2 37 mi57 min 47°F 37°F
NCDV2 43 mi57 min 44°F 45°F
44043 - Patapsco, MD 48 mi39 min S 9.7G14 46°F 46°F1 ft
WASD2 - 8594900 - Washington, DC 49 mi57 min 48°F 46°F30.17

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Wind History for Cove Point LNG Pier, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KCGE CAMBRIDGEDORCHESTER RGNL,MD 13 sm19 minS 07G1310 smClear54°F30°F41%30.19
KNHK PATUXENT RIVER NAS/TRAPNELL FIELD/,MD 15 sm52 minESE 0710 smPartly Cloudy54°F36°F50%30.20
KNUI WEBSTER NOLF,MD 24 sm51 minSSE 0810 smClear48°F34°F57%30.20

Wind History from CGE
(wind in knots)


Tide / Current for Taylors Island, Slaughter Creek, Little Choptank River, Maryland
   
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Taylors Island
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Thu -- 12:26 AM EST     0.23 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:02 AM EST     0.82 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:02 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:22 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 10:37 AM EST     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:44 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 05:56 PM EST     1.64 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:31 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Taylors Island, Slaughter Creek, Little Choptank River, Maryland, Tide feet
12
am
0.2
1
am
0.3
2
am
0.4
3
am
0.6
4
am
0.7
5
am
0.8
6
am
0.7
7
am
0.5
8
am
0.3
9
am
0
10
am
-0.1
11
am
-0.1
12
pm
-0
1
pm
0.2
2
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0.6
3
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1
4
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1.3
5
pm
1.6
6
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1.6
7
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1.6
8
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1.4
9
pm
1.1
10
pm
0.8
11
pm
0.6



Tide / Current for Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of), Maryland Current
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Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of)
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Thu -- 02:31 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 04:46 AM EST     0.32 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 07:02 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:39 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 10:22 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 10:34 AM EST     -0.33 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 12:51 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 04:25 PM EST     0.75 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 04:45 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:32 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:03 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:40 PM EST     -0.75 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of), Maryland Current, knots
12
am
-0.7
1
am
-0.5
2
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-0.2
3
am
0.1
4
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0.3
5
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0.3
6
am
0.2
7
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0.1
8
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-0.1
9
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-0.2
10
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-0.3
11
am
-0.3
12
pm
-0.2
1
pm
0
2
pm
0.3
3
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0.6
4
pm
0.7
5
pm
0.7
6
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0.6
7
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0.3
8
pm
0
9
pm
-0.3
10
pm
-0.5
11
pm
-0.7




Weather Map
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