Monday, June27, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Ventnor City, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 5:31AMSunset 8:30PM Monday June 27, 2022 7:43 PM EDT (23:43 UTC) Moonrise 4:05AMMoonset 7:33PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ventnor City, NJ
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location: 38.51, -73.33     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 271955 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 355 PM EDT Mon Jun 27 2022

SYNOPSIS. A cold front will cross the region this evening, with Canadian high pressure building in for Tuesday and Wednesday. Another, much weaker cold front will cross the region Wednesday night, with a warmer high pressure building in for Thursday and Friday. A stronger cold front will stall in the area over the holiday weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/. Latest analysis shows the cold front crossing far NW NJ and the Poconos, edging into the Lehigh Valley. High pressure is centered well to our west over Missouri. A second, much weaker cold front is located far to our northwest near the central US/Canada border. Aloft, one shortwave extends from southeastern Hudson Bay toward the central Great Lakes, with another shortwave over south-central Canada. Upper level ridging has retreated to the southwestern US.

PW's near 2 inches have allowed otherwise mediocre CAPE and shear to produce some locally heavy rains across the region, particularly southern New Jersey, with localized amounts exceeding 2 inches in a short time. This may continue as the line of storms heads off the coast over the next few hours. There is enough mass to the storms to produce some gusts up to 30-40 mph as well, but severe weather continues to not be expected. While weather has quieted down behind the main line, the front continues to lag a bit, so a few showers could pop along the front itself as it moves southeast across the Delaware Valley over the next few hours. After sunset, however, expect chance of precip to drop to near zero as drier Canadian air builds into the region. Winds don't look too strong overnight, but sustained 5-10 mph NW flow should be enough to limit fog potential despite clearing skies. Lows will drop into the 50s and lower 60s for the most part.

Tuesday looks to be among the best days of the month, with low humidity (dew points in the 50s, possibly touching the upper 40s in spots) and some sun, though some high clouds and cumulus also likely develop. Relatively light NW winds of 5-10 mph combined with temperatures rising to near 80 should seal the deal.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/. High pressure builds overhead Tuesday night, providing the coolest night of the week with lows into the 50s for many, and cooler spots into the upper 40s. Skies will be mostly clear with light winds.

On Wednesday, the high shifts offshore and winds turn southerly again. This should allow warm advection aloft to bring highs up a few degrees, and dew points will rise a bit as well, but still pretty comfortable. The weak cold front currently crossing the border will be approaching by this point, and it will cross the area Wednesday night. Guidance continues to suggest a few sprinkles or light showers could occur as the front passes, but odds of precip look a bit too low to reasonably include in the forecast just now. Lows will be a few degrees warmer, mostly in the 60s.

Thursday, high pressure returns behind the cold front, but it will be notably warmer as winds quickly turn southwest again, allowing another surge of warm advection which when combined with our late June sun, will elevate temps well into the 80s. Dew points will start to creep back into the 60s as well, so the humidity will begin to be felt, if only just a little bit. Lows will be warmer as well, with mid-upper 60s common Thursday night.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. The long term period starts with a hot and dry Friday. Ridging will be in place, slowly flattening out as the day goes on. With 850 mb temperatures sitting in the 17-20C range, confidence is high that most of the region will get above 90 degrees. With dewpoints not overly oppressive, we should stay below Heat Advisory criteria, but we will continue to monitor the potential as it gets closer. The cooler spots for Friday will be down the shore and in the Poconos where temperatures will be in the low to mid 80s.

The holiday weekend pattern will turn active as a rather potent mid- level trough and surface cold front approach the region. Atmospheric moisture will increase, with PWATs getting near 2 inches. With some instability in place as well, there will be a chance for some thunderstorms. Slight chance PoPs come into the forecast for far northwestern zones on Saturday morning, with chance to likely PoPs coming in for parts of the region during the afternoon. Current thinking is that the I-95 corridor, and points north and west will have a better chance to see showers and thunderstorms, hence the larger area of likely PoPs in this update. Backed off high temperatures slightly in these areas (thinking mid to upper 80s), as showers/thunderstorms could limit daytime heating. For areas south and east of I-95, ended up going with chance PoPs, with some slight chance PoPs in far SE NJ and southern DE. For temperatures in these parts, I stuck close to NBM for now, going with low 90s, and 80s along the coast.

For Sunday, I slightly backed off on rain chances. Bumped everyone down to chance PoPs as the progression of the front remains highly uncertain. ECMWF looks to be the fastest in terms of frontal progression, pushing the front offshore Sunday night, and keeping it offshore rather than stalling it out nearby. The 12z GFS has a slower solution overall, with the front clearing the coast on Monday morning, then stalling just offshore, resulting in shower chances for Monday as well. The CMC is in the middle, with a slower progression, but lacks the stalling of the front just offshore. Long story short, a wide variety of outcomes are on the table, and specific impacts will be nailed down as the weekend gets closer.

AVIATION /19Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tonight . Becoming VFR as front crosses the region late this afternoon. Winds NW 5-10 kts. High confidence.

Tuesday . VFR. Winds NW 5-10 kts. High confidence.

Outlook .

Wednesday through Thursday . VFR. Winds SW 5-10 kts. High confidence.

Friday through Friday Night . VFR. South to southwesterly winds 10- 15 kt. High confidence.

Saturday through Saturday Night . sub-VFR conditions likely with showers and thunderstorms. Southwesterly winds 10-15 kt. Moderate Confidence

MARINE. Winds are declining on the waters outside of the storms moving off-shore, so will allow SCA to expire. Storms should not linger too late into the evening. Sub-SCA conditions then dominate tonight and Tuesday with NW winds tonight becoming N to NE Tuesday, generally 10-15 kts with gusts possibly up to 20 kts at times. Seas 2-4 ft.

Outlook .

Wednesday through Thursday . Small risk of SCA conditions both later Wednesday and later Thursday as a cold front approaches late Wednesday and then warmer air surges across the region later Thursday. Winds forecast 10-15 kts with gusts to 20 kts, but may reach up to 25 kts. Seas mostly 2-4 ft but could reach 3-5 ft.

Friday through Friday Night . Winds and seas building to near advisory criteria, especially in the afternoon. Southerly winds 15 to 20 kt, gusting up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Fair Weather.

Saturday through Saturday Night . Winds and seas building to near advisory criteria, especially in the afternoon. Southerly winds 15 to 20 kt, gusting up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Potential for showers and thunderstorms especially in the afternoon/evening.

Rip Currents .

SW winds will range from 15 to 20 mph rest of today before turning NW tonight. However, there will be a New Moon on Tuesday. As a result, there is a MODERATE risk for the development of dangerous rip currents at New Jersey beaches today and a LOW risk at Delaware beaches. With high pressure building in from the west, there is a LOW risk for the development of dangerous rip currents at New Jersey and Delaware beaches on Tuesday.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NJ . None. DE . None. MD . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ450>455.

Synopsis . RCM Near Term . RCM Short Term . RCM Long Term . Hoeflich Aviation . Hoeflich/RCM Marine . Hoeflich/RCM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44009 - DELAWARE BAY 26 NM Southeast of Cape May, NJ 72 mi43 min N 1.9G3.9 69°F 1015.9 hPa (+2.0)69°F
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 82 mi55 min 69°F 67°F1015.6 hPa

Wind History for Cape May, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wildwood, Cape May County Airport, NJ90 mi1.8 hrsSW 38.00 miRain73°F72°F96%1015.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KWWD

Wind History from WWD (wind in knots)
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1 day agoS9S8S7S8SW5SW5SW5SW6SW6SW5SW5SW7SW8SW7SW6W6S6S9S12S14S16S16
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2 days agoS8SW6S6SW5SW4S3S4SW5W6W5W4SW4W5W6W6W6W46SW66S11S10S11S9

Tide / Current Tables for Waretown, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey
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Waretown
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:07 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:22 AM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:06 AM EDT     0.52 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:15 PM EDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:37 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:20 PM EDT     0.67 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Waretown, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey, Tide feet
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Tide / Current Tables for Atlantic City (Steel Pier), New Jersey
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Atlantic City (Steel Pier)
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:19 AM EDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:06 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:11 AM EDT     3.43 feet High Tide
Mon -- 12:59 PM EDT     0.45 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:26 PM EDT     4.75 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:40 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Atlantic City (Steel Pier), New Jersey, Tide feet
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