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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Benedict, MD

July 21, 2024 3:21 AM EDT (07:21 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:59 AM   Sunset 8:29 PM
Moonrise 8:10 PM   Moonset 4:48 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ533 Chesapeake Bay From North Beach To Drum Point- 134 Am Edt Sun Jul 21 2024

Overnight - NW winds 5 kt. Waves flat.

Sun - SE winds around 5 kt. Waves flat.

Sun night - S winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Mon - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.

Mon night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.

Tue - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.

Tue night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.

Wed - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely.

Thu - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of tstms.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.

ANZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm 220 Am Edt Sun Jul 21 2024

Synopsis - The atlantic high pressure ridge axis is forecast to drift from south florida into north florida through the rest of the weekend and early this week. Light south to southeast winds will increase to 10 to 15 knots from the east-southeast near the coast each afternoon, as the sea breeze develops. Isolated to scattered showers and lightning storms will be possible. Storm chances may be enhanced early this week, as a weak disturbance moves across the area.

Gulf stream hazards - None.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Friday, july 19th.
40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 26 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 22 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 11 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Benedict, MD
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Area Discussion for - Baltimore, MD/Washington
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FXUS61 KLWX 210129 AAA AFDLWX

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 929 PM EDT Sat Jul 20 2024

SYNOPSIS
A weak piece of energy will traverse a stalled front along the Virginia and North Carolina border. High pressure briefly returns Sunday before a warm front lifts into the region Monday and stalls out heading into midweek. This will result in daily shower and thunderstorm chances along with increased humidity and warming temperatures throughout much of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/

Showers west of the Blue Ridge should gradually wane after 03Z with clearing expected through the first half of the overnight.
However, low clouds and/or fog remain a possibility overnight, particularly in areas that received rain. The duration should be relatively short.

Previous afd...

The slow moving trough begins to exit late this evening into the night. Most of the area begins to dry out into the night.
Forecast low temperatures will mainly be in the 60s, locally hitting the low 70s in D.C., Baltimore, and near the milder waters (i.e., tidal Potomac and Chesapeake Bay). Depending on where rain falls, a night of calm winds and decreasing clouds may support some patchy fog. The best chances would be along and west of U.S. 15.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
The stalled frontal boundary starts to make some poleward progress on Sunday. This allows temperatures to crank back up into the upper 80s to low 90s. Adding humidity to the mix yields heat indices in the mid 90s. While seasonable in nature, these certainly fall well short of readings over the past few weeks.
Subsidence behind the passing shortwave will also afford more sunshine over the area. Some afternoon/evening shower and thunderstorm chances loom across the Potomac Highlands eastward to the Central Virginia Piedmont. The rest of the forecast area is expected to stay dry underneath mostly sunny skies. Heading into Sunday night, slightly milder temperatures are expected with lows around 2 to 4 degrees above the previous night.

A longwave trough currently situated over eastern Iowa/western Illinois begins to make its presence felt to start off the new work week. Although the trough itself begins to open up and somewhat shear out, the residual vorticity centers spread across the Mid-Atlantic region on Monday. Ample lift from the forcing aloft coupled with the stalled frontal zone will make for a wetter day as showers and thunderstorms become likely. The current forecast calls for a broad half inch to inch over the area. Given the ongoing drought issues, these rains should be welcome site. Any remote flooding concerns would be tied to the metro areas given poor drainage. Monday's temperatures should be a bit lower than the previous day owing to more clouds. Most stay in the mid/upper 80s, with 70s across mountain locales. For the night, shower chances begin to decrease with seasonable temperatures expected.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Key Messages:

1) Daily shower and thunderstorm chances continue throughout the workweek.

2) Locally heavy rainfall possible Tuesday and Wednesday.

3) Temperatures near normal for the extended period.

Still looking at a stagnant, but active weather pattern as the region remains sandwiched between the broad ridge over the southwest Atlantic and ridge over the Rockies. In between the upper level trough remains with it's associated pseudo warm/stationary frontal boundary draped just to the north of the region. With that said, a steady supply of deep moisture will continue to advect in from the Gulf of Mexico on south to southwesterly flow.

Showers and thunderstorms will be the continued theme of the forecast especially during the afternoon and evening hours Tuesday through Thursday next week. Several pieces of of mid-level shortwave energy traversing the nearby front will be to blame for the increased shower and thunderstorm activity along with the threat for locally heavy rainfall. Any rainfall that we do see is likely to be mostly beneficial, especially along and west of US-15 where severe/extreme drought conditions are being observed. Locally heavy rainfall in the I-95 urban corridor could result in some flooding issues if storms persist over an area for an extended period of time. PW values Wednesday and Thursday will range from roughly 1.50 inches across the northern portions of the area to around 2.00 inches across the south. The high end of this range touches the 90 to 97.5 percentile of the 30 year climatology. On Friday, values decrease slightly to the 1.25 to 1.75 inch range. As for severe weather, the threat remains low given the abundant cloud cover from the stalled front nearby. This is highlighted by both the CSU and NSSL learning machine probabilities which suggest a non zero chance of severe weather during the middle and latter half of next week.
Later this week the upper level trough and associated cold front approach the area from the Ohio River Valley and Great Lakes region.
Some uncertainty remains in the exact timing and strength of this system. For now, will leave chance PoPs in the forecast through Thursday and perhaps even Friday as models try to push the front through during this timeframe.

As for temperatures, expect values closer to average for late July.
850mb temperatures will trend gradually milder through the period running between +16 to +19 through Tuesday through Thursday timeframe. Highs will range from the upper 70s and low 80s over the mountains to mid and upper 80s and low 90s east of the Alleghenies each afternoon.Overnight lows through the period will fall into the mid to upper 60s and low 70s.

AVIATION /02Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

There is a small chance of low cigs and vsby overnight, but duration is likely to be too short. Otherwise, mostly cloudy skies with cigs around 7 kft.

A stalled frontal zone to the south returns northward as a warm front on Sunday. With the disturbance aloft passing off to the east, it should be a dry day underneath mostly sunny skies. Some afternoon/evening showers could push as far east as KCHO. It reamins to be seen if any patchy fog is mustered overnight given the dry soils over the region. A better chance for showers and thunderstorms looms for Monday as a shortwave trough moves in from Illinois. Restrictions are possible at times on Monday with winds shifting to more southeasterly in nature.

VFR conditions continue into the middle of next week although the opportunity for sub-VFR remains during the afternoon and early evening hours as a front sits near region. This will lead to increased chances for showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours at the terminals although confidence remains low onto which terminals will be impacted. Shower/storm activity wanes in the late evening, though a few showers could linger into the overnight each day.

MARINE
Background winds remain on the light side through Sunday as gradients remain weak. By Monday, an approaching shortwave trough will interact with a stalled boundary over the area. This promotes a much better chance for showers and thunderstorms.
While not obvious whether any of these will be severe in nature, the threat for Special Marine Warnings is non- zero. Any convective chances slowly diminish into Monday night.

South to southwesterly flow will continue to increase midweek ahead of an approaching cold front and upper level trough over the Ohio River Valley. This could result in SCA conditions mainly over the central and lower open waters of the Chesapeake Bay as well as lower tidal Potomac. The highest confidence for a Small Craft Advisory appears be Tuesday night into Wednesday due to southerly channeling.
Outside of channeling expect daily shower and thunderstorm chances each afternoon and evening next week as a stalled front sits nearby.
An SMW cannot be ruled out for any potential strong thunderstorms (gusts up to 35 kts) that occur during the afternoon and evening hours.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
Light southeast to south winds this evening will continue to result in a small increase in water levels. Although minor flooding is unlikely, vulnerable shoreline (such as Annapolis)
could reach Action Stage on Sunday and Monday mornings. Water levels are likely to remain elevated with south to southwest flow persisting through much of next week.

LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DC...None.
MD...None.
VA...None.
WV...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 14 mi39 minNW 7.8G14 73°F 83°F1 ft
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 17 mi51 minWNW 6G7 74°F 30.01
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 17 mi51 minNNW 5.1G7 74°F 83°F30.01
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 19 mi51 min0 70°F 30.0169°F
NCDV2 23 mi51 minNW 1.9G1.9 71°F 83°F30.00
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 27 mi51 minN 8G9.9
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 30 mi21 minWNW 6G7 76°F 30.04
WASD2 - 8594900 - Washington, DC 31 mi51 min0G1 75°F 86°F30.03
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 32 mi51 minNNE 5.1G6 76°F 83°F30.02
44063 - Annapolis 33 mi33 minNW 3.9G5.8 74°F 82°F0 ft
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD 34 mi51 minNW 2.9G4.1 76°F 86°F30.01
44042 - Potomac, MD 37 mi45 minNNW 7.8G12 82°F1 ft
CPVM2 37 mi51 min 76°F 71°F
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 37 mi51 minNW 5.1G6 75°F 82°F30.01
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 39 mi51 minN 6G11 74°F 80°F30.02
44043 - Patapsco, MD 47 mi33 minN 5.8G7.8 77°F 83°F0 ft
HWPM2 49 mi51 minN 2.9G5.1


Wind History for Cove Point LNG Pier, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KNHK PATUXENT RIVER NAS/TRAPNELL FIELD/,MD 21 sm29 minWNW 0610 smPartly Cloudy75°F70°F83%30.00
KADW JOINT BASE ANDREWS,MD 23 sm26 mincalm10 smClear68°F66°F94%29.99


Tide / Current for Benedict, Maryland
   
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Benedict
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:03 AM EDT     2.97 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:48 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:19 AM EDT     Full Moon
Sun -- 10:45 AM EDT     0.70 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:22 PM EDT     1.75 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:10 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 09:21 PM EDT     0.52 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Benedict, Maryland, Tide feet
12
am
1.9
1
am
2.4
2
am
2.8
3
am
3
4
am
2.9
5
am
2.6
6
am
2.2
7
am
1.8
8
am
1.4
9
am
1
10
am
0.8
11
am
0.7
12
pm
0.9
1
pm
1.2
2
pm
1.5
3
pm
1.7
4
pm
1.7
5
pm
1.5
6
pm
1.2
7
pm
0.9
8
pm
0.7
9
pm
0.5
10
pm
0.6
11
pm
0.8


Tide / Current for Broomes Island, 0.4 mile south of, Maryland Current
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Broomes Island
Click for MapFlood direction 290 true
Ebb direction 110 true

Sun -- 12:23 AM EDT     0.59 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 04:10 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:47 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:19 AM EDT     Full Moon
Sun -- 07:32 AM EDT     -0.64 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 11:23 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 01:25 PM EDT     0.22 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 04:07 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 07:00 PM EDT     -0.35 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:09 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 09:35 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Broomes Island, 0.4 mile south of, Maryland Current, knots
12
am
0.6
1
am
0.6
2
am
0.5
3
am
0.3
4
am
0
5
am
-0.2
6
am
-0.5
7
am
-0.6
8
am
-0.6
9
am
-0.5
10
am
-0.3
11
am
-0.1
12
pm
0.1
1
pm
0.2
2
pm
0.2
3
pm
0.1
4
pm
0
5
pm
-0.2
6
pm
-0.3
7
pm
-0.3
8
pm
-0.3
9
pm
-0.1
10
pm
0.1
11
pm
0.3


Weather Map
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