Moab, UT Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
L-36.com
Top   Marine   7-Day   NWS   Buoy   Airport   Tide   Map   GEOS   Radar   TAF  

Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Moab, UT

June 19, 2024 1:30 AM MDT (07:30 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:46 AM   Sunset 8:44 PM
Moonrise 6:00 PM   Moonset 2:41 AM 
  Print   HELP   Reset   Save   Recall  New
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      HIDE   Help

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Moab, UT
   Hourly   EDIT   Help   Map   HIDE
NEW! Add second zone forecast


Area Discussion for - Salt Lake City, UT
      HIDE   Help   
NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS65 KSLC 182131 AFDSLC

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT 331 PM MDT Tue Jun 18 2024

SYNOPSIS
Temperatures will trend warmer across the area through Thursday before anomalous moisture spreads into eastern Utah late Thursday through Friday, bringing showers and thunderstorms. Drier conditions are expected over the weekend with hot temperatures.

.SHORT TERM (THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY)...A west-southwesterly flow aloft is in place this afternoon over Utah as a mean longwave trough remains over the western CONUS. Several embedded disturbances continue to ripple through the mean trough, but very little in the way of moisture is available (0.2 inches of PWAT)
to generate any showers. Temperatures will continue to remain on the cool side tonight, though generally warmer compared to last night. Temperatures will be much noticeably warmer tomorrow, given H7 warm advection as the mean trough axis retrogrades to the West Coast. However, afternoon maxes are still expected to remain slightly below normal.

.LONG TERM (After 12z/6AM Thursday), Issued 423 AM MDT...
Ensemble guidance remains in great agreement on a trough remaining upstream of the forecast area through at least early Friday with a ridge building into the area Friday through the weekend. Past Sunday, models diverge a bit as there is some uncertainty on the depth of a trough progged to move through southern Canada. The depth of this trough will ultimately influence the temperature trends (mainly in the northern area) through next week.

A trough upstream of the area during the latter portion of the week will continue to promote warm and dry southwesterly flow over the forecast area, allowing temperatures to warm back to above normal levels. To the east of the area over the southern Plains, an wave propagating to the west will interact with the upstream trough and bring an increase in lower level flow as well as initiating a moisture flux into the eastern Great Basin region. Increased flow in the lower levels will bring increasing surface winds during the afternoon on Thursday. The increase in flow will bring concerns of elevated fire weather conditions in eastern Utah before the near surface moisture arrives. At this time, no fire weather headlines have been issued as fuels are not currently over their critical thresholds in the zones of concern.

Moisture continues to work into the area through the evening hours on Thursday, while the aforementioned trough begins shifting over the region. Isolated showers and thunderstorms over eastern Utah will be possible, and will carry the threat of dry lightning as the lower level moisture lags. Should expect to see an increase in shower activity through the overnight hours as upper level support for lift increases. Going into Friday, upper support and increasing moisture in the lower levels will act to destabilize the environment and bring an increasing threat of strong thunderstorms and flash flooding (model PWAT anomalies continue to push 200-250% of normal over eastern Utah). Will need to continue to assess the threat of flash flooding on Friday afternoon as models maintain abnormally moist conditions over eastern Utah. The one concern with this is whether or not the added dynamics from the trough will bring too much cloud cover to destabilize the environment to the potential that the models are suggesting. In general, if you're planning a slot canyon trip, you might want to hold off until late in the weekend.

A stout ridge builds back over the region late in the weekend, which will help to reinforce hot conditions areawide as well as provide a drier environment. Confidence is increasing that the Wasatch Front will be pushing temperatures to near 100 degrees and into the mid- to upper-100s for lower elevations in southern Utah by Sunday. Will need to continue to assess the need for heat related headlines by Sunday as overnight lows will provide minimal recovery from the heat. Thankfully for the northern portions of Utah and southwest Wyoming, the heat looks to be fairly short lived as an active storm track resumes to the north of the area, which should tamper down the strength of the high. There is still uncertainty on how much the high will be repressed by the northern stream, but in general we should expect a gradual cooling trend into the middle portion of the week across the northern half of the area. For the southern area, heat looks to be maintained unless we can develop a deeper trough into the CONUS (supported by ~30% of ensemble members).

AVIATION
KSLC...Northwest winds are forecast to shift southeast around 04z this evening at light speeds. VFR conditions are forecast throughout the forecast period.

REST OF UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING
Calmer conditions are forecast today with lighter winds across the region. These conditions will persist into tomorrow morning. VFR conditions are expected for all sites with only some lingering high based clouds in southern Utah.

FIRE WEATHER
Relatively benign weather is expected through Wednesday with dry conditions remaining in place while temperatures trend warmer. Southwest winds increase on Thursday while midlevel moisture starts to spread into southeast Utah.
As the lower levels remain relatively dry on Thursday, the increasing winds will bring isolated or marginally critical fire weather conditions to portions of southern Utah where fuels have cured (latest guidance only indicates localized areas with greater than a 50% chance of reaching critical fire weather conditions). Additionally, there will be a threat of isolated dry lightning on Thursday. As the airmass continues to moisten across eastern Utah into Friday, humidities will increase. Precipitation chances will also increase across eastern Utah with a 40-60% chance of wetting rain. Thereafter, the airmass begins to quickly dry, although lingering low-level moisture may continue to bring a threat of showers and thunderstorms to portions of southern/eastern Utah on Saturday. Hot temperatures will settle into the area for the weekend into early next week.

SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
UT...None.
WY...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       HIDE   Help




Airport Reports
    EDIT      HIDE   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KCNY CANYONLANDS FIELD,UT 21 sm37 minENE 0610 smClear61°F-2°F8%29.91
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KCNY
   
NEW Forecast page for KCNY


Wind History graph: CNY
(wind in knots)
toggle option: (graph/table)


Tide / Current for
   
EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   HIDE   Help

Tide / Current for
   EDIT      HIDE   Help

Weather Map
      HIDE   Help


GEOS Local Image of Southern Rockies   
EDIT   HIDE



Grand Junction, CO,




NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE