NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
It's expected to be a pleasant day across the northern Middle Atlantic region as high pressure from the Midwest begins to ridge across the area. An upper H5 trough to the N/NW will remain in place as it weakens thru Monday. Mostly sunny skies are expected today. Temperatures will rise only into the mid/upper 60s (N/W) and low 70s elsewhere. These readings will be about 10 degrees below normal for early September. The air will be notably less humid than the past few. Winds will increase this morning from the West/Northwest at 10 to 15 mph with some gusts around 20 mph at times.

Tonight, more fair weather and cool temperatures. Readings will drop into the low/mid 40s for the southern Poconos, Lehigh Valley and north NJ. Readings elsewhere will bottom out in the upper 40s to low 50s. West winds settling to 5 mph or less.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
The only potential blip in the continued period of tranquil weather will come late Monday into Monday evening as a trailing mid and upper level trough crosses through the region. though the best synoptic scale lift will be north of our region, even on the fringes we may have enough lift to support isolated showers generally along and north of the I-80 corridor. However, with still dry air in place, this is unlikely to amount to much more than sprinkles, if that.

In the wake of that trough on Monday, we'll see the start of the warming trend on Tuesday as mid and upper level ridging gradually starts to build towards the region.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Continued tranquil conditions with the continued warming trend are expected through the remainder of the week. As winds become more southerly starting late Wednesday, expecting modest moisture advection, helping dew points get back close to 60.
This could lead to some morning fog late in the week (Thursday or Friday).

For the weekend, we're still watching both a potential low developing off the southeastern U.S. coast and the evolution of the low in the western Gulf drifting northward through that time. However, at this point guidance is depicting both of these features staying too far away from our region to result in any rain through Saturday.

AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Today
VFR. Mainly clear skies all day. West to Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots early then increasing to 10 to 12 knots with gusts to around 20 knots into the evening. High confid.

Tonight
VFR. Clear skies expected. Light West winds. High confid.

Outlook...

Monday through Thursday...VFR with no significant weather.

MARINE
We'll keep the SCA flags in place with the Delaware Bay set to expire at 6AM and the ocean at Noon today. Winds will remain gusty early, then settle as high pressure arrives. Fair weather today and tonight.

Outlook...

Winds and seas will stay below SCA criteria through Thursday.

Rip Currents...

Today...The offshore storm will finally be well removed from its influence on our coastal waters by Sunday. Additionally, offshore winds and lessening seas will result in somewhat lower breaking wave in the surf zone and a lower risk for rip currents than experienced previous days. Therefore, will go with a MODERATE risk for the development of dangerous rip currents for both the New Jersey Shore and the Delaware Beaches.

Monday...Tranquil seas and southwest 10-15 mph winds will result in a LOW risk for the development of dangerous rip currents for both the New Jersey Shore and the Delaware Beaches on Monday.

For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT early this morning for ANZ430-431.
Small Craft Advisory until noon EDT today for ANZ450>455.