Manitou Springs, CO Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Manitou Springs, CO

April 21, 2024 5:48 AM MDT (11:48 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:11 AM   Sunset 7:43 PM
Moonrise 5:48 PM   Moonset 5:14 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manitou Springs, CO
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Area Discussion for - Pueblo, CO
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FXUS65 KPUB 210943 AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pueblo CO 343 AM MDT Sun Apr 21 2024

KEY MESSAGES

- Dense fog and drizzle/freezing drizzle this morning across the Pikes Peak region and Palmer Divide. Dense Fog Advisory in effect.

- Critical fire weather conditions over and near I-25 on Monday.

- Fire weather concerns last through the rest of the week.

- Largely warm and dry most of this week. A new system will move in prior to next weekend.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Issued at 342 AM MDT Sun Apr 21 2024

Shortwave energy still diving southeast across the region this morning is helping to support some isolated light snow across the plains. Veering 700mb flow along with some drying overnight has helped to keep this additional development rather limited and with additional drying over the next several hours, don't anticipate much snow development through the morning hours. What is more concerning is the low stratus and fog in place across the mountain valleys and plains. The already low stratus has lowered here recently and with east southeast winds in place, think this trend will continue over the next several hours. Additional lowering along with expanding fog is appearing likely, with dense fog also developing in spots. At this time, think the highest chances for more widespread dense fog will be across the Pikes Peak region and the Palmer Divide. Given increased confidence, did go ahead and issue a Dense Fog Advisory this morning. Think patchy dense fog will be possible almost anywhere across the mountain valleys and plains, especially the far southern I-25 corridor, and will continue to closely monitor trends.
In this moist upslope flow, anticipate some light drizzle or freezing drizzle to develop. While light freezing drizzle may be observed, think the relatively warm surfaces temps will limit any ice development. However, could see some spotty slick conditions, mainly on elevated surfaces and bridges. Most guidance in agreement with an improving trend with the stratus, fog, and precip development by midday in the 18-19Z time frame. Did trend the forecast this way, but would not be surprised to see some locations hold onto the stratus slightly longer. Some warming expected today, as the sun makes an appearance this afternoon, and with drier weather expected for the remainder of the period.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Issued at 342 AM MDT Sun Apr 21 2024

Breezy west winds will be present aloft on Monday, with a bit of energy translating through the flow at the southern fringes of the upper low passing along the Canadian border. With all of this, warm and windy conditions shall persist throughout the day. Current data has high temperatures above average across most of the area, with 70s to mid-80s. Meanwhile, gusty west winds will mix down to the surface, downsloping off of the higher terrain onto the mountains/plains interface. Between this and some lee troughing, windy conditions will last most of the afternoon, especially in the gap flow areas along I-25. Critical fire weather conditions are expected, mainly along these gap flow areas and parts of the I-25 corridor. Finally, the passing energy may allow for a few isolated showers across portions of the mountain peaks as well as the Palmer Divide. However, any accumulations look to be light at this time.

A cold front will push south across the plains late Monday night into early Tuesday. As a result, high temperatures will be 5-10 degrees cooler across our eastern zones Tuesday afternoon.
Meanwhile, some near-critical fire weather conditions will be possible across parts of the San Luis Valley. The passing wave to our northeast, coupled with the surface front, may also bring enough low-level convergence for some isolated to scattered showers across the mountain peaks and adjacent lower elevations, but again chances are still on the lower side and any accumulations would be light.

Breezy west-southwest winds will persist through most of the rest of the week, as an upper low begins to push onto the west coast and move into the Four Corners region. Out ahead of it, the rest of the week will remain very warm and largely dry, with temperatures continuing to climb into the 80s across most of our eastern plains.
Critical fire weather conditions will be possible each day, becoming more of a concern towards the latter part of the week. While there is still a bit of model inconsistency on the speed and track of the incoming low, the current consensus is for it to push up into Colorado around late Thursday night, bringing slightly cooler temperatures and increased precipitation chances as we move into Friday and next weekend.



AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
Issued at 342 AM MDT Sun Apr 21 2024

Latest satellite imagery showing expansive low stratus remaining in place across COS and PUB, while VFR/clear conditions are being observed at ALS. Expect these VFR conditions with dry weather to continue at ALS through the period, with no real big change for COS and PUB through midday. No real big changes made to the current TAFs, with the LIFR ceilings staying in place through 18-19Z. Did make some minor adjustments to vis, with vis expected to fall to around one half mile under fog and drizzle. Once again, improving conditions expected in the 18-19Z time frame, with VFR conditions and dry weather then in place for the remainder of the period. A lighter south southeast wind is expected across COS and PUB, while more light and variable winds are observed at ALS.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Fire Weather Watch from Monday morning through Monday evening for COZ222-224-227>230.
Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM MDT this morning for COZ081-084- 085.




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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KAFF USAF ACADEMY AFLD,CO 10 sm13 minS 083/8 sm-- Fog 34°F32°F93%30.29
KCOS CITY OF COLORADO SPRINGS MUNI,CO 12 sm45 minS 071/2 sm-- Fog 34°F34°F100%30.32
KFCS BUTTS AAF (FORT CARSON),CO 15 sm8 minS 085/8 smOvercast Mist 34°F32°F93%30.30
KFLY MEADOW LAKE,CO 20 sm13 minSSW 071/4 smOvercast Fog 32°F32°F100%30.32
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Pueblo, CO,



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