Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Racine, OH
 | Sunrise 7:22 AM Sunset 5:58 PM Moonrise 3:23 AM Moonset 12:18 PM |
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Racine, OH
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FXUS61 KRLX 120111 AFDRLX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston WV 811 PM EST Wed Feb 11 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
Cancelled the winter weather advisory in effect through this afternoon across the mountains.
Increased snowfall totals across the northern mountains for tonight into Thursday.
Pops have increased across much of the area for the Sunday system.
KEY MESSAGES
1.) Upslope snow showers take hold tonight across the north from moisture fetch off of of Great Lakes, and weak passing wave.
2.) Low in the southern stream may provide soaking rain to parts of the area by Sunday.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
The threat for freezing drizzle appears to have mostly ended across the northern mountains, and the advisory has been cancelled. Otherwise, light wintry precipitation, mainly in the form of snow will take hold for later tonight into Thursday, as a favorable moisture fetch sets up off the Great Lakes, combined with weak passing shortwaves on the back side of a low across the northeast. QPF should be overall relatively light, but with colder air settling into the area as the aforementioned low moves north and east and flow becomes more northwesterly, SLR will increase to around 18:1, with any snowfall easily accumulating. Have increased snowfall amounts across the mountains so that we fall just short of advisory criteria. Have a general 1 to 4 inches coded for the northeast, with isolated spots of up to 5 across the higher peaks. Snow should generally taper off during the day Thursday, but flurries may linger through later in the day. Issued an sps per coordination with neighbors for this event.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
Focus this weekend shifts to a southern stream low that will spread moisture northward into the area. There are differences in both timing and overall solution concerning the path and evolution of this low between the models, as is often the case this far out.
Latest run of the GFS continues to push the upper low to the southeast towards Florida during the period, with less phasing with northern stream energy as compared to the ECMWF. GFS runs would keep the bulk of moisture south of the Ohio River, where as ECMWF would provide a more prolonged and widespread moderate to heavy rain event for the area as it phases better with northern stream energy, and takes a path towards the Mid Atlantic region. There is also concern about the possibility for wintry precipitation across the northern mountains, although details and impacts remain uncertain.
Overall, trends tend to favor a scenario where the low becomes better phased with northern stream energy and takes the more northerly path as opposed to the GFS. At this point, we are not outlooked for excessive rainfall, however, localized flooding continues to remain a concern during the period with lingering snow pack and saturated soils, combined with the potential that there could be lingering ice on some waterways even after several days of generally above freezing temperatures across most of the area.
Period will continue to be closely monitored for threats.
AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
VFR conditions at present will transition to a mixture of MVFR/VFR overnight into Thursday as lower stratus from the north attempts to sink south into the area, but confidence in this occurring is somewhat low. VFR conditions are expected to persist at BKW/CRW/HTS, while MVFR CIGs may occur at CKB/EKN/PKB. This would most likely occur late tonight into Thursday morning, but confidence remains low. Additionally, ISOLD/SCT snow showers could occur at CKB/EKN during this timeframe, potentially resulting in brief MVFR VSBY. VFR then continues during the day on Thursday, with just a low probability for brief MVFR CIGs at CKB/EKN.
WNW surface flow is expected through this TAF period (until 00Z Friday). Breezy flow at present (gusts of 15-25 kts) will gradually lessen throughout the night, but remain gusty in the mountains. Breezes of 15-20 kts are possible during the afternoon on Thursday, higher across the mountains.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: MVFR CIG restrictions may be less widespread than currently forecast for later tonight into Thursday.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
DATE THU 02/12/26 UTC 1HRLY 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 EST 1HRLY 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H M H M H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H M M H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY M M M H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY M H H H H H H H H H H H
AFTER 00Z FRIDAY...
IFR conditions are possible Sunday and Sunday night in moderate to heavy rain, and mountain rain and snow.
RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston WV 811 PM EST Wed Feb 11 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
Cancelled the winter weather advisory in effect through this afternoon across the mountains.
Increased snowfall totals across the northern mountains for tonight into Thursday.
Pops have increased across much of the area for the Sunday system.
KEY MESSAGES
1.) Upslope snow showers take hold tonight across the north from moisture fetch off of of Great Lakes, and weak passing wave.
2.) Low in the southern stream may provide soaking rain to parts of the area by Sunday.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
The threat for freezing drizzle appears to have mostly ended across the northern mountains, and the advisory has been cancelled. Otherwise, light wintry precipitation, mainly in the form of snow will take hold for later tonight into Thursday, as a favorable moisture fetch sets up off the Great Lakes, combined with weak passing shortwaves on the back side of a low across the northeast. QPF should be overall relatively light, but with colder air settling into the area as the aforementioned low moves north and east and flow becomes more northwesterly, SLR will increase to around 18:1, with any snowfall easily accumulating. Have increased snowfall amounts across the mountains so that we fall just short of advisory criteria. Have a general 1 to 4 inches coded for the northeast, with isolated spots of up to 5 across the higher peaks. Snow should generally taper off during the day Thursday, but flurries may linger through later in the day. Issued an sps per coordination with neighbors for this event.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
Focus this weekend shifts to a southern stream low that will spread moisture northward into the area. There are differences in both timing and overall solution concerning the path and evolution of this low between the models, as is often the case this far out.
Latest run of the GFS continues to push the upper low to the southeast towards Florida during the period, with less phasing with northern stream energy as compared to the ECMWF. GFS runs would keep the bulk of moisture south of the Ohio River, where as ECMWF would provide a more prolonged and widespread moderate to heavy rain event for the area as it phases better with northern stream energy, and takes a path towards the Mid Atlantic region. There is also concern about the possibility for wintry precipitation across the northern mountains, although details and impacts remain uncertain.
Overall, trends tend to favor a scenario where the low becomes better phased with northern stream energy and takes the more northerly path as opposed to the GFS. At this point, we are not outlooked for excessive rainfall, however, localized flooding continues to remain a concern during the period with lingering snow pack and saturated soils, combined with the potential that there could be lingering ice on some waterways even after several days of generally above freezing temperatures across most of the area.
Period will continue to be closely monitored for threats.
AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
VFR conditions at present will transition to a mixture of MVFR/VFR overnight into Thursday as lower stratus from the north attempts to sink south into the area, but confidence in this occurring is somewhat low. VFR conditions are expected to persist at BKW/CRW/HTS, while MVFR CIGs may occur at CKB/EKN/PKB. This would most likely occur late tonight into Thursday morning, but confidence remains low. Additionally, ISOLD/SCT snow showers could occur at CKB/EKN during this timeframe, potentially resulting in brief MVFR VSBY. VFR then continues during the day on Thursday, with just a low probability for brief MVFR CIGs at CKB/EKN.
WNW surface flow is expected through this TAF period (until 00Z Friday). Breezy flow at present (gusts of 15-25 kts) will gradually lessen throughout the night, but remain gusty in the mountains. Breezes of 15-20 kts are possible during the afternoon on Thursday, higher across the mountains.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: MVFR CIG restrictions may be less widespread than currently forecast for later tonight into Thursday.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
DATE THU 02/12/26 UTC 1HRLY 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 EST 1HRLY 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H M H M H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H M M H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY M M M H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY M H H H H H H H H H H H
AFTER 00Z FRIDAY...
IFR conditions are possible Sunday and Sunday night in moderate to heavy rain, and mountain rain and snow.
RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Air | DewPt | RH | inHg |
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for K3I2
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for K3I2
Wind History Graph: 3I2
(wind in knots)
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic
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