Friday, October23, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Solomon, KS

Version 3.4
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8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:47AMSunset 6:41PM Friday October 23, 2020 4:59 PM CDT (21:59 UTC) Moonrise 2:08PMMoonset 11:54PM Illumination 46% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Solomon, KS
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location: 38.89, -97.42     debug


Area Discussion for - Wichita, KS
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FXUS63 KICT 232013 AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 313 PM CDT Fri Oct 23 2020

SHORT TERM. (This evening through Monday night) Issued at 312 PM CDT Fri Oct 23 2020

Cold advection in the wake of yesterdays strong cold front will continue to ooze into the area for late this afternoon into tonight. Drier air associated with the cold air will eventually scour out the low cloudiness for late this afternoon or this evening as a Canadian ridge of high pressure moves across the northern plains. This will lead to low temperatures falling into the 25 to 30 degree range by Sat morning for most of the area. Previous shifts have already hoisted a freeze warning for this cold air, but plan on expanding into SE KS as well, where low temps may fall to 30-32 degrees, given clearing skies and winds becoming light. Model certainty suggests we are going on a little on the cool side for min temps (25th percentile), but think this is the way to to go given the setup.

Expect a slight warmup on Sat (albeit still below normal), as a shortwave moving into the Pacific NW dives SE into the Rockies. This shortwave will lead to an area of low pressure developing over SE CO, with warm advection getting under way for late Sat evening through early Sun for most of the forecast area.

As the day progresses on Sun, this warm advection and shallow moisture transport will lead to a light rain or drizzle chance increasing for either Sun morning, but certainly by Sun afternoon for most locations (depending on the model timing), before a sharp cold front moves across KS for sometime during the day on Sun. This strong cold front will send temperatures tumbling for Sun evening and Sun night, with light precip amounts on Sun evening transitioning to either a wintry mix or freezing drizzle initially over central KS, or possibly a mix of freezing drizzle and light snow.

Both the GFS and ECMWF suggest things get interesting for late Sun night through Mon morning, as the depth of the shallow cold air increases, and moisture depth increases enough to transition the wintry mix over to widespread chance of light snow. Bufkit soundings do not show much, if any, of a warm nose aloft, so think we are looking at a rain to snow transition, possibly a brief period of sleet. Temperatures on Mon will struggle to even make it above freezing (Record cool maxes in the mid-upper 20s!!) for most places west of the KS Turnpike. This looks like a great setup for a light snow event, with the GFS showing a couple of mid level frontogenetic bands moving across portions of central KS for Mon morning, which may enhance the snow chances and possible accumulations by Monday morning. QPF amounts arent that impressive, but could see light snow accumulations on grassy areas by Mon morning. Given the warm ground conditions, not expecting too many travel concerns, unless the above mentioned frontogenetic bands lead to heavier snowfall rates. Stay tuned.

Expect some of the coldest temperatures of the season for Mon night into early Tue morning, with a hard freeze expected everywhere, with possible record low temps occurring for Tue morning (Upper teens in central KS, lower 20s elsewhere).

Ketcham

LONG TERM. (Tuesday through Friday) Issued at 312 PM CDT Fri Oct 23 2020

The main shortwave will continue to deepen over the SW Conus and for the middle of the week, keeping the Central Plains in southwest flow aloft. The system will lift out of the southwest CONUS and into the central Plains either late Wednesday or Thursday increasing chances of seeing precipitation once again, mainly across southern KS. Medium range models differ on timing of this system, with the GFS continuing to take the more progressive stance. Expect a slow warm up toward the end of the week, with highs back in the mid to upper 50s by the end of next week.

Ketcham

AVIATION. (For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon) Issued at 1219 PM CDT Fri Oct 23 2020

Low clouds in MVFR category will slowly erode from northwest to southeast across the region today. The low clouds will clear southeast Kansas later this evening. Meanwhile gusty north winds will prevail today and gradually veer around to the east then southeast for tonight into Saturday morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Wichita-KICT 30 51 40 47 / 0 0 0 30 Hutchinson 27 50 37 42 / 0 0 0 30 Newton 28 50 39 44 / 0 0 0 30 ElDorado 28 51 40 47 / 0 0 0 30 Winfield-KWLD 30 52 42 52 / 0 0 0 30 Russell 25 50 34 36 / 0 0 10 40 Great Bend 25 50 34 37 / 0 0 10 30 Salina 26 51 36 41 / 0 0 10 50 McPherson 27 50 36 41 / 0 0 0 40 Coffeyville 33 53 44 57 / 0 0 0 30 Chanute 31 52 43 53 / 0 0 0 40 Iola 30 52 42 52 / 0 0 0 40 Parsons-KPPF 32 52 44 55 / 0 0 0 30

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 10 AM CDT Saturday for KSZ032-033- 047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.



SHORT TERM . Ketcham LONG TERM . Ketcham AVIATION . CDJ


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Salina, Salina Municipal Airport, KS14 mi66 minN 20 G 2710.00 miMostly Cloudy and Breezy44°F28°F55%1029.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSLN

Wind History from SLN (wind in knots)
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1 day agoE7E4NE5NE5NE6E4E7E8E6E6E6SE5SE4S15
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2 days agoS3S3CalmCalmSE4SE4SE5CalmCalmCalmCalmSW3CalmCalmCalmNE3E3E6NE7E8E6E6E7E6

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Topeka, KS
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.