Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for South Lake Tahoe, CA
March 28, 2024 3:54 PM PDT (22:54 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:47 AM Sunset 7:21 PM Moonrise 10:05 PM Moonset 7:17 AM |
Area Discussion for - Reno, NV
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FXUS65 KREV 282220 AFDREV
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Reno NV 320 PM PDT Thu Mar 28 2024
SYNOPSIS
We are in a brief break between storms through Friday morning. The next storm arrives midday Friday bringing waves of valley rain and mountain snow through the holiday weekend. Brief mild and dry conditions return early to mid next week with more active weather possible by late next week.
DISCUSSION
Key Points:
* Lingering Showers with Breezes Today: Isolated snow showers will be possible through the afternoon from Tahoe northward with little accumulations (up to 1" possible). Plan on breezy southwest winds persisting through the evening today.
* Easter Weekend Storm: Increasing confidence exists for a longer duration storm to bring multiple rounds of mountain snow and valley rain/rain-snow mix Friday through Easter. Heaviest precipitation rates are aimed at late Friday - Saturday. Holiday weekend travel difficulties are likely in the Sierra, especially during the nighttime hours.
* Quieter Weather Early April: We are still expecting a break in precipitation for the first few days of April. Gusty northeast ridge winds are possible across Sierra ridges as high pressure builds.
For the incoming holiday weekend storm, the snow accumulation potential has been trending up from day-to-day. The key player in the eventual snow totals will be the cut off low's trajectory as it slides into the West. Recent simulations drop the low center just off the CA coast with wrap-around bands of moisture into the Sierra and western Nevada. There is potential for a deformation zone to set up Saturday night into Sunday as the low passes over the region, which would boost precipitation potential across the I-80 corridor, but we will have to see if this shows up in higher resolution simulations as we get closer to the event. Snow probabilities are hanging on with about a 50-60% chance of 12" of snow or more along the Sierra crest, with probs nearing 85% for Mono county. For Sierra communities (including Truckee, South Lake, and Mammoth Lakes), there is a 50-70% chance for greater than 6" of snow through Sunday. Plan on travel slowdowns across the Sierra, especially since we're in the vicinity of spring break vacation time! Daytime snow accumulations may be more difficult to come by in the Sierra, but with extra travelers on the road along with precipitation, you can plan on taking it slow in the Sierra.
As the upper level low digs south and east into the four corners region, we see a ridge building in on heels. Northeast to east ridge winds will develop behind the exiting trough and building high pressure that may result in some aviation turbulence along and west of the rest and backcountry recreation concerns.
Ensemble clusters are in decent agreement with this brief pattern shift, but then midweek into late next week we see the arrival of more trough potential. Along with the ridge, blended guidance highlights a warming trend from Monday into Wednesday for next week, but the temperatures spread by Thursday which aligns with the potential for more disruptive weather to arrive by mid to late next week.
-Edan
AVIATION
WINDS: FL100 winds decreased across the Sierra and western Nevada and will continue their downward trend overnight. Surface winds through the afternoon and evening will remain westerly with gusts 20- 30kts for most regional terminals with winds tapering off after 3z Friday.
PRECIPITATION: VFR conditions for much of the afternoon and evening before the next storm arrives on Friday. KTRK/KTVL may experience a few isolated snow showers between 21z-6z.
NEXT STORM: A long-duration storm arrives Friday with multiple rounds of Sierra snow and a mix of rain/snow to valley areas. Snow showers will result in periods of MVFR/IFR conditions in the Sierra for KTRK/KTVL/KMMH Friday overnight into Sunday before the trough slowly moves out of the region Monday. Can't rule out some periods of light snow for KRNO/KCXP/KMEV as well, especially on late Saturday into early Sunday, but blended guidance shows a less than 15% chance of accumulation for now.
-Edan
AVALANCHE
The next storm pushes into the Sierra on Friday and brings multiple waves of precipitation through Sunday afternoon.
* Liquid totals (SWE): For Mono county above 7000 feet, 0.5" - 2.5" from Friday through Sunday afternoon. For the Tahoe Basin along the crest 1.5"-2.5", and around 1" in the Basin.
* Peak Snowfall Rates: For the Tahoe Basin, 1-2" per hour rates will be possible Friday afternoon with another round possible after 8pm. For Mono County, the best time frame for 1-2" per hour rates in the high Sierra appears to be 8pm until 4am on Saturday for now.
* Snow-Liquid Ratios: Drier snow ratios around 10-13:1 for much of the storm.
* Peak Ridge Level Wind Gusts: Winds won't be as strong with this storm with peak wind gusts 40 to 50 mph possible along the Eastern Sierra crest.
-Edan
REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories
NV...Winter Weather Advisory from 11 AM Friday to 5 PM PDT Sunday NVZ001-003.
Lake Wind Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening NVZ002-004.
Winter Storm Warning from 11 AM Friday to 5 PM PDT Sunday NVZ002.
CA...Winter Weather Advisory from 11 AM Friday to 5 PM PDT Sunday CAZ071.
Lake Wind Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening CAZ072.
Winter Storm Warning from 11 AM Friday to 5 PM PDT Sunday CAZ072-073.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Reno NV 320 PM PDT Thu Mar 28 2024
SYNOPSIS
We are in a brief break between storms through Friday morning. The next storm arrives midday Friday bringing waves of valley rain and mountain snow through the holiday weekend. Brief mild and dry conditions return early to mid next week with more active weather possible by late next week.
DISCUSSION
Key Points:
* Lingering Showers with Breezes Today: Isolated snow showers will be possible through the afternoon from Tahoe northward with little accumulations (up to 1" possible). Plan on breezy southwest winds persisting through the evening today.
* Easter Weekend Storm: Increasing confidence exists for a longer duration storm to bring multiple rounds of mountain snow and valley rain/rain-snow mix Friday through Easter. Heaviest precipitation rates are aimed at late Friday - Saturday. Holiday weekend travel difficulties are likely in the Sierra, especially during the nighttime hours.
* Quieter Weather Early April: We are still expecting a break in precipitation for the first few days of April. Gusty northeast ridge winds are possible across Sierra ridges as high pressure builds.
For the incoming holiday weekend storm, the snow accumulation potential has been trending up from day-to-day. The key player in the eventual snow totals will be the cut off low's trajectory as it slides into the West. Recent simulations drop the low center just off the CA coast with wrap-around bands of moisture into the Sierra and western Nevada. There is potential for a deformation zone to set up Saturday night into Sunday as the low passes over the region, which would boost precipitation potential across the I-80 corridor, but we will have to see if this shows up in higher resolution simulations as we get closer to the event. Snow probabilities are hanging on with about a 50-60% chance of 12" of snow or more along the Sierra crest, with probs nearing 85% for Mono county. For Sierra communities (including Truckee, South Lake, and Mammoth Lakes), there is a 50-70% chance for greater than 6" of snow through Sunday. Plan on travel slowdowns across the Sierra, especially since we're in the vicinity of spring break vacation time! Daytime snow accumulations may be more difficult to come by in the Sierra, but with extra travelers on the road along with precipitation, you can plan on taking it slow in the Sierra.
As the upper level low digs south and east into the four corners region, we see a ridge building in on heels. Northeast to east ridge winds will develop behind the exiting trough and building high pressure that may result in some aviation turbulence along and west of the rest and backcountry recreation concerns.
Ensemble clusters are in decent agreement with this brief pattern shift, but then midweek into late next week we see the arrival of more trough potential. Along with the ridge, blended guidance highlights a warming trend from Monday into Wednesday for next week, but the temperatures spread by Thursday which aligns with the potential for more disruptive weather to arrive by mid to late next week.
-Edan
AVIATION
WINDS: FL100 winds decreased across the Sierra and western Nevada and will continue their downward trend overnight. Surface winds through the afternoon and evening will remain westerly with gusts 20- 30kts for most regional terminals with winds tapering off after 3z Friday.
PRECIPITATION: VFR conditions for much of the afternoon and evening before the next storm arrives on Friday. KTRK/KTVL may experience a few isolated snow showers between 21z-6z.
NEXT STORM: A long-duration storm arrives Friday with multiple rounds of Sierra snow and a mix of rain/snow to valley areas. Snow showers will result in periods of MVFR/IFR conditions in the Sierra for KTRK/KTVL/KMMH Friday overnight into Sunday before the trough slowly moves out of the region Monday. Can't rule out some periods of light snow for KRNO/KCXP/KMEV as well, especially on late Saturday into early Sunday, but blended guidance shows a less than 15% chance of accumulation for now.
-Edan
AVALANCHE
The next storm pushes into the Sierra on Friday and brings multiple waves of precipitation through Sunday afternoon.
* Liquid totals (SWE): For Mono county above 7000 feet, 0.5" - 2.5" from Friday through Sunday afternoon. For the Tahoe Basin along the crest 1.5"-2.5", and around 1" in the Basin.
* Peak Snowfall Rates: For the Tahoe Basin, 1-2" per hour rates will be possible Friday afternoon with another round possible after 8pm. For Mono County, the best time frame for 1-2" per hour rates in the high Sierra appears to be 8pm until 4am on Saturday for now.
* Snow-Liquid Ratios: Drier snow ratios around 10-13:1 for much of the storm.
* Peak Ridge Level Wind Gusts: Winds won't be as strong with this storm with peak wind gusts 40 to 50 mph possible along the Eastern Sierra crest.
-Edan
REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories
NV...Winter Weather Advisory from 11 AM Friday to 5 PM PDT Sunday NVZ001-003.
Lake Wind Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening NVZ002-004.
Winter Storm Warning from 11 AM Friday to 5 PM PDT Sunday NVZ002.
CA...Winter Weather Advisory from 11 AM Friday to 5 PM PDT Sunday CAZ071.
Lake Wind Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening CAZ072.
Winter Storm Warning from 11 AM Friday to 5 PM PDT Sunday CAZ072-073.
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KTVL LAKE TAHOE,CA | 1 sm | 61 min | var 04G29 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 36°F | 18°F | 48% | 29.95 | |
KMEV MINDENTAHOE,NV | 15 sm | 19 min | W 19G25 | 10 sm | Clear | 46°F | 16°F | 29% | 29.93 | |
KCXP CARSON,NV | 24 sm | 19 min | W 09G17 | 10 sm | Overcast | 45°F | 18°F | 34% | 29.96 |
Tide / Current for Sacramento #4, Sacramento River, California
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Sacramento #4
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:33 AM PDT 0.55 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:56 AM PDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:24 AM PDT Moonset
Thu -- 08:59 AM PDT 3.08 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:49 PM PDT 0.14 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:26 PM PDT Sunset
Thu -- 10:42 PM PDT 2.13 feet High Tide
Thu -- 11:10 PM PDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:33 AM PDT 0.55 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:56 AM PDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:24 AM PDT Moonset
Thu -- 08:59 AM PDT 3.08 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:49 PM PDT 0.14 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:26 PM PDT Sunset
Thu -- 10:42 PM PDT 2.13 feet High Tide
Thu -- 11:10 PM PDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sacramento #4, Sacramento River, California, Tide feet
12 am |
1.9 |
1 am |
1.5 |
2 am |
1.1 |
3 am |
0.8 |
4 am |
0.6 |
5 am |
0.6 |
6 am |
1.1 |
7 am |
1.9 |
8 am |
2.8 |
9 am |
3.1 |
10 am |
3 |
11 am |
2.7 |
12 pm |
2.2 |
1 pm |
1.7 |
2 pm |
1.2 |
3 pm |
0.7 |
4 pm |
0.4 |
5 pm |
0.2 |
6 pm |
0.1 |
7 pm |
0.4 |
8 pm |
1 |
9 pm |
1.7 |
10 pm |
2.1 |
11 pm |
2.1 |
Clarksburg #4
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:03 AM PDT 0.55 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:56 AM PDT Sunrise
Thu -- 07:50 AM PDT 3.08 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:24 AM PDT Moonset
Thu -- 04:19 PM PDT 0.14 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:26 PM PDT Sunset
Thu -- 09:33 PM PDT 2.13 feet High Tide
Thu -- 11:09 PM PDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:03 AM PDT 0.55 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:56 AM PDT Sunrise
Thu -- 07:50 AM PDT 3.08 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:24 AM PDT Moonset
Thu -- 04:19 PM PDT 0.14 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:26 PM PDT Sunset
Thu -- 09:33 PM PDT 2.13 feet High Tide
Thu -- 11:09 PM PDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Clarksburg #4, Sacramento River, California, Tide feet
12 am |
1.4 |
1 am |
0.9 |
2 am |
0.7 |
3 am |
0.5 |
4 am |
0.7 |
5 am |
1.3 |
6 am |
2.2 |
7 am |
2.9 |
8 am |
3.1 |
9 am |
2.9 |
10 am |
2.6 |
11 am |
2.1 |
12 pm |
1.5 |
1 pm |
1 |
2 pm |
0.6 |
3 pm |
0.3 |
4 pm |
0.1 |
5 pm |
0.2 |
6 pm |
0.6 |
7 pm |
1.2 |
8 pm |
1.8 |
9 pm |
2.1 |
10 pm |
2.1 |
11 pm |
2 |
Reno, NV,
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