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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for De Soto, KS

February 8, 2025 12:35 PM CST (18:35 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:16 AM   Sunset 5:51 PM
Moonrise 1:42 PM   Moonset 4:47 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near De Soto, KS
   
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Area Discussion for Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO
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FXUS63 KEAX 081759 AFDEAX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 1159 AM CST Sat Feb 8 2025

18z Aviation Update

KEY MESSAGES

- A few rounds of accumulating snow likely next week: *Monday evening into Tuesday *Late Tuesday into Wednesday *Late Friday into Saturday

- Temperatures 15-20 degrees F below seasonal normals next Tuesday through Thursday

DISCUSSION
Issued at 316 AM CST Sat Feb 8 2025

A surface low to our west over KS (as of 08Z) is continuing its track to the east. Increased moisture and lift out ahead of the surface low has resulted in increased low cloud coverage this morning. This low has produced some freezing precipitation farther west however, it remains to be seen if dry air can be overcome and drizzle can develop. As of now, temperatures in northern MO are close to freezing and wet bulb temperatures remain below freezing.
If precipitation develops we could cool below freezing resulting in freezing drizzle. Areas north of HWY-36 have the best chances.
Please be cautious when traveling over bridges, overpasses, and other elevated surfaces as some surfaces may be slick.

As the surface low moves through the area early Saturday morning, winds will shift to the northwest on the backside of the associated surface front. Cooler air from the north will mitigate the effects of daytime heating which will keep our highs in the 40s. Continued cold air from the north will result in near-seasonal lows for Sunday morning ranging in the 20s.

For the start of next week, a disturbance moves through the area resulting in chances for accumulating snow Monday evening into early Tuesday morning. Total snow accumulations look to range from 1-3 inches. The LREF gives most of the area up to 20% chance for seeing 2 inches and is bringing the brunt of the snow further south with each new model run. Most of our region will likely see around an inch of snow with some pockets in central MO seeing 2 to 3 inches where a heavier band is forecast to set up. Snowfall reflecting solar radiation in addition to northerly winds behind the disturbance will help drop our temperatures. Highs for Tuesday are expected to range from the upper teens (northern MO) to low 30s (central MO).

The next system moves through the area early Wednesday through the day and seems to be stronger and deeper trough than the previous system. Broad-scale lift and increased moisture will result in a 70- 80 percent chance of precipitation early Wednesday morning into late Wednesday night. With well-below freezing temperatures, snow is expected to be the precipitation type. Accumulations for this event seem to range from 3-5 inches. The NBM is trending up with each model run. The current run suggests a 50-60 percent chance of accumulating snow greater than 4 inches for the KC Metro. However, there is still uncertainty being this far out. We will continue to monitor trends with future model runs. Highs for Wednesday are expected to be roughly 15-20 degrees below seasonal averages.

Early Thursday morning, high pressure builds in behind the surface low shifting our winds out of the north, further reinforcing the colder temperatures. Morning lows for Thursday will be in the single digits across the area with highs expected to be mostly in the 20s.
As the surface high shifts to the east, our winds reorient to the south ending our frigid cold spell. Highs for Friday look to be much closer to seasonal normals. The pattern appears to remain active as another system pushes through the area next weekend bringing yet another round of potential snowfall. The thermal profile suggests a possibility for a wintry mix, however confidence remains low this far out and will wait for future models runs to refine forecast.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
Issued at 1134 AM CST Sat Feb 8 2025

With overnight and morning MVFR/IFR cloud deck having now moved eastward, VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the entirety of the TAF period. Breezy NW/N winds will prevail through at least 00z, with gusts into the lower 20s kts. Gusts will ease after 00z, but prevailing winds may remain around 10kts before easing further around/after 06z. Additional mid- upper level cloud cover slides in latter portions of the period, but well above VFR criteria.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MO...None.
KS...None.


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Airport Reports
   
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KIXD NEW CENTURY AIRCENTER,KS 9 sm42 minNNW 19G2610 smMostly Cloudy41°F28°F61%30.03
KLWC LAWRENCE MUNI,KS 13 sm43 minNNW 18G2510 smA Few Clouds43°F27°F52%30.05
KOJC JOHNSON COUNTY EXECUTIVE,KS 15 sm42 minNNW 14G2310 smMostly Cloudy39°F28°F65%30.02

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Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO,





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